Middle East · resolved market
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79e7d16f5c71ab6ff5f805f77045eb5cef7b8f6aa87db54ebabeb3373d31b254
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,690,973
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,144,700
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,690,973 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80c6…3e50backed Yes | 7c | 61,637$4,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,524.77 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +133.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3915…faffbacked Yes | 4c | 27,756$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 10cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 26,059$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.96 | 507 | 1.4%7 W · 500 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2d…2adcbacked Yes | 3c | 25,972$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e39…8cbfbacked Yes | 0c | 22,228$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 20,984$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.88 | 310 | 3.9%12 W · 298 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe555…a91dbacked Yes | 3c | 20,021$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.05 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27e0…b09bbacked Yes | 1c | 19,444$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.2 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91cf…30d5backed Yes | 0c | 18,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 1c | 15,700$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.8 | 358 | 8.7%31 W · 327 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 6c | 15,000$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.55 | 223 | 33.6%75 W · 148 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 1c | 10,891$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.82 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc722…1334backed Yes | 6c | 10,841$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.63 | 126 | 29.4%37 W · 89 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ebf…4808backed Yes | 5c | 10,586$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.91 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 47cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 5c | 10,000$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.04 | 170 | 18.2%31 W · 139 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 5c | 9,944$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.72 | 421 | 20.9%88 W · 333 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ef…90e2backed Yes | 1c | 9,556$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.32per pick | 23cpaid | +215.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed Yes | 2c | 7,876$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.13 | 226 | 27.9%63 W · 163 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe714…d510backed Yes | 1c | 7,693$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 2c | 7,409$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.7 | 371 | 7%26 W · 345 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9a…4841backed Yes | 1c | 7,027$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6b…8115backed Yes | 1c | 7,000$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…53f7backed Yes | 2c | 6,496$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.4 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 3c | 6,240$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.75 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed Yes | 1c | 5,800$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 247 | 12.1%30 W · 217 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 3c | 5,657$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 215 | 25.1%54 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8644…7532backed Yes | 3c | 5,553$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x611b…b334backed Yes | 3c | 5,100$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 11cpaid | +396.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf54c…e6ccbacked Yes | 1c | 5,030$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.36 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -71%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1616…896cbacked Yes | 2c | 4,967$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.31 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2ff9backed Yes | 1c | 4,526$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.29 | 284 | 38.7%110 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4c…14ddbacked Yes | 2c | 4,240$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d78…ffa6backed Yes | 4c | 4,003$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.1 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef7…fba9backed Yes | 2c | 4,000$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdc…1ca9backed Yes | 8c | 3,906$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 2c | 3,745$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…6d29backed Yes | 1c | 3,564$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Yes | 3c | 3,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0435…cf1dbacked Yes | 3c | 3,500$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca7…8cffbacked Yes | 1c | 3,401$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eda…92a7backed Yes | 1c | 3,400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 1c | 3,397$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.54 | 419 | 5.3%22 W · 397 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2153…6848backed Yes | 1c | 3,387$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d34…2896backed Yes | 3c | 3,291$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b6…2f9fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,200$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 4c | 3,148$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.14 | 442 | 24.4%108 W · 334 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbc…7a19backed Yes | 1c | 3,145$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa703…6a73backed Yes | 3c | 3,136$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6d…ed0bbacked Yes | 3c | 3,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes | 3c | 3,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 119 | 44.5%53 W · 66 L | -17.8wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7a…276fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,962$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 50 | 14%7 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…0dfdbacked Yes | 1c | 2,931$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.87 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…9446backed Yes | 2c | 2,710$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec23…ac24backed Yes | 2c | 2,632$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1f…a246backed Yes | 3c | 2,573$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.56 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7b…d463backed Yes | 1c | 2,541$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…6be6backed Yes | 3c | 2,500$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…bd61backed Yes | 1c | 2,310$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…e173backed Yes | 1c | 2,250$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 159 | 6.9%11 W · 148 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 2,168$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 4c | 2,135$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed8d…9415backed Yes | 3c | 2,118$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed Yes | 1c | 2,065$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 48 | 6.3%3 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +132.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…9767backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c5…913cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -91.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 136 | 39%53 W · 83 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x247c…45a8backed Yes | 1c | 1,968$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 1c | 1,900$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 203 | 6.4%13 W · 190 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaac6…bcd6backed Yes | 4c | 1,896$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…50c7backed Yes | 3c | 1,877$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -78%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e2…d79bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,875$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9223…5e0cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,713$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6408…d5c6backed Yes | 1c | 1,701$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 6cpaid | +899.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 1c | 1,664$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 218 | 31.2%68 W · 150 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Yes | 5c | 1,600$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +203%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd5…4e74backed Yes | 1c | 1,599$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…4b91backed Yes | 2c | 1,488$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 92 | 17.4%16 W · 76 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…8387backed Yes | 3c | 1,483$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 6cpaid | +56%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa80…e4b8backed Yes | 4c | 1,400$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96cb…1c98backed Yes | 4c | 1,346$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c65…dcf7backed Yes | 6c | 1,326$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.34 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…a44dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,262$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…de1dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,256$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 5cpaid | +193.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,199$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…18f1backed Yes | 2c | 1,155$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd8…af91backed Yes | 1c | 1,100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b6…20febacked Yes | 5c | 1,091$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac6…a9c2backed Yes | 2c | 1,055$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c37…478bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,050$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c4…9508backed Yes | 1c | 1,033$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…3fa5backed Yes | 1c | 1,030$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81a5…5e5ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,023$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd131…9422backed Yes | 6c | 1,012$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.69 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa343…68d8backed Yes | 2c | 1,009$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,007$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad7c…8cd7backed Yes | 1c | 1,001$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b61…be28backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ac…15f9backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3a…f76dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.