TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: France (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Norwayof France, Norway
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$253,118
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$264,805

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $253,118 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed France7c37,310$2,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,598.292,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Norway65c20,588$13,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,164.3677152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked France11c15,343$1,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,630.552,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed France30c9,837$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00026320.5%54 W · 209 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Norway69c9,000$6,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,789.8710471.2%74 W · 30 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Norway69c6,740$4,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,063.493,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked France11c5,000$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5551,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked France27c4,115$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11136123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked France35c3,249$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130.464446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa4c…7bfdbacked France7c2,734$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.3914428.5%41 W · 103 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked France29c2,682$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.149450%47 W · 47 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3790…5e8bbacked France12c2,600$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.84623.9%11 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+53.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Norway68c2,471$1,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.844,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8fc…88e1backed France27c2,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2c…bd51backed Norway73c1,800$1,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.557138%27 W · 44 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed France30c1,614$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.4327034.4%93 W · 177 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed Norway62c1,613$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.2225753.3%137 W · 120 L+23.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x20e8…7ba4backed France12c1,558$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.7760%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed France31c1,528$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.151,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Norway65c1,527$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.7265948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed France6c1,494$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.6471638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe72e…c780backed France37c1,370$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014539.3%57 W · 88 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed France18c1,350$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.552,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0823…ec6abacked France11c1,328$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.0943139%168 W · 263 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf763…a0aabacked Norway65c1,257$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.7718765.2%122 W · 65 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked France29c1,242$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.731,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1056…3c9dbacked Norway71c1,211$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.8145445.4%206 W · 248 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed France6c1,045$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9368141.1%280 W · 401 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked France12c946.36$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.322,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bf5…9e5cbacked France11c892.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007343.8%32 W · 41 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaabc…a190backed Norway66c756.18$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.184856.3%27 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x392f…7210backed France7c722.09$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505733.3%19 W · 38 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74cb…1688backed Norway63c634.92$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.924566.7%30 W · 15 L+13.1wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+83.4%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x0393…14b5backed Norway66c603.88$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.535761.4%35 W · 22 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked France25c576.12$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.522,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fe8…72bcbacked France34c523.37$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18017852.2%93 W · 85 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb78d…835dbacked France8c519.74$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4027242.3%115 W · 157 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68e1…b2fabacked France36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18014757.8%85 W · 62 L+16.7wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+24.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x377a…7dc7backed Norway76c500$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.711100%11 W · 0 L+3.4wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.5%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xc4f0…42debacked France10c485.61$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4780%0 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0693…9679backed France27c480.29$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.8722633.6%76 W · 150 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cb8…3e04backed France11c454.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-48.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Norway73c425.53$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.911,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a21…f1babacked France9c409.02$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.211735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe270…eab5backed France4c399.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.224136.9%89 W · 152 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9d…930fbacked France26c362.97$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.0118037.2%67 W · 113 L+0.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed Norway65c357.39$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.1617550.3%88 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Norway80c344.55$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4966846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x541c…a7ecbacked France12c341.88$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406918.8%13 W · 56 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed France37c332.96$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.491,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca09…5e81backed France30c327.94$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005660.7%34 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked France10c320$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.261,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed France19c315$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8539039%152 W · 238 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Norway66c301.68$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.0226459.5%157 W · 107 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8aa1…2242backed France35c285.11$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9af…359cbacked France36c274.64$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8713352.6%70 W · 63 L+8.7wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+4.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf836…e7b5backed France29c268.22$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.323450%17 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad9d…f2cdbacked France11c261.3$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015225.7%39 W · 113 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x848d…9867backed Norway72c209.56$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.6819351.8%100 W · 93 L+0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc23f…6c8abacked France11c204.03$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.854231%13 W · 29 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-41.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x661e…c63ebacked France25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505324.5%13 W · 40 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Norway74c194.92$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.492,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad3f…0228backed France27c185.87$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50759.3%7 W · 68 L-0.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed France28c180.51$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5060821.9%133 W · 475 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc616…3571backed Norway80c180$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365257.7%30 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cf2…b1e2backed France6c171.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.621931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf692…8655backed France12c168.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked France9c163.41$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.083,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked Norway63c159.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0119356%108 W · 85 L+34.7wins+0.18per pick38cpaid+61%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed Norway63c159.38$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.914260.6%86 W · 56 L+25.7wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+49.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked France43c154.63$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.4970750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb77…9b07backed France8c153.87$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124332.6%14 W · 29 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13ba…53e4backed France33c151.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011231.3%35 W · 77 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab6b…521bbacked France7c150$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.518426.1%48 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Norway66c148.18$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.8251429.4%151 W · 363 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Norway65c142$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.721251.9%110 W · 102 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e2…8fb6backed France34c140$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.023053.3%16 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+181.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6dfb…f1b7backed France33c137.75$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8878234.3%268 W · 514 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed85…be20backed France22c136.41$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308833%29 W · 59 L+10.7wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+31.1%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Norway73c128$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9477051.3%395 W · 375 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked France11c117.58$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0574447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3296…c186backed Norway65c106.89$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8912651.6%65 W · 61 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fdc…efadbacked France15c100.87$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154630.4%14 W · 32 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-38.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c33…a66bbacked France29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.31315.4%2 W · 11 L-5.0wins-0.39per pick54cpaid-73.5%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed France19c99.71$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4985550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Norway78c99.18$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5279149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d29…8bb4backed France26c95.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254438.6%17 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked France19c93.53$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.481,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9b2…8e7dbacked France26c92.02$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3712740.9%52 W · 75 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed France37c85.46$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.627745.5%35 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe368…e9edbacked France30c83.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2524935.3%88 W · 161 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed France21c80$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.882,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c7a…f376backed France34c73.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259159.3%54 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a94…822cbacked France35c70.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259248.9%45 W · 47 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x699c…3371backed Norway72c69.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.724515.6%7 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8a3…a68cbacked France30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Norway76c60.77$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8162633.9%212 W · 414 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4efb…abfcbacked France27c59.17$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162927.6%8 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Norway76c58.11$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1130547.2%144 W · 161 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb0b…4817backed France35c56.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025841.1%106 W · 152 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.