World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x548354b3f235bb805fd12b89d36ba00e984c105cc296973a6f9499fac67d433d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,413
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,127
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,413 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3290…53cbbacked Yes | 35c | 2,993$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,946.67 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 51c | 642$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.22 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 34c | 519.63$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.83 | 80 | 25%20 W · 60 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 23c | 489.72$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.11 | 104 | 14.4%15 W · 89 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 70c | 453.04$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.17 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 23c | 406.53$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.22 | 237 | 23.2%55 W · 182 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 40c | 398.42$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.11 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 69c | 392$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.9 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 59c | 377.73$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.05 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 78c | 358.18$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.96 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee49…155ebacked Yes | 23c | 354.66$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.66 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes | 31c | 353.66$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.66 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 66c | 349.93$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.22 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 38c | 327.24$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.4 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 69c | 315.48$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.8 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5484…84e8backed No | 70c | 296.2$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 9c | 291.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 145 | 53.8%78 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35f7…8058backed No | 74c | 268.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 58c | 257.1$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.1 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25b2…4edbbacked Yes | 32c | 250.95$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.95 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 31c | 246.98$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.3 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdd…0872backed Yes | 21c | 233.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.31 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 79c | 216.08$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.47 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcd…82e4backed Yes | 22c | 215.33$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.55 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 60c | 215.21$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.87 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 67c | 213$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.48 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 22c | 207.02$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.01 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 44c | 205.68$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.08 | 183 | 48.6%89 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 34c | 198.31$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.95 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 72c | 193.44$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.54 | 230 | 44.8%103 W · 127 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 19c | 192.68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 53c | 191.04$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.7 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 37c | 190.6$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.32 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 14c | 177.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde8a…a3fcbacked Yes | 34c | 174.77$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.74 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 38c | 173.14$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.16 | 266 | 32.7%87 W · 179 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3721…3abebacked Yes | 28c | 172.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.57 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 76c | 170$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.75 | 157 | 66.2%104 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 35c | 167.07$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.72 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07c…6c36backed Yes | 47c | 160.03$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.68 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked Yes | 48c | 160$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.26 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 62c | 155.27$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 28c | 149.25$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.25 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec1…e2e3backed Yes | 61c | 141.02$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.3 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 69c | 137.19$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.32 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 23c | 136.61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.77 | 392 | 31.9%125 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2797…9bc0backed No | 39c | 135.85$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.66 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d2…9145backed Yes | 16c | 134.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 27c | 132.95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.47 | 186 | 38.2%71 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x858b…a2cebacked Yes | 36c | 130.24$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.69 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 50c | 130.15$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.13 | 406 | 48.8%198 W · 208 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…efcebacked Yes | 25c | 129.97$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.48 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 53c | 129$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.37 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 22c | 123.35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.69 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f6a6backed No | 72c | 118.03$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.98 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed Yes | 42c | 113.36$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.43 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 29c | 112.87$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.73 | 186 | 62.4%116 W · 70 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked No | 73c | 110.35$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.98 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked Yes | 24c | 110.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.15 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 54c | 110.01$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.33 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0d14…c13abacked Yes | 12c | 110$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…5a6cbacked No | 51c | 109.28$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.02 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 36c | 108.28$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.26 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 23c | 101.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.34 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53c0…33a5backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 69c | 94.93$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.9 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -32.3wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb344…0e61backed No | 41c | 90.63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 75c | 90$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.52 | 144 | 67.4%97 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…d496backed Yes | 43c | 87.27$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.39 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.37per pick | 45cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 72c | 87.18$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.52 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 37c | 85.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 23c | 85.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.55 | 323 | 54.2%175 W · 148 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 76c | 84$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.42 | 86 | 72.1%62 W · 24 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 78c | 80$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.64 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 78c | 77.89$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.05 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 79c | 75$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.95 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3a…00b2backed Yes | 19c | 73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.49 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 27c | 70.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.72 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6af…4219backed Yes | 36c | 70.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.12 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 32c | 70$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 167 | 38.3%64 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 42c | 70$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab7…0bd3backed Yes | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.76 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 58c | 69.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 71c | 68.17$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…d803backed Yes | 52c | 67.97$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x262f…2198backed No | 74c | 67.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 57c | 67.6$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.31 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ad…a1c7backed Yes | 30c | 67.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +235.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked No | 57c | 65.92$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 78c | 65$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 37c | 64.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 32c | 63.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.28 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50c8…f649backed Yes | 56c | 62.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed Yes | 50c | 62.24$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.09 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f5…f4f5backed Yes | 17c | 60.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65c7…e100backed Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.87 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…66b4backed Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 66c | 50.12$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce1…712bbacked No | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or below on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 44°C or higher on June 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.