Norway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7291c83ce7f42505d156c9febac520b82e59e94428c0430fb39ab92a7392973

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $195,213
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $214,232

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,213 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2184…4c8ebacked Under	0c	90,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	39	59%23 W · 16 L	+5.3wins	+0.13per pick	46cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Over	21c	11,110$2,333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,776.9	320	29.4%94 W · 226 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under	79c	11,000$8,690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,690	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8077…ffefbacked Under	10c	8,693$869 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$869.29	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	+6.7wins	+0.17per pick	19cpaid	+97.7%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	72c	6,669$4,771 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,770.82	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over	18c	5,394$971 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,422.94	372	23.9%89 W · 283 L	-9.9wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Over	33c	2,956$978 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,978.57	536	29.9%160 W · 376 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Under	32c	2,814$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$899.99	341	22.3%76 W · 265 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8e2…ec79backed Over	37c	2,703$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,702.7	87	23%20 W · 67 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	34c	2,661$895 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,766.07	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over	64c	2,404$1,541 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$863.32	1,601	47.8%765 W · 836 L	+51.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef04…f6e3backed Under	70c	2,357$1,641 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,641.07	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	-5.2wins	-0.11per pick	58cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xff14…dd5bbacked Under	1c	1,765$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.67	160	46.3%74 W · 86 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf536…1579backed Over	19c	1,754$333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,420.83	154	40.3%62 W · 92 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under	65c	1,686$1,098 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,097.57	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under	47c	1,316$625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$624.96	297	40.1%119 W · 178 L	-18.7wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over	33c	1,269$416 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$853.55	483	28%135 W · 348 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	19c	1,258$233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,024.56	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	36c	1,254$453 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$801.25	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Over	72c	1,219$881 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$337.69	668	46.7%312 W · 356 L	+45.9wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Over	24c	1,146$272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$874	462	23.2%107 W · 355 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Under	33c	1,052$346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345.68	211	43.1%91 W · 120 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	220	29.5%65 W · 155 L	+10.8wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	-14%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd442…f946backed Under	2c	1,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over	19c	921.05$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$746.05	150	34.7%52 W · 98 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe766…7843backed Under	24c	820.38$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.99	236	45.3%107 W · 129 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Under	66c	757.58$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	233	53.2%124 W · 109 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over	32c	639.84$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$435.41	349	24.4%85 W · 264 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under	38c	513.15$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195	250	49.2%123 W · 127 L	-13.1wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc595…994dbacked Under	2c	500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	145	26.2%38 W · 107 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over	63c	472.97$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.97	365	39.7%145 W · 220 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	19c	411.18$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$331.33	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37d9…5442backed Over	21c	357.52$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282.44	314	35.7%112 W · 202 L	-11.2wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-16%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	30c	357.29$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$248.33	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fc…2715backed Over	21c	347.62$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$274.62	124	19.4%24 W · 100 L	-10.7wins	-0.09per pick	28cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under	23c	333.56$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.16	722	47.2%341 W · 381 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed Over	36c	330.81$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.61	334	38.6%129 W · 205 L	-17.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8aa…e4d1backed Over	35c	282.86$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.86	251	50.6%127 W · 124 L	+10.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x783e…2eadbacked Over	19c	274.05$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$221.98	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Over	38c	263.16$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.16	71	36.6%26 W · 45 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under	63c	254.92$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.19	164	52.4%86 W · 78 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over	69c	229.9$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.49	1,114	49.4%550 W · 564 L	+57.3wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under	47c	224.93$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.91	376	50.8%191 W · 185 L	-12.2wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45c7…a35dbacked Over	33c	224.41$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.42	76	22.4%17 W · 59 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under	36c	202.7$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.97	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Over	33c	200$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134	122	49.2%60 W · 62 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb349…d14bbacked Over	21c	190.48$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.48	276	37.7%104 W · 172 L	+15.3wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9eb6…519dbacked Over	20c	185.55$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.44	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-2.1wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	30c	162.72$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.9	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7843…7f7dbacked Over	19c	158$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.98	163	41.7%68 W · 95 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7cd…093abacked Over	20c	150$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120	288	22.6%65 W · 223 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61e7…afddbacked Over	36c	138.92$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.91	40	20%8 W · 32 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Over	39c	128.21$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.21	282	40.8%115 W · 167 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2d5…d9c9backed Under	79c	126.58$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	17	76.5%13 W · 4 L	+2.7wins	+0.16per pick	61cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x099e…b3c1backed Over	41c	121.95$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.95	103	39.8%41 W · 62 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over	42c	118$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.44	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over	42c	118$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.44	872	37.8%330 W · 542 L	-39.9wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	50c	107.16$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.16	695	34.8%242 W · 453 L	-48.8wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x84cb…19b8backed Under	29c	100$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.1	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.7wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x11d1…0b41backed Over	21c	100$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79	463	19.9%92 W · 371 L	-8.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed Under	79c	100$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79	462	47.6%220 W · 242 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32d8…90b3backed Under	68c	98.53$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67	25	56%14 W · 11 L	+1.5wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cfc…ab38backed Over	40c	98.13$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.88	96	44.8%43 W · 53 L	-4.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c99…8b23backed Under	66c	90.91$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under	17c	80$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.4	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Over	34c	71$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.86	927	32.1%298 W · 629 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88ad…9e5fbacked Under	80c	62.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	110	58.2%64 W · 46 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	24c	51.09$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.36	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under	71c	50$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.5	1,795	44.2%794 W · 1,001 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under	75c	50$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Over	31c	48$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.12	888	52.7%468 W · 420 L	+13.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e35…ee1abacked Under	70c	42.86$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	67	61.2%41 W · 26 L	-7.4wins	-0.11per pick	72cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd924…7bc2backed Over	42c	35.71$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.71	116	59.5%69 W · 47 L	+13.1wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6dfb…f1b7backed Under	69c	34.42$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.83	782	34.3%268 W · 514 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under	80c	33.67$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.94	866	56.4%488 W · 378 L	-13.8wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ca3…78d8backed Under	66c	30.29$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.99	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	-3.5wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Under	57c	26$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.75	341	2.9%10 W · 331 L	-132.4wins	-0.39per pick	42cpaid	-94%equal weight	10-0.36 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under	76c	21.15$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.99	1,459	53.9%787 W · 672 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Norway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 2.5this page
Norway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Norway vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Norway vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Norway vs. France: France 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. France: France 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Norway vs. France: France 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. France: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Norway vs. France: France O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. France: France O/U 1.5Over won
Norway vs. France: France O/U 2.5Over won
Norway vs. France: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. France: Norway 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Norway vs. France: Norway 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Norway vs. France: Norway 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Norway vs. France: Norway O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. France: Norway O/U 1.5Under won
Norway vs. France: Norway O/U 2.5Under won
Norway vs. France: O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. France: O/U 1.5Over won
Norway vs. France: O/U 2.5Over won
Norway vs. France: O/U 3.5Over won
Norway vs. France: O/U 4.5Over won
Norway vs. France: O/U 5.5Under won
Norway vs. France: O/U 6.5Under won
Norway vs. France: O/U 7.5Under won
Norway vs. France: O/U 8.5Under won
Spread: France (-1.5)France won
Spread: France (-2.5)France won
Spread: France (-3.5)Norway won
Spread: France (-4.5)Norway won
Spread: France (-5.5)Norway won
Spread: Norway (-1.5)France won
Spread: Norway (-2.5)France won
Spread: Norway (-3.5)France won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Norway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event