Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fcb325a3f8a193b1846af8d7549b6d1a24fbd2bb7a7e3bc8a5c7567405f2b0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,901
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,985
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,901 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 64c | 697.62$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.59 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 37c | 620.47$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.69 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 21c | 476.07$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.2 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 17c | 340.05$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.44 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 29c | 328.58$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.56 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 77c | 263.1$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.74 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 29c | 222.29$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.78 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 63c | 217.85$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.67 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf9…1ffabacked Yes | 26c | 211.34$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.13 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 24c | 197.48$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.66 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab7…0bd3backed Yes | 32c | 174.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.04 | 445 | 36.6%163 W · 282 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 54c | 167.41$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.92 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 24c | 160.94$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.69 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa30f…4da6backed Yes | 23c | 160.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.87 | 211 | 32.2%68 W · 143 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 45c | 150.72$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.22 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 77c | 149.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 20c | 140$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.5 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 68c | 138.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.16 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 51c | 138.45$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.29 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 18c | 138.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 71c | 136.74$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.09 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 63c | 125.55$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.69 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 34c | 124.79$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.69 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed No | 64c | 111.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.04 | 348 | 53.4%186 W · 162 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 30c | 111.47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.48 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 25c | 109.39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.32 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2065…548abacked Yes | 32c | 108.44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.53 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 69c | 105.22$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.78 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 16c | 104.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 66c | 104.21$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 24c | 103.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.34 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 31c | 103.04$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.32 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f8…394dbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda56…4176backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 129 | 34.1%44 W · 85 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 39c | 97.26$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 53c | 82.34$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.55 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 78c | 75.94$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.01 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…6983backed Yes | 35c | 73.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.11 | 874 | 37.3%326 W · 548 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 22c | 67.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.98 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed Yes | 23c | 67.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.23 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 51c | 67.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 80c | 67$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.44 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 79c | 65$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc878…a6f3backed Yes | 37c | 64.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 78c | 64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 64c | 60.52$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcca2…fa31backed Yes | 21c | 60$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xed4c…03cabacked No | 72c | 55.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 70c | 55.55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed Yes | 27c | 55.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fa…4531backed Yes | 33c | 51.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.55 | 319 | 36.1%115 W · 204 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 78c | 51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f0…a4ccbacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 235 | 40.9%96 W · 139 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…8fa3backed Yes | 36c | 48.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 393 | 46.6%183 W · 210 L | +29.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 74c | 45.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.77 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 31c | 45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 591 | 25.9%153 W · 438 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8e…cfaabacked Yes | 25c | 45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 190 | 39.5%75 W · 115 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…3667backed Yes | 24c | 44.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.72 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x988e…d0d0backed No | 68c | 44.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 113 | 69.9%79 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 63c | 43.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 73c | 43.02$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe35…57c3backed Yes | 30c | 42.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | -16.9wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 77c | 42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b5…e373backed Yes | 30c | 41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -12.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 68c | 39.64$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 78c | 39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 71c | 38.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 63c | 38.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 70c | 34.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…66b4backed No | 65c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked No | 61c | 27.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…52e2backed No | 64c | 26.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 78c | 25.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29f…cdd8backed Yes | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5579…2db1backed No | 77c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65f7…ff15backed No | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf3…782cbacked No | 63c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 1,876 | 63%1,181 W · 695 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdf…eba6backed No | 62c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd84…0fe5backed No | 65c | 20.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 515 | 68%350 W · 165 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f2…ef25backed No | 62c | 19.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 74c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37df…f8b9backed No | 71c | 16.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa343…68d8backed No | 63c | 16.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x558b…f41bbacked No | 66c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 286 | 60.8%174 W · 112 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 78c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b23…3ca8backed No | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 80c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C on June 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.