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Fifa International · resolved market

Norway vs. France: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,409,380
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,391,209

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,409,380 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 638 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Over53c68,761$36,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,074.411,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c66,812$34,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,004.914,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under51c47,614$24,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,236.4664446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f12…8140backed Over37c43,558$16,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,235.674025%10 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Under74c36,619$27,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,258.8751032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under70c31,463$21,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,924.382,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x594d…059dbacked Under78c31,355$24,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,599.031560%9 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over39c28,742$11,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,418.913,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over25c26,005$6,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,479.5645428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5739…e8b6backed Under8c23,322$1,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,865.774740.4%19 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x59ab…1488backed Over78c22,703$17,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,101.66850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d06…f79dbacked Over24c16,667$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,666.6712536.8%46 W · 79 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under16c14,812$2,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,431.14,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over22c13,553$2,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,571.281,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Under2c13,203$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.3426534%90 W · 175 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Under42c12,235$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,1007163.4%45 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fcf…e455backed Under3c12,107$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.214544.8%65 W · 80 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+57.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under16c10,588$1,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,733.9241331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over66c10,570$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,570.336539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under77c10,548$8,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,121.9670244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over31c9,308$2,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,438.158,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Under3c7,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18025125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf16e…43afbacked Under43c6,910$2,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9949525.3%24 W · 71 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Under15c6,262$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.1324533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under44c6,152$2,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,728.92,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7a…9e24backed Under14c6,141$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.9513234.1%45 W · 87 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under22c5,870$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.5113738.7%53 W · 84 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45ad…55b7backed Under54c5,587$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0006459.4%38 W · 26 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Under16c5,486$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.822933.6%77 W · 152 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under1c5,035$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7221722.1%48 W · 169 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3045…9c3cbacked Over60c4,923$2,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,962.712114.3%3 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-43.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Over22c4,881$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,830.9447235%165 W · 307 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa526…c9f9backed Under62c4,812$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0004161%25 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Under14c4,743$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.4958926.8%158 W · 431 L-30.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a66…dcc2backed Over64c4,659$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,658.627244.4%32 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under55c4,540$2,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,486.7137650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3642…74eabacked Under4c4,498$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.8513727%37 W · 100 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35ac…07b4backed Under70c4,296$3,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,006.081668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under11c4,245$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.7430626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over23c4,176$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,234.952,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over24c4,080$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,100.81,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under9c4,023$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.1685550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over65c3,900$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.4743248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over23c3,882$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,988.8117748%85 W · 92 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under75c3,877$2,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,915.751,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f5d…80a3backed Over78c3,846$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.153865.8%25 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under14c3,718$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.5744130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8077…ffefbacked Under8c3,569$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.543935.9%14 W · 25 L+6.7wins+0.17per pick19cpaid+97.7%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over49c3,563$1,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,818.462,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41a8…ff67backed Over23c3,206$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,468.957448.6%36 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over54c3,051$1,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.431,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,41022643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4df…54dbbacked Over15c2,960$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,502.957835.9%28 W · 50 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5be2…1b70backed Over78c2,949$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.723060%18 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b2a…7b2fbacked Under10c2,850$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.511216.1%18 W · 94 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+56%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x771c…ec16backed Under10c2,850$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.55726.3%15 W · 42 L+7.3wins+0.13per pick14cpaid+149.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa516…0392backed Under77c2,799$2,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,155.212839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over22c2,685$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,094.121,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under29c2,622$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.1366846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under23c2,517$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57925942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under66c2,197$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,449.5936235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under36c2,181$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.4742541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e98…1583backed Over23c2,174$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,673.918349.4%41 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Under57c2,070$1,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,189.2320150.7%102 W · 99 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3bf…762dbacked Over76c2,000$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4803056.7%17 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fd2…93ddbacked Over21c1,970$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.369839.8%39 W · 59 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under5c1,919$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.3219946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over23c1,915$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,474.22,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Under53c1,900$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.613731.4%43 W · 94 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3c5…21e2backed Over54c1,852$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.852055%11 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd62…6c34backed Under73c1,844$1,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,345.323378.8%26 W · 7 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick65cpaid+34.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6e2c…bd51backed Under73c1,800$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3207138%27 W · 44 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8630…158bbacked Under65c1,646$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.6810233.3%34 W · 68 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…cf79backed Under10c1,626$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.545119.6%10 W · 41 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick10cpaid+170.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over20c1,586$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,270.7643826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Over60c1,500$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60014433.3%48 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf622…b1f0backed Under10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick8cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…3902backed Over23c1,500$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+29.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35ec…becbbacked Under10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503713.5%5 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick13cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over29c1,467$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.672,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82d0…54dabacked Over67c1,396$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x503a…8322backed Under72c1,391$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007047.1%33 W · 37 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bb6…c956backed Over72c1,385$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.351560%9 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Under42c1,353$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.5733544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Over15c1,343$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,142.6517636.4%64 W · 112 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+35.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe270…eab5backed Under25c1,319$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.924136.9%89 W · 152 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x611a…e171backed Over53c1,285$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.492948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Under74c1,282$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95221143.1%91 W · 120 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d5…45eebacked Over78c1,282$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.056261.3%38 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Over65c1,262$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.7336234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Over21c1,257$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$993.3477845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6255…a29bbacked Under4c1,250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509323.7%22 W · 71 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb30…b74bbacked Under10c1,240$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.42330.4%7 W · 16 L+4.5wins+0.20per pick11cpaid+231.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe41b…9397backed Under40c1,200$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-32.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0df…9cf9backed Under10c1,200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202020%4 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick7cpaid+121.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b85…55f5backed Under10c1,200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1209912.1%12 W · 87 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7575…10dabacked Under10c1,200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick14cpaid+61.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd19…3fb8backed Under10c1,200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206910.1%7 W · 62 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick8cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b9f…2087backed Under10c1,200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205318.9%10 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick9cpaid+115.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.