World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01944b0b4e505e7eb1c3aa75c19f197eb068c50e1df21b3ce5400ab24657289c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc23a…3e2bbacked Yes | 2c | 13,612$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…53cbbacked Yes | 11c | 3,791$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.9 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9a…587ebacked Yes | 15c | 2,778$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…3fa9backed Yes | 53c | 1,848$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.61 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 38c | 1,198$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.66 | 266 | 32.7%87 W · 179 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 63c | 872.34$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.26 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 69c | 853.83$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.42 | 406 | 48.8%198 W · 208 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6011…b31ebacked No | 78c | 562.75$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.94 | 15 | 100%15 W · 0 L | +4.8wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 5c | 513.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 5c | 491.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 221 | 11.3%25 W · 196 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 20c | 473.8$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.56 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 74c | 452.05$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.18 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes | 15c | 437.24$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.28 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 74c | 392$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.19 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 8c | 369.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 237 | 23.2%55 W · 182 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 63c | 361.98$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.54 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee49…155ebacked Yes | 7c | 358.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed Yes | 73c | 326.76$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.07 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 24c | 297.93$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.1 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 6c | 269.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 193 | 15.5%30 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…d803backed Yes | 7c | 269.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 52c | 242.76$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.76 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…44f0backed Yes | 10c | 235$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 5c | 220.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 392 | 31.9%125 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…5a6cbacked Yes | 15c | 207.48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 42c | 200.72$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.7 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…edd3backed Yes | 70c | 199.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 69c | 198.63$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.55 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdd…0872backed Yes | 8c | 197.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 39c | 197.01$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.24 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Yes | 64c | 194.49$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.55 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked Yes | 14c | 176.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 11c | 176.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 25c | 174.52$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 230 | 44.8%103 W · 127 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec1…e2e3backed No | 79c | 169.08$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 66c | 167.52$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.53 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 75c | 158.45$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.17 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 18c | 152.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 70c | 151.6$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.83 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb139…29a1backed Yes | 71c | 149.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 69c | 146.71$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.46 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 76c | 143.09$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.74 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 49c | 135.6$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.85 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 34c | 134.94$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.46 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 13c | 133.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 323 | 54.2%175 W · 148 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 14c | 128.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…4c65backed No | 68c | 122.85$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.86 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 62c | 120$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.42 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed Yes | 9c | 119.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 75 | 17.3%13 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 74c | 94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Yes | 50c | 90.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.25 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…9ff2backed Yes | 64c | 82.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…187dbacked Yes | 61c | 81.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b31…4eb6backed Yes | 72c | 80.07$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 58c | 79.1$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.05 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb6af…4219backed No | 50c | 76.62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 69c | 71.36$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6780…41ccbacked Yes | 63c | 69.61$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb8…0d00backed Yes | 71c | 69.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 16c | 68.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2753…e28abacked Yes | 76c | 65.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked Yes | 45c | 65.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 54c | 62.77$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 47c | 62.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.03 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb344…0e61backed No | 37c | 54.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0d…3e25backed Yes | 47c | 51.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25b2…4edbbacked Yes | 24c | 51.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 74c | 50.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.18 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb0…bfbfbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +3,219.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…3e60backed Yes | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…1fd8backed No | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…abffbacked Yes | 79c | 49.87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab0…06fdbacked No | 77c | 43.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf75f…b458backed No | 32c | 42.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 58c | 41.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4e…5ac9backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a0…cecdbacked Yes | 75c | 39.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf3…b84abacked Yes | 76c | 37.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 54c | 36.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 50c | 35.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 145 | 53.8%78 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9169…5dbbbacked Yes | 68c | 34.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x143c…487ebacked Yes | 61c | 32.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f2…6c8ebacked Yes | 68c | 32.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -45%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…9f2fbacked Yes | 53c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…ddd0backed No | 80c | 27.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +374.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c0…b105backed No | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 38 | 84.2%32 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 73cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50c8…f649backed No | 57c | 23.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf287…40e1backed Yes | 67c | 22.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…aa1bbacked Yes | 68c | 21.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d72…b6e0backed Yes | 71c | 21.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97ad…9a0dbacked Yes | 64c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed Yes | 61c | 20.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…171fbacked Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…eb02backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9775…b70dbacked Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc04…f007backed Yes | 68c | 16.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…9600backed Yes | 73c | 14.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or below on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 26?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 44°C or higher on June 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.