TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Norway vs. France: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,428,278
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,315,811

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,428,278 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 580 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe549…2d54backed Over55c299,999$165,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164,999.6415552.3%81 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under45c82,764$37,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,475.261,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over4c73,667$2,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,711.6251514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under42c55,555$23,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,221.942345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under56c54,309$30,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,041.362,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5739…e8b6backed Over48c51,260$24,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,835.774740.4%19 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3797…bca3backed Over0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5060%0 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f0c…7ca5backed Under80c37,620$30,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,584.441560%9 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+148.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed Over10c36,811$3,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,681.0910128.7%29 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under45c36,502$16,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,076.1313738.7%53 W · 84 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over25c31,093$7,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,666.653,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f7d…f097backed Over0c31,000$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3110915.6%17 W · 92 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over48c30,627$14,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,756.072,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59ab…1488backed Over55c25,000$13,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,850850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf94f…9adabacked Over50c21,572$10,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,786.192763%17 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under44c19,763$8,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,067.0666846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Under41c17,297$7,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,205.3925844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over58c13,569$7,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,869.9974752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c12,489$6,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,631.64,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x353c…01d9backed Under49c12,252$6,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,197.243167.7%21 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed Under53c11,994$6,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,637.3410562.9%66 W · 39 L+9.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over50c10,840$5,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,453.6924533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over58c10,601$6,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,150.7825339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d75…3d44backed Under44c10,000$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,60010851.9%56 W · 52 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d06…f79dbacked Over12c8,819$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.2512536.8%46 W · 79 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Under56c8,720$4,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,835.9577433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under46c8,195$3,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,437.3577152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d2…fe85backed Under45c8,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,4003043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x13b8…d1afbacked Under47c6,600$3,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,503.7612655.6%70 W · 56 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under43c5,963$2,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,410.584,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over4c5,679$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.7959453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over35c5,584$1,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,959.091,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed Under46c5,513$2,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,953.6829030.7%89 W · 201 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under52c5,369$2,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,552.2337650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45ad…55b7backed Over56c5,357$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0006459.4%38 W · 26 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under50c5,132$2,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,554.6764446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked Over49c5,102$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50014727.2%40 W · 107 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Under59c5,096$3,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,089.2139644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over28c5,003$1,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,414.642,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb00d…af5fbacked Under51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,449.999650%48 W · 48 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under52c4,798$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,297.6620262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under48c4,682$2,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,422.8825942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under44c4,454$1,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,482.9543737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb51c…5118backed Under45c4,444$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,444.444744.7%21 W · 26 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under76c4,201$3,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.5565948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6219…aa6fbacked Over59c4,190$2,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,47210057%57 W · 43 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over9c4,094$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.878,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46cf…42eabacked Over53c4,000$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,120.113855.3%21 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over33c4,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32043248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over40c3,942$1,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,562.572,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe80…0784backed Under42c3,774$1,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,188.814351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a44…d5a5backed Over73c3,349$2,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,444.5116549.1%81 W · 84 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0e1…b9b4backed Under45c3,333$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.337146.5%33 W · 38 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x459b…f771backed Under42c3,330$1,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,931.549243.5%40 W · 52 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82da…da33backed Under47c3,181$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,680.983240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Under41c3,171$1,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,856.975846.6%27 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86f4…bd70backed Under42c3,145$1,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,824.246056.7%34 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over61c3,036$1,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,858.733544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12a2…0e71backed Under78c3,028$2,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.2119158.1%111 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over63c3,008$1,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,906.0827032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e61…5ad4backed Under44c3,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.992347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Over11c3,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3305911.9%7 W · 52 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick7cpaid+220.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over67c2,970$1,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,99035244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under44c2,888$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,617.6233740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Over63c2,872$1,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,818.7663544.4%282 W · 353 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Over56c2,800$1,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56819850.5%100 W · 98 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Under42c2,778$1,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,609.0587237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4dc…a504backed Over59c2,705$1,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,595.72425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-56.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Over56c2,546$1,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,426.6320150.7%102 W · 99 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e98…1583backed Over12c2,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008349.4%41 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x200e…38b3backed Under42c2,437$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,413.42437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8f7…b542backed Under42c2,355$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,365.762450%12 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over73c2,280$1,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,667.0423857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf6f1…b386backed Under45c2,222$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.224341.9%18 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed Under45c2,222$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.2216953.3%90 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…4d6ebacked Over56c2,143$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2002544%11 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3bf…762dbacked Over72c2,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4403056.7%17 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x694d…9aadbacked Over25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004650%23 W · 23 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed Over11c2,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2209819.4%19 W · 79 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+146.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.9830626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Over57c1,907$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.131,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41c2…b6a5backed Over59c1,899$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.425248.1%25 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over36c1,861$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.261,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Over50c1,830$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.9630642.8%131 W · 175 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c8…7cc8backed Under42c1,800$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04412241%50 W · 72 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Over58c1,775$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.5337944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba57…1e84backed Over63c1,707$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.347560%45 W · 30 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over59c1,695$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00037955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf69…04a0backed Over12c1,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012514.4%18 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-29%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Over45c1,645$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.2117534.9%61 W · 114 L-0.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over9c1,590$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.0243826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdec9…17e8backed Under45c1,557$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.733943.6%17 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over51c1,535$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.0211122.5%25 W · 86 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under49c1,515$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.0425049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37d9…5442backed Over59c1,505$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88831435.7%112 W · 202 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb37a…f1b1backed Over70c1,500$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0453826.3%10 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick30cpaid+132.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae76…2763backed Over10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018626.3%49 W · 137 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over12c1,500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18034125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54d3…4d37backed Under62c1,474$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.426845.6%31 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under45c1,436$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.5119946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.