Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9970cdb57e2904552132071fe29051b06dc2c6d5996c326bcee2fec4d19c146
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $497,912
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $574,840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $497,912 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 417 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d20…a165backed MOUZ | 45c | 147,697$65,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,813.02 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed MOUZ | 38c | 94,510$35,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,700 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked MOUZ | 46c | 19,675$9,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,010.19 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 19,546$13,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,118.52 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed MOUZ | 40c | 16,578$6,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,631.2 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 15,490$8,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,815.54 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 15,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,600 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 11,610$8,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,137.42 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 10,542$5,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,635.11 | 176 | 51.1%90 W · 86 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 10,245$5,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,378.86 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 9,959$5,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,391.12 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 9,102$5,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,939.38 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89dd…f662backed MOUZ | 39c | 7,616$2,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,970.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 7,602$4,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,348.91 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…1f5cbacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 7,588$5,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,906.88 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f14…ec62backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 7,500$5,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,775 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c43…190dbacked Natus Vincere | 72c | 7,159$5,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…ca61backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 6,674$3,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,363.77 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a8…246dbacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 6,270$2,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,654.6 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 6,260$3,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,306 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 6,250$3,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,437.5 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 6,000$3,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639.11 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked MOUZ | 39c | 6,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.96 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 5,868$3,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,347.26 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 5,704$3,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,458.94 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed MOUZ | 41c | 5,400$2,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,213.95 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 5,314$3,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,057.16 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 5,244$4,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.48 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.99 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 4,526$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,575.57 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed MOUZ | 40c | 4,278$1,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,711.25 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 3,847$2,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 3,832$2,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.6 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed MOUZ | 39c | 3,590$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.26 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Natus Vincere | 76c | 3,500$2,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed MOUZ | 42c | 3,500$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.98 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 3,092$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.32 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 3,085$2,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.31 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 3,047$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581.11 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 3,022$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.21 | 440 | 49.3%217 W · 223 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 3,020$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,812.16 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 2,998$1,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.87 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18f0…3d5ebacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 2,799$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.8 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x910e…29bcbacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 2,772$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.84 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed MOUZ | 43c | 2,751$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 2,646$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.98 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…9441backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 2,600$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 2,496$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.71 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 2,348$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.78 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 2,319$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.88 | 225 | 43.6%98 W · 127 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 2,315$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.22 | 192 | 49%94 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 2,107$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.12 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 2,044$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.86 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 1,904$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.68 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eed…cb2abacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 1,904$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 1,864$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.53 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Natus Vincere | 80c | 1,792$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.3 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 1,742$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.4 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc927…a3c2backed MOUZ | 12c | 1,702$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…3486backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 1,666$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.52 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 1,640$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.67 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 1,632$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.07 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 1,580$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.7 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 1,568$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…d0f1backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 1,560$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…e21fbacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 1,553$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.24 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd56b…342dbacked Natus Vincere | 78c | 1,541$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.02 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a90…7e68backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 1,529$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782f…b46abacked Natus Vincere | 74c | 1,522$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.51 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0075…5f10backed MOUZ | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked MOUZ | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 1,500$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.5 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff8…5e5dbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 1,494$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.42 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…aa3ebacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 1,468$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d9…b188backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 1,463$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.2 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d6…c4adbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 1,397$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.71 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 1,383$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.16 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 1,303$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.67 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed MOUZ | 42c | 1,271$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.84 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Natus Vincere | 74c | 1,250$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…825ebacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 1,210$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.23 | 106 | 37.7%40 W · 66 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 1,201$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.89 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 1,200$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 1,165$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.36 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 1,157$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.34 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…5473backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 1,100$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 1,077$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.92 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x557e…5007backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 1,059$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefab…a304backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 1,053$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.07 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 1,038$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.3 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd7…f491backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 1,029$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.63 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 1,023$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.56 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 1,021$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.89 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 1,016$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.46 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked MOUZ | 26c | 1,001$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.02 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 999.99$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 998.64$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.47 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd592…9618backed MOUZ | 31c | 994.54$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.93 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -9.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Game Handicap: Na`Vi (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.