Spread: France (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1af31b06f89438b39f8013b2dbd1108128f9bc09fc415a662ecde9999fca1c8

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Franceof France, Norway
Resolved: Jun 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $4,571,559
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $5,013,170

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,571,559 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,261 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc67a…f0b6backed Norway	54c	925,924$499,999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499,998.95	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-5.6wins	-0.27per pick	51cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked France	44c	250,000$110,453 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139,547.05	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2643…39aebacked France	42c	234,761$98,437 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136,324.39	28	64.3%18 W · 10 L	+2.0wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5848…a698backed Norway	54c	230,000$124,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124,199.89	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+3.2wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+38.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked France	43c	228,238$99,013 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129,225.3	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed France	48c	208,314$98,977 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109,337.22	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1da…fefabacked Norway	54c	163,386$87,595 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87,594.8	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d4f…e5f3backed Norway	54c	150,000$81,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81,000	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed France	47c	150,000$70,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79,499.97	223	48.4%108 W · 115 L	+11.4wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked France	46c	147,154$67,691 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79,463.38	154	56.5%87 W · 67 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked France	46c	137,257$62,648 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74,608.97	239	42.3%101 W · 138 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed France	46c	130,000$59,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70,200	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	-4.0wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Norway	53c	127,724$67,161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67,161.18	174	47.1%82 W · 92 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd684…f320backed France	35c	127,062$44,472 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82,590.16	60	45%27 W · 33 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed France	49c	124,721$60,773 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63,947.96	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Norway	54c	96,826$52,286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52,285.81	116	47.4%55 W · 61 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Norway	57c	90,000$51,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51,300	143	49.7%71 W · 72 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked France	36c	90,000$32,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57,599.88	423	45.6%193 W · 230 L	+10.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Norway	55c	86,415$47,117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47,116.95	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Norway	48c	83,980$40,691 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40,690.93	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Norway	64c	76,000$48,640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48,639.97	179	49.2%88 W · 91 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked France	46c	74,706$34,365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40,341.37	187	38%71 W · 116 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Norway	57c	72,240$41,177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41,177	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed France	46c	60,000$27,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32,400	89	32.6%29 W · 60 L	-10.7wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb41a…5b07backed France	52c	59,585$30,984 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28,600.61	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x839e…0d3cbacked Norway	65c	51,551$33,508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33,508	136	39%53 W · 83 L	-6.5wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Norway	58c	49,595$28,765 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,765.1	208	44.7%93 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x355d…65e0backed France	47c	44,746$21,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,746.38	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+3.2wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+24%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed France	39c	41,443$15,996 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,447.32	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83b4…23febacked Norway	55c	41,152$22,587 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,587.07	57	45.6%26 W · 31 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed France	46c	39,600$18,216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,384.04	91	42.9%39 W · 52 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdfe…030ebacked Norway	58c	39,580$22,880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,880.17	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+1.7wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Norway	65c	35,772$23,296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,296.48	510	32.5%166 W · 344 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdac7…6d53backed France	46c	34,014$15,646 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,367.53	91	31.9%29 W · 62 L	-6.5wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked France	46c	31,424$14,455 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,968.74	644	46.4%299 W · 345 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed France	46c	30,000$13,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,150.49	151	50.3%76 W · 75 L	+7.6wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Norway	64c	30,000$19,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,199.9	534	48.5%259 W · 275 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed France	43c	26,015$11,186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,828.34	264	47.7%126 W · 138 L	+9.8wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x76be…120ebacked France	36c	22,791$8,205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,585.96	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+46.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x70ef…e6ddbacked France	46c	22,500$10,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,149.98	108	40.7%44 W · 64 L	+5.0wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Norway	65c	21,000$13,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,650	148	29.7%44 W · 104 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf377…4159backed France	48c	20,951$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,950.51	53	28.3%15 W · 38 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c8e…a316backed France	44c	20,000$8,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,200	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-1.8wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed France	47c	20,000$9,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,599.99	219	37%81 W · 138 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Norway	61c	19,300$11,760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,759.9	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked Norway	53c	18,868$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	68	42.6%29 W · 39 L	-4.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b43…c5cbbacked Norway	57c	16,688$9,512 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,512.15	43	48.8%21 W · 22 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e4b…3fc2backed France	38c	16,469$6,258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,211.01	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed France	36c	15,000$5,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,600	114	43%49 W · 65 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed France	36c	15,000$5,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,600	273	45.8%125 W · 148 L	+14.2wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x19b5…c0aebacked Norway	53c	14,977$7,938 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,937.94	77	57.1%44 W · 33 L	+5.5wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Norway	40c	14,657$5,829 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,829.01	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Norway	51c	14,356$7,265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,265.33	200	44.5%89 W · 111 L	-10.8wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0a2…353abacked France	36c	13,900$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,899.61	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked France	44c	13,860$6,030 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,829.8	206	33%68 W · 138 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ff5…6afbbacked France	47c	13,281$6,242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,039.04	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+1.8wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Norway	54c	13,000$7,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,019.99	79	49.4%39 W · 40 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed France	46c	12,753$5,866 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,886.5	61	49.2%30 W · 31 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked France	38c	12,535$4,763 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,771.81	187	40.6%76 W · 111 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Norway	64c	12,509$8,006 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,005.76	702	44.6%313 W · 389 L	+13.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Norway	57c	12,000$6,830 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,829.94	502	43.4%218 W · 284 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73f8…8234backed Norway	54c	11,901$6,427 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,426.64	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Norway	53c	11,312$5,995 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,995.19	99	48.5%48 W · 51 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Norway	58c	11,150$6,519 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,518.7	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed France	41c	11,110$4,511 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,599.34	320	29.4%94 W · 226 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Norway	57c	11,000$6,257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,256.79	476	43.3%206 W · 270 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c7a…aa54backed France	48c	10,417$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,416.67	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	20cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18b8…c368backed France	36c	10,389$3,740 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,648.89	177	33.9%60 W · 117 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed France	46c	10,175$4,681 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,494.5	297	40.1%119 W · 178 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Norway	56c	10,000$5,620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,620	44	52.3%23 W · 21 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d75…3d44backed France	45c	10,000$4,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,500	108	51.9%56 W · 52 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked France	46c	10,000$4,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,400	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed France	46c	9,913$4,560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,352.93	105	62.9%66 W · 39 L	+9.0wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xabff…9e8fbacked France	46c	9,783$4,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,282.61	93	49.5%46 W · 47 L	+5.6wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked France	46c	9,656$4,467 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,188.65	175	44%77 W · 98 L	+9.8wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Norway	52c	9,543$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	108	49.1%53 W · 55 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8013…2a30backed France	53c	9,515$5,043 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,472.19	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+2.2wins	+0.22per pick	48cpaid	+27.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x60fe…f557backed Norway	55c	9,427$5,185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,185.04	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-2.4wins	-0.16per pick	50cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Norway	19c	9,269$1,742 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,741.67	536	29.9%160 W · 376 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Norway	59c	8,612$5,057 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,056.68	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Norway	58c	8,004$4,648 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,648.36	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked France	40c	8,000$3,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,800	362	47.2%171 W · 191 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed France	45c	8,000$3,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,400	362	50.8%184 W · 178 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Norway	59c	7,905$4,643 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,643	125	36.8%46 W · 79 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Norway	65c	7,666$4,983 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,982.83	69	53.6%37 W · 32 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6799…9cc2backed Norway	51c	7,194$3,669 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,668.92	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.23per pick	52cpaid	-41%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea39…9d34backed France	44c	6,960$3,062 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,897.36	145	54.5%79 W · 66 L	+12.6wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed France	73c	6,676$4,874 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,802.6	372	42.5%158 W · 214 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe275…f1eebacked France	46c	6,522$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,521.74	40	32.5%13 W · 27 L	-3.1wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x917d…d28dbacked Norway	65c	6,415$4,169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,169.47	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.18per pick	57cpaid	+38.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x34ec…f538backed France	47c	6,094$2,864 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,229.9	51	37.3%19 W · 32 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Norway	64c	6,000$3,840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,840	224	51.3%115 W · 109 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Norway	64c	6,000$3,840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,840	296	46.3%137 W · 159 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Norway	58c	5,678$3,315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,315.46	190	37.4%71 W · 119 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Norway	53c	5,660$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	82	51.2%42 W · 40 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Norway	4c	5,629$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.58	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Norway	57c	5,569$3,155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,154.79	441	44%194 W · 247 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Norway	55c	5,451$2,990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,990.28	474	42.8%203 W · 271 L	-14.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x939a…3e95backed Norway	65c	5,413$3,518 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,518.24	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7265…8712backed Norway	59c	5,325$3,155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,154.73	335	48.4%162 W · 173 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: France (-1.5)this page
Norway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Norway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
Norway vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Norway vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Norway vs. France: France 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. France: France 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Norway vs. France: France 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. France: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Norway vs. France: France O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. France: France O/U 1.5Over won
Norway vs. France: France O/U 2.5Over won
Norway vs. France: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. France: Norway 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Norway vs. France: Norway 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Norway vs. France: Norway 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Norway vs. France: Norway O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. France: Norway O/U 1.5Under won
Norway vs. France: Norway O/U 2.5Under won
Norway vs. France: O/U 0.5Over won
Norway vs. France: O/U 1.5Over won
Norway vs. France: O/U 2.5Over won
Norway vs. France: O/U 3.5Over won
Norway vs. France: O/U 4.5Over won
Norway vs. France: O/U 5.5Under won
Norway vs. France: O/U 6.5Under won
Norway vs. France: O/U 7.5Under won
Norway vs. France: O/U 8.5Under won
Spread: France (-2.5)France won
Spread: France (-3.5)Norway won
Spread: France (-4.5)Norway won
Spread: France (-5.5)Norway won
Spread: Norway (-1.5)France won
Spread: Norway (-2.5)France won
Spread: Norway (-3.5)France won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: France (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event