Fifa International · resolved market
Norway vs. France: Norway O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8482f05888ebd142369fa28da44310a3dde9e4cde256c8d7e89f7934f8b2eb58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,059
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,558
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,059 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 15c | 27,488$4,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,260.14 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Over | 8c | 13,893$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.45 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +14.5wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 7c | 7,835$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.57 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e63…ed53backed Over | 19c | 4,140$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.43 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked Over | 8c | 4,104$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.31 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 9c | 3,349$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.95 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9337…a410backed Over | 6c | 3,000$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 118 | 11.9%14 W · 104 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 1c | 2,200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 11c | 1,988$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.1 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f5…7876backed Over | 11c | 1,741$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 14c | 1,500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 331 | 20.8%69 W · 262 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 19c | 1,039$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.79 | 483 | 28%135 W · 348 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked Over | 14c | 995.43$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.36 | 372 | 37.4%139 W · 233 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 9c | 971.3$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.48 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 3c | 855.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…26e9backed Over | 7c | 828.57$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 12c | 826.96$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.71 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 4c | 798.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd977…2dc4backed Over | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 13c | 730.11$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.46 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…c1febacked Over | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6d…27bbbacked Over | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 7c | 542.94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…4decbacked Over | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Over | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c12…62ccbacked Over | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 7c | 452.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa7…e3d9backed Over | 9c | 444$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 96 | 8.3%8 W · 88 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 9c | 416.83$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 9c | 405.62$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.09 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1528…1740backed Over | 12c | 373.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.84 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7a…751abacked Over | 7c | 363.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 732 | 34.6%253 W · 479 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 8c | 342.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb02…0f88backed Over | 9c | 339$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1438…4466backed Over | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 11c | 287$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 438 | 19.2%84 W · 354 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bda…8254backed Over | 10c | 234.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b6…3158backed Under | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +8.0wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…f72ebacked Over | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 144 | 27.8%40 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c0…a38cbacked Over | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16f8…31e9backed Over | 14c | 157.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7f…25bdbacked Over | 21c | 143.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 209 | 32.5%68 W · 141 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 9c | 141.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a2…0489backed Over | 11c | 141.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +5.8wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +170.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 13c | 127.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2e…4fe6backed Over | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 98 | 41.8%41 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f72…f805backed Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…3a04backed Over | 20c | 51.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x885e…08b8backed Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Norway vs. France: Norway O/U 2.5this page
- Norway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Norway vs. France: France 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: France 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: France 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: France O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: France O/U 1.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: France O/U 2.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: Norway 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: Norway 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: Norway 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: Norway O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: Norway O/U 1.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 1.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 2.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 3.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 4.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 5.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 6.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 7.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: France (-1.5)France won
- Spread: France (-2.5)France won
- Spread: France (-3.5)Norway won
- Spread: France (-4.5)Norway won
- Spread: France (-5.5)Norway won
- Spread: Norway (-1.5)France won
- Spread: Norway (-2.5)France won
- Spread: Norway (-3.5)France won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.