Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 26?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4558ffbe1406271c599fe7c233f7afd3c7fd328fd1db3bc46b6c6e4c3c455e7a

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $44,080
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $44,346

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,080 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0037…8d61backed Yes	0c	4,174$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ae0…7483backed Yes	52c	2,047$1,061 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,060.55	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ff2…f140backed Yes	3c	1,616$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.39	237	23.2%55 W · 182 L	+6.9wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+42.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf421…efcebacked Yes	1c	1,568$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.77	23	4.3%1 W · 22 L	-1.8wins	-0.08per pick	12cpaid	-82.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bee…7e78backed Yes	1c	1,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.7	128	16.4%21 W · 107 L	+6.3wins	+0.05per pick	11cpaid	+67.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	3c	903.15$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.51	266	32.7%87 W · 179 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f6…828ebacked Yes	3c	900$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.8	67	31.3%21 W · 46 L	+7.3wins	+0.11per pick	20cpaid	+66.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8fbd…a959backed Yes	40c	716.62$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.58	392	31.9%125 W · 267 L	+22.5wins	+0.06per pick	26cpaid	+24%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe040…824fbacked No	80c	714.37$570 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.62	218	54.6%119 W · 99 L	+6.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x019c…e8d2backed Yes	60c	689.47$415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$414.54	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x044f…d1f1backed No	56c	685.1$383 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$302.08	327	48.6%159 W · 168 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes	2c	651.11$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.1	80	25%20 W · 60 L	+4.6wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes	16c	646.15$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.41	104	14.4%15 W · 89 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes	17c	624.26$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.78	37	35.1%13 W · 24 L	+4.2wins	+0.11per pick	24cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x57ee…8112backed Yes	2c	599.98$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.3	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.7wins	+0.57per pick	10cpaid	+389.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No	75c	588.37$441 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.42	235	51.9%122 W · 113 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa054…a95dbacked No	66c	541.14$356 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.24	59	61%36 W · 23 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+38.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd36…a832backed Yes	41c	488.14$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	60c	414.25$249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.85	884	48.5%429 W · 455 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No	73c	392$286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.82	352	58%204 W · 148 L	-4.6wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed No	57c	389.87$221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$169.15	184	45.7%84 W · 100 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-11%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No	71c	361.35$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.37	160	51.9%83 W · 77 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34f…7d2ebacked No	76c	332.2$253 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.4	406	48.8%198 W · 208 L	+11.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3290…53cbbacked Yes	42c	331.45$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	90	20%18 W · 72 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fc1…647abacked Yes	36c	300$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.29	64	48.4%31 W · 33 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc3…3472backed No	61c	265.03$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.3	120	55%66 W · 54 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcef6…2adebacked Yes	30c	265$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.7	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-2.4wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x858b…a2cebacked Yes	45c	259.59$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.09	55	36.4%20 W · 35 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No	59c	246.06$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.66	343	54.8%188 W · 155 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-12%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf33c…488cbacked Yes	42c	237.78$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.01	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.16per pick	45cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24e8…4546backed No	48c	233.71$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.68	179	52.5%94 W · 85 L	-15.0wins	-0.08per pick	61cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No	51c	231.69$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.13	274	38.3%105 W · 169 L	-32.3wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0947…9e92backed No	51c	230.6$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.62	31	74.2%23 W · 8 L	+6.1wins	+0.20per pick	55cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	8c	215.51$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.67	230	44.8%103 W · 127 L	+11.8wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x35e6…7a4dbacked No	76c	205.07$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.56	91	60.4%55 W · 36 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes	58c	196.04$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.87	136	46.3%63 W · 73 L	-10.5wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x25b2…4edbbacked Yes	28c	193.91$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bdd…0872backed Yes	43c	186.81$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	-3.4wins	-0.11per pick	38cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xedbd…dd60backed No	54c	170$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.5	157	66.2%104 W · 53 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	66cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3fa…4531backed Yes	28c	168.5$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.11	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+1.4wins	+0.09per pick	31cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb07c…6c36backed Yes	35c	159.99$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.3	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdfbd…5a6cbacked No	68c	156.91$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.6	77	41.6%32 W · 45 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	42c	150.47$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.5	1,318	43.9%579 W · 739 L	-26.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-13%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e5c…d892backed No	69c	150.26$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.3	73	53.4%39 W · 34 L	+10.5wins	+0.14per pick	39cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes	43c	150.19$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.04	186	38.2%71 W · 115 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x655c…1a00backed No	48c	150$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78	54	46.3%25 W · 29 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-11%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes	40c	148.77$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.85	394	14%55 W · 339 L	-71.9wins	-0.18per pick	32cpaid	-73.1%equal weight	31-0.17 edge/pick
0x7328…dbffbacked Yes	20c	140.78$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.41	61	26.2%16 W · 45 L	+2.9wins	+0.05per pick	21cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2be…ff33backed No	51c	138$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.62	59	45.8%27 W · 32 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes	38c	135$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.75	169	34.9%59 W · 110 L	+11.4wins	+0.07per pick	28cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe229…ea0fbacked Yes	35c	125.41$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.13	42	61.9%26 W · 16 L	+5.5wins	+0.13per pick	49cpaid	+28.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x710b…a42dbacked Yes	17c	117.94$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd514…bbdfbacked No	44c	112.7$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.74	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+3.4wins	+0.20per pick	44cpaid	+44.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes	26c	112.09$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.59	444	28.8%128 W · 316 L	-67.6wins	-0.15per pick	44cpaid	-51.6%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0x8dae…125cbacked Yes	34c	110.3$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No	62c	105$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.34	311	52.4%163 W · 148 L	-12.4wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ed…156fbacked No	48c	104.99$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.59	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.9wins	+0.32per pick	52cpaid	+80.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes	10c	103.13$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.34	221	11.3%25 W · 196 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ec1…e2e3backed Yes	29c	100.59$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.93	87	36.8%32 W · 55 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3721…3abebacked Yes	35c	100$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	+2.0wins	+0.08per pick	27cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes	51c	100$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	63	30.2%19 W · 44 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-16%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x379f…7d70backed No	72c	100$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+37%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f3e…5337backed Yes	45c	99.99$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.84	110	45.5%50 W · 60 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa8c…9169backed Yes	35c	98.15$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.86	133	57.1%76 W · 57 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46f1…701fbacked No	67c	94.08$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.82	120	55.8%67 W · 53 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Yes	43c	92.65$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.84	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Yes	43c	92.65$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.84	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7df0…0dfebacked No	62c	91.14$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.97	234	59.8%140 W · 94 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d1d…9e61backed No	54c	90$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.22	144	67.4%97 W · 47 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	66cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x361c…99d4backed No	57c	88.4$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.01	17	76.5%13 W · 4 L	+1.5wins	+0.09per pick	67cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x70c4…1008backed Yes	47c	82.79$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.13	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-26%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe01…87d3backed Yes	46c	81.31$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.45	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-2.1wins	-0.15per pick	37cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed No	54c	80.73$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.09	133	48.1%64 W · 69 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x077c…8b1fbacked No	61c	80$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.1	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0493…8d1cbacked No	48c	80$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.6	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.52per pick	48cpaid	+108.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x802d…d59abacked Yes	29c	80$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.2	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	+4.5wins	+0.08per pick	35cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x69f0…fb27backed No	79c	79.24$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.77	159	54.1%86 W · 73 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0a5…0a36backed No	54c	77.48$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.49	88	56.8%50 W · 38 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd9c…f0c8backed Yes	45c	77.09$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.81	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x38e2…2909backed Yes	46c	74.37$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	181	58%105 W · 76 L	+13.2wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ab7…0bd3backed Yes	34c	73.99$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.17	72	48.6%35 W · 37 L	+4.4wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xabb7…df91backed Yes	47c	73.92$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.55	45	55.6%25 W · 20 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa99…29afbacked Yes	32c	72.72$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.44	72	36.1%26 W · 46 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4245…a467backed Yes	38c	70$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.4	167	38.3%64 W · 103 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4248…60abbacked Yes	31c	69.45$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.25	79	51.9%41 W · 38 L	-5.1wins	-0.07per pick	58cpaid	-16%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xebdb…5ac4backed No	50c	66.66$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.62	43	44.2%19 W · 24 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5675…f6a6backed No	69c	64.78$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.78	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-3.0wins	-0.15per pick	60cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes	28c	64.39$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.03	122	38.5%47 W · 75 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c63…93d4backed Yes	32c	63$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.11	441	38.1%168 W · 273 L	+27.8wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaac4…efa0backed No	55c	62.97$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.32	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc41d…c51dbacked Yes	43c	61.76$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.56	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4606…7f19backed No	58c	60.73$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.73	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	70cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9735…9b4ebacked No	66c	60.21$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.21	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7529…9d10backed No	57c	60$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.8	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.22per pick	53cpaid	+42%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0838…64f6backed Yes	35c	57.94$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	35	51.4%18 W · 17 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee49…155ebacked No	54c	55.56$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.56	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x858f…b802backed Yes	54c	54.44$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.33	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2797…9bc0backed No	48c	53.71$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.75	21	66.7%14 W · 7 L	+4.5wins	+0.21per pick	45cpaid	+42.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x49c4…db5bbacked No	56c	53.57$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.57	45	51.1%23 W · 22 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e99…b482backed Yes	31c	51.75$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.21	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 26?this page
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or below on June 26?No won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 26?No won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 26?No won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 26?Yes won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 26?No won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 26?No won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 26?No won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 44°C or higher on June 26?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 26?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event