Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x839315bb498ebc9c54e046e8377b5bffdafca455ea6a5a4be3d5358850dda76c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $648,288
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $748,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $648,288 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 414 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d20…a165backed MOUZ | 50c | 150,000$74,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,916.46 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed MOUZ | 46c | 56,932$26,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,000 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 22,227$11,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,113.55 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 18,000$9,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,369.98 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 16,528$8,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,780.78 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 13,290$7,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,023.59 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 11,839$6,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,469.42 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 11,230$6,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,159.94 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b8…d1afbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 8,000$4,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,660 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 7,799$3,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,818.45 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 7,538$4,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,286.74 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 7,034$3,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,256.1 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 6,801$3,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400.5 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 6,237$3,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,016.59 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 6,135$3,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,851.08 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…6532backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 5,187$2,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,593.26 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.99 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 4,623$1,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,768.73 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed MOUZ | 47c | 4,205$1,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,961.86 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed MOUZ | 47c | 4,160$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.43 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 4,125$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725.4 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 4,104$2,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,013.13 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…6fe8backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 3,968$2,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.01 | 100 | 75%75 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 3,803$2,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.79 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 3,755$1,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,836.48 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce6…9469backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 3,708$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705.89 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed MOUZ | 44c | 3,688$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.93 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f14…ec62backed MOUZ | 46c | 3,525$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.9 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked MOUZ | 47c | 3,456$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.12 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…1f5cbacked MOUZ | 46c | 3,454$1,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.82 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed MOUZ | 21c | 3,029$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.37 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3762…1b2ebacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 3,000$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.5 | 31 | 83.9%26 W · 5 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe52c…01f4backed MOUZ | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.99 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 2,980$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.94 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 2,710$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.98 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…2b13backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 2,539$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.2 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c43…190dbacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 2,509$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 2,356$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.31 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked MOUZ | 46c | 2,195$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.65 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked MOUZ | 48c | 2,060$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.02 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…8024backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 1,934$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.78 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked MOUZ | 46c | 1,927$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.56 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…46ddbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 1,906$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.38 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed MOUZ | 45c | 1,902$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.29 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 1,894$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 1,810$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.78 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33d3…bf38backed MOUZ | 57c | 1,770$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.9 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked MOUZ | 46c | 1,689$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.78 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13ee…01aebacked MOUZ | 62c | 1,672$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.4 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 1,652$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.4 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 1,644$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.27 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 1,625$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.37 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 1,588$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.82 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked MOUZ | 43c | 1,557$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.67 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc41e…e2e9backed MOUZ | 4c | 1,521$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 37 | 5.4%2 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda20…cb8dbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…b9b4backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 1,482$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.09 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 1,443$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.16 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 1,430$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.34 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…698cbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 1,427$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.26 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 1,418$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.2 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 1,398$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.28 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed MOUZ | 45c | 1,325$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.82 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 1,279$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.31 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…f65bbacked MOUZ | 47c | 1,275$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed MOUZ | 7c | 1,257$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 1,227$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.14 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 1,223$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.64 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked MOUZ | 40c | 1,187$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.36 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…9384backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 1,121$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.71 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed MOUZ | 55c | 1,118$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.82 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 1,100$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 1,100$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.9 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 1,090$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.21 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MOUZ | 53c | 1,087$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.84 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 1,078$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539 | 120 | 65.8%79 W · 41 L | +15.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked MOUZ | 47c | 1,050$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.5 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 1,043$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.35 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 1,040$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.64 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cde…96e2backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 1,036$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.07 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x615d…bd5bbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 1,036$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.07 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 1,035$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.47 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67ed…085abacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 1,016$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…b760backed MOUZ | 43c | 1,005$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.11 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked Natus Vincere | 80c | 1,002$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 120 | 60.8%73 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed MOUZ | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.9 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed MOUZ | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 998.05$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.51 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed MOUZ | 47c | 975.08$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.29 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 957$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.79 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 940$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.4 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed MOUZ | 46c | 930.43$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.95 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb238…4961backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 928.59$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.3 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 866.41$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.58 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed MOUZ | 14c | 863.03$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.02 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsNatus Vincere won
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Game Handicap: Na`Vi (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.