Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: France (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa04cb664758874f49215c8bdc81e15b1a280de91b9bd08595b01822e5b59f53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Norwayof France, Norway
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $253,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $264,805
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $253,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed France | 7c | 37,310$2,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,598.29 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Norway | 65c | 20,588$13,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,164.36 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked France | 11c | 15,343$1,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630.55 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed France | 30c | 9,837$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 263 | 20.5%54 W · 209 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Norway | 69c | 9,000$6,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,789.87 | 104 | 71.2%74 W · 30 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Norway | 69c | 6,740$4,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,063.49 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked France | 11c | 5,000$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked France | 27c | 4,115$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111 | 361 | 23.5%85 W · 276 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked France | 35c | 3,249$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.4 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4c…7bfdbacked France | 7c | 2,734$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.39 | 144 | 28.5%41 W · 103 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked France | 29c | 2,682$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.14 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…5e8bbacked France | 12c | 2,600$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.8 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Norway | 68c | 2,471$1,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.84 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed France | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…bd51backed Norway | 73c | 1,800$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.55 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ddf1backed France | 30c | 1,614$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.43 | 270 | 34.4%93 W · 177 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…eff9backed Norway | 62c | 1,613$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.22 | 257 | 53.3%137 W · 120 L | +23.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20e8…7ba4backed France | 12c | 1,558$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.77 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed France | 31c | 1,528$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.15 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Norway | 65c | 1,527$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.72 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed France | 6c | 1,494$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.64 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72e…c780backed France | 37c | 1,370$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed France | 18c | 1,350$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.55 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0823…ec6abacked France | 11c | 1,328$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.09 | 431 | 39%168 W · 263 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…a0aabacked Norway | 65c | 1,257$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.77 | 187 | 65.2%122 W · 65 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked France | 29c | 1,242$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.73 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…3c9dbacked Norway | 71c | 1,211$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.81 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed France | 6c | 1,045$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.93 | 681 | 41.1%280 W · 401 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked France | 12c | 946.36$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.32 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…9e5cbacked France | 11c | 892.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabc…a190backed Norway | 66c | 756.18$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.18 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x392f…7210backed France | 7c | 722.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cb…1688backed Norway | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.92 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +13.1wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x0393…14b5backed Norway | 66c | 603.88$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.53 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked France | 25c | 576.12$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.52 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked France | 34c | 523.37$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 178 | 52.2%93 W · 85 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked France | 8c | 519.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 272 | 42.3%115 W · 157 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked France | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +16.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x377a…7dc7backed Norway | 76c | 500$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.7 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f0…42debacked France | 10c | 485.61$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0693…9679backed France | 27c | 480.29$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.87 | 226 | 33.6%76 W · 150 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb8…3e04backed France | 11c | 454.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Norway | 73c | 425.53$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.91 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a21…f1babacked France | 9c | 409.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe270…eab5backed France | 4c | 399.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 241 | 36.9%89 W · 152 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…930fbacked France | 26c | 362.97$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.01 | 180 | 37.2%67 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…4244backed Norway | 65c | 357.39$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.16 | 175 | 50.3%88 W · 87 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Norway | 80c | 344.55$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x541c…a7ecbacked France | 12c | 341.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed France | 37c | 332.96$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.49 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca09…5e81backed France | 30c | 327.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked France | 10c | 320$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed France | 19c | 315$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 390 | 39%152 W · 238 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…a604backed Norway | 66c | 301.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.02 | 264 | 59.5%157 W · 107 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…2242backed France | 35c | 285.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…359cbacked France | 36c | 274.64$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.87 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed France | 29c | 268.22$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.32 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked France | 11c | 261.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 152 | 25.7%39 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Norway | 72c | 209.56$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.68 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23f…6c8abacked France | 11c | 204.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…c63ebacked France | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Norway | 74c | 194.92$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad3f…0228backed France | 27c | 185.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 75 | 9.3%7 W · 68 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…59f5backed France | 28c | 180.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 608 | 21.9%133 W · 475 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc616…3571backed Norway | 80c | 180$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…b1e2backed France | 6c | 171.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf692…8655backed France | 12c | 168.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked France | 9c | 163.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked Norway | 63c | 159.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.01 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +34.7wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +61%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed Norway | 63c | 159.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.9 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | +25.7wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked France | 43c | 154.63$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.49 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb77…9b07backed France | 8c | 153.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13ba…53e4backed France | 33c | 151.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 31.3%35 W · 77 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab6b…521bbacked France | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Norway | 66c | 148.18$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.82 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Norway | 65c | 142$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e2…8fb6backed France | 34c | 140$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +181.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…f1b7backed France | 33c | 137.75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.88 | 782 | 34.3%268 W · 514 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…be20backed France | 22c | 136.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Norway | 73c | 128$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.94 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked France | 11c | 117.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3296…c186backed Norway | 65c | 106.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.89 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdc…efadbacked France | 15c | 100.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c33…a66bbacked France | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -5.0wins | -0.39per pick | 54cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed France | 19c | 99.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Norway | 78c | 99.18$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…8bb4backed France | 26c | 95.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked France | 19c | 93.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…8e7dbacked France | 26c | 92.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed France | 37c | 85.46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked France | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 249 | 35.3%88 W · 161 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed France | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7a…f376backed France | 34c | 73.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked France | 35c | 70.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3371backed Norway | 72c | 69.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a3…a68cbacked France | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Norway | 76c | 60.77$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4efb…abfcbacked France | 27c | 59.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Norway | 76c | 58.11$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 305 | 47.2%144 W · 161 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…4817backed France | 35c | 56.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 258 | 41.1%106 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: France (-3.5)this page
- Norway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Norway vs. France: France 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: France 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: France 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: France O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: France O/U 1.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: France O/U 2.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: Norway 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: Norway 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: Norway 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: Norway O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: Norway O/U 1.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: Norway O/U 2.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 1.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 2.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 3.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 4.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 5.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 6.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 7.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: France (-1.5)France won
- Spread: France (-2.5)France won
- Spread: France (-4.5)Norway won
- Spread: France (-5.5)Norway won
- Spread: Norway (-1.5)France won
- Spread: Norway (-2.5)France won
- Spread: Norway (-3.5)France won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.