TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcd62…6c34

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 59 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT3378.8%26 W · 7 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick65cpaid+34.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$27.86
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$24.47
Brazil vs. Norway: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Paraguay vs. France: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.54
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$17.95
Spain to win the second half?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$34.8
United States leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$63.49
Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Belgium vs. Senegal: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.77
Paraguay leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$78.55
Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$76.58
Argentina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$479Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+72.9%+$349.32
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$95.49
France leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$801Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$556.56
Norway vs. France: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,345Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,345.32
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,383Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,382.96
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+41%+$57.81
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$834Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+48.6%+$405.19
Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$719Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+57.9%+$416.2
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,255.24
Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,721Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+53.4%+$1,453.29
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,693Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$477.49
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+33%+$693.09
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,194.85
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$63.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kashima Antlers vs. Nagoya Grampus: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$311.76
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.