Fifa International · resolved market
Norway vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3146cbd3f5037b721629b5bf42de56fcac9514ea13a639c1f9d1da1efbb29be8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,661
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,661 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8731…2c12backed Under | 45c | 1,778$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.78 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked Under | 41c | 1,694$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.2 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 52c | 967.29$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.19 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 55c | 786.8$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.9 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f3…3ca0backed Over | 52c | 636.54$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e8…fafcbacked Over | 52c | 630$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.6 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 55c | 628.95$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.92 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 40c | 552.95$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.91 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 36c | 340.22$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.86 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 48c | 294.82$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.47 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4001…3fb3backed Under | 69c | 291.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.54 | 143 | 35%50 W · 93 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 63c | 196.86$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.04 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ba…e2b1backed Over | 56c | 179.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 42c | 164$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.67 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…79c3backed Under | 45c | 154.28$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.28 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a2…63d5backed Over | 72c | 154.17$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 46c | 152.72$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.47 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 54c | 143.14$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.3 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 43c | 134.19$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.71 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Under | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 305 | 47.2%144 W · 161 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 42c | 88.79$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 59c | 73.06$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…ad62backed Over | 65c | 61.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 132 | 15.2%20 W · 112 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183b…7ebebacked Over | 58c | 60.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…0107backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 54c | 54.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 36c | 49.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e1…62fcbacked Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6e…8b2dbacked Over | 58c | 43.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Over | 49c | 39.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 209 | 68.4%143 W · 66 L | +21.5wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca77…d7a8backed Over | 59c | 38.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 31c | 38.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…8fd8backed Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Over | 55c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Under | 78c | 25.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 277 | 67.9%188 W · 89 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e77…0d5ebacked Under | 47c | 25.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Under | 51c | 23.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 318 | 53.1%169 W · 149 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9001…4149backed Over | 63c | 22.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5419…e3d2backed Over | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Norway vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 1.5this page
- Norway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Norway vs. France: France 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: France 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: France 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: France O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: France O/U 1.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: France O/U 2.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: Norway 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: Norway 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: Norway 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: Norway O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: Norway O/U 1.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: Norway O/U 2.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 1.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 2.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 3.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 4.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 5.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 6.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 7.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: France (-1.5)France won
- Spread: France (-2.5)France won
- Spread: France (-3.5)Norway won
- Spread: France (-4.5)Norway won
- Spread: France (-5.5)Norway won
- Spread: Norway (-1.5)France won
- Spread: Norway (-2.5)France won
- Spread: Norway (-3.5)France won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.