South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Draw at halftime?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62fb6ba5f0f82002f2fcb1f44f4578010e15fa22324bdc9d7f9e5e21dbfe3b78

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $73,563
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $89,374

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,563 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No	29c	16,947$4,913 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,912.69	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	66c	7,520$4,963 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,556.9	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d0e…d06abacked Yes	43c	7,000$3,010 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,990	50	42%21 W · 29 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes	43c	6,837$2,962 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,875.11	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f3d…2023backed Yes	68c	5,882$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,882.5	58	62.1%36 W · 22 L	+4.2wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No	52c	5,260$2,752 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,751.57	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No	31c	3,553$1,115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,115.39	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No	57c	3,349$1,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,900.04	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked No	5c	2,702$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.36	515	14.2%73 W · 442 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ec…267dbacked Yes	67c	2,525$1,692 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$833.25	278	45.7%127 W · 151 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd62…6c34backed Yes	78c	2,170$1,693 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$477.49	33	78.8%26 W · 7 L	+4.7wins	+0.14per pick	65cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd8ff…473dbacked Yes	48c	1,821$874 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$946.83	94	40.4%38 W · 56 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes	74c	1,618$1,193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$424.44	626	33.9%212 W · 414 L	-28.6wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No	57c	1,600$912 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$912	378	50.5%191 W · 187 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No	57c	1,400$798 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$798	383	51.4%197 W · 186 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed No	38c	1,199$457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$456.55	176	29%51 W · 125 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Yes	53c	943.4$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$443.4	233	53.2%124 W · 109 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked No	20c	682.61$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.89	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x484a…316abacked Yes	43c	669.77$288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$381.77	66	36.4%24 W · 42 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5f9…fa68backed No	11c	650.42$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.27	172	23.3%40 W · 132 L	+7.7wins	+0.05per pick	19cpaid	+28%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No	57c	600$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342	390	50.8%198 W · 192 L	-8.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb8…067cbacked No	57c	599.99$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341.99	151	49.7%75 W · 76 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No	57c	400$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228	352	51.7%182 W · 170 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No	57c	400$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228	408	48.8%199 W · 209 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No	57c	400$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228	370	51.4%190 W · 180 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No	57c	312$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.84	374	52.1%195 W · 179 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No	57c	280$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.6	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	75c	277.06$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.13	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No	57c	260.6$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.54	353	52.7%186 W · 167 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd883…714ebacked Yes	42c	236.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.32	70	38.6%27 W · 43 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd34c…10b4backed Yes	43c	232.56$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.56	724	24.7%179 W · 545 L	-9.4wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No	57c	203.34$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.9	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed No	57c	200$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114	114	45.6%52 W · 62 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e43…2578backed Yes	43c	200$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114	399	56.6%226 W · 173 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb68…e362backed No	39c	200$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	342	38.6%132 W · 210 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed No	57c	199.99$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114	1,005	44.3%445 W · 560 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked No	27c	174.99$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.7	350	34.3%120 W · 230 L	-24.0wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes	68c	166.8$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.2	879	38.6%339 W · 540 L	+8.3wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2840…7059backed Yes	79c	150$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.5	62	41.9%26 W · 36 L	-4.4wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No	57c	140.99$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.36	1,688	54.4%918 W · 770 L	+31.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb124…7380backed Yes	45c	134.37$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.37	345	37.1%128 W · 217 L	-14.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed No	57c	120$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.4	234	53%124 W · 110 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No	57c	119.99$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.39	175	57.1%100 W · 75 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No	57c	115.56$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.87	716	38.4%275 W · 441 L	+8.7wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed No	57c	100$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	572	52.4%300 W · 272 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1c34…266dbacked No	56c	100$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	256	55.1%141 W · 115 L	-10.9wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x640b…d920backed Yes	79c	97.19$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.41	190	27.9%53 W · 137 L	-6.5wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No	60c	90.08$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.88	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x75b0…7db2backed Yes	59c	85.22$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.22	104	51.9%54 W · 50 L	+5.1wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed No	57c	80$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.6	1,421	47.8%679 W · 742 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a0b…d29dbacked No	56c	72.27$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.47	348	44.3%154 W · 194 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfaea…95a9backed Yes	46c	67.39$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.39	210	22.4%47 W · 163 L	-7.3wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No	36c	60.25$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.77	483	28%135 W · 348 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa135…68b8backed No	57c	60.24$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.54	322	45.3%146 W · 176 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No	57c	60$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.2	459	49.5%227 W · 232 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87cb…643abacked Yes	60c	50.6$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.24	209	42.6%89 W · 120 L	-8.0wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No	57c	50$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.5	2,231	49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L	-21.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No	51c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	648	50.6%328 W · 320 L	-13.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x973d…e294backed Yes	43c	46.51$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.51	301	48.2%145 W · 156 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e7f…2015backed No	30c	45$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.35	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-11%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd366…0184backed Yes	69c	43.48$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.48	78	42.3%33 W · 45 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc826…fcb3backed Yes	44c	40.75$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.82	116	42.2%49 W · 67 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa5dd…345cbacked Yes	62c	40.32$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.32	157	47.1%74 W · 83 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb902…10c0backed No	57c	40$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.8	111	35.1%39 W · 72 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x72e8…66aebacked No	57c	40$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.8	57	47.4%27 W · 30 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcab9…eb2dbacked Yes	77c	36.1$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.3	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.08per pick	69cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No	56c	35.53$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.9	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e60…da40backed Yes	50c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	83	32.5%27 W · 56 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa343…68d8backed Yes	43c	26.16$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.91	44	59.1%26 W · 18 L	+5.4wins	+0.12per pick	47cpaid	+19%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No	57c	26.16$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.91	188	50%94 W · 94 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dea…e914backed Yes	80c	25.13$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.12	73	60.3%44 W · 29 L	+4.1wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x375d…075dbacked No	43c	25$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.64	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.30per pick	55cpaid	-64.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed No	57c	25$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.15	1,293	53.6%693 W · 600 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Yes	63c	24$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.88	635	44.4%282 W · 353 L	-18.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No	57c	23.26$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.26	264	54.5%144 W · 120 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Yes	55c	23$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.35	534	48.5%259 W · 275 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf58b…51fdbacked No	58c	22$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.76	125	50.4%63 W · 62 L	-5.6wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-13%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d63…0687backed No	55c	22$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.1	208	48.6%101 W · 107 L	-8.6wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x997f…f379backed No	58c	22$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.76	55	40%22 W · 33 L	-5.8wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe9c7…147abacked No	58c	21.3$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.35	147	46.3%68 W · 79 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…0b63backed No	56c	21$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.76	109	45%49 W · 60 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x378a…09e2backed No	58c	21$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.18	78	60.3%47 W · 31 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83a7…bb13backed No	58c	21$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.18	229	42.8%98 W · 131 L	-8.8wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x98d7…f41abacked No	58c	20.75$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.04	257	48.6%125 W · 132 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x82a0…14b3backed No	57c	20.62$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.75	282	57.1%161 W · 121 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No	57c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.4	464	53.2%247 W · 217 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc51…44d9backed Yes	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No	57c	18$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.26	1,045	29.3%306 W · 739 L	-10.8wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Draw at halftime?this page
Korea Republic leading at halftime?No won
South Africa leading at halftime?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Draw at halftime?

What this market resolved to

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