TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa343…68d8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
110
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 59 out of 100; worst World Politics at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4459.1%26 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.66
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.63
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.19
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$6.68
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$17.6
France vs. Sweden: France O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.93
France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.35
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.06
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.45
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.58
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.24
Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$24.75
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+150%+$17.18
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$15.69
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.89
Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.91
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$6.89
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.91
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$7.3
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advancebacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.38
Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 0 Canada?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
South Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.26
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.54
Algeria vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+152.4%+$16.06
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+82.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+168.8%+$17.22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.73
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.88
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+114.6%+$90.51
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.63
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+1,287.9%+$128.79
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+592.4%+$293.78
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
All 15 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.49
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on July 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.79
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.71
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.33
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$19.5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.28
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$8.02
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+203%+$27.28
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+76.4%+$8.48
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.22
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on June 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6.28
All 13 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+54.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick45cpaid+83.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+51.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Pakistan vs Netherlandsbacked Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$8.9
Major League Cricket: Seattle Orcas vs Los Angeles Knight Ridersbacked Los Angeles Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.35
All 3 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: REJECT vs QT DIG∞ (BO3) - VCL Japan Main Stagebacked QT DIG∞ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.83
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.