TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: REJECT vs QT DIG∞ (BO3) - VCL Japan Main Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
REJECTof REJECT, QT DIG∞
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,104
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,693

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,104 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7e59…7b8bbacked QT DIG∞36c15,413$5,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,522.0228743.2%124 W · 163 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcadf…1f60backed REJECT50c5,043$2,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,542.732867.9%19 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed REJECT56c4,414$2,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,961.519860.6%120 W · 78 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa413…6c4abacked REJECT52c2,885$1,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,396.391450%7 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd92c…dd9abacked QT DIG∞43c2,488$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.924146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed REJECT66c2,377$1,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.0874642.8%319 W · 427 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8e6…d471backed REJECT57c2,076$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.493966.7%26 W · 13 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked REJECT58c1,700$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71415431.2%48 W · 106 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked QT DIG∞44c1,675$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7373751.4%19 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked REJECT72c1,555$1,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.1428747.4%136 W · 151 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a1c…b465backed REJECT51c1,523$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.833770.3%26 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a13…4d34backed QT DIG∞21c1,417$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.152330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-35.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked REJECT68c1,362$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.2270043.7%306 W · 394 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f00…2f63backed REJECT72c1,289$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.35450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed QT DIG∞45c1,186$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.6215038%57 W · 93 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd33a…1fe2backed REJECT57c1,132$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.472958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked REJECT68c1,059$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.0842140.4%170 W · 251 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked QT DIG∞49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4908334.9%29 W · 54 L-9.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked QT DIG∞49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4907550.7%38 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked QT DIG∞50c981$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.62433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed QT DIG∞48c900$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43414032.9%46 W · 94 L-11.0wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed QT DIG∞50c827.21$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.5715843%68 W · 90 L-12.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed QT DIG∞49c800$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39223447%110 W · 124 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed REJECT61c748.78$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.8133838.5%130 W · 208 L-21.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed QT DIG∞17c721.92$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.061,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked REJECT73c705.14$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.171,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23d6…18a2backed QT DIG∞40c659.99$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.4425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0284…97f6backed REJECT57c640.97$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.71681.3%13 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick66cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfdd2…0abfbacked QT DIG∞47c634.03$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick36cpaid-60.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe84a…02febacked QT DIG∞48c609$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.141643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x026b…8804backed REJECT66c608.2$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.2215358.8%90 W · 63 L+14.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed QT DIG∞43c600$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25853442.1%225 W · 309 L-15.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf408…afe0backed QT DIG∞51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3061030%3 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-29.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f30…3aeebacked REJECT57c573.73$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.111952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked QT DIG∞54c570.15$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.8831046.5%144 W · 166 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x764a…83d3backed QT DIG∞48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2402347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked QT DIG∞48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2405328.3%15 W · 38 L-9.3wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-45.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xdb4c…f815backed QT DIG∞51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2551747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed REJECT57c475.68$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.6818056.1%101 W · 79 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed REJECT59c428.09$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.524669.6%32 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked QT DIG∞30c404.9$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.0284838.2%324 W · 524 L-50.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed QT DIG∞46c400$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18522346.6%104 W · 119 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed QT DIG∞48c390.92$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.494736.2%17 W · 30 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2f4…cddbbacked REJECT62c374.43$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.491384.6%11 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick64cpaid+35.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked QT DIG∞48c335.58$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16013455.2%74 W · 60 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6727…231dbacked QT DIG∞43c317.98$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.73742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+26.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed REJECT74c310$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.193049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e50…4b22backed QT DIG∞49c306.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505145.1%23 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8efe…6704backed REJECT60c304.43$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.77966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82cf…3d55backed REJECT72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e83…00aabacked QT DIG∞43c298$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.143542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked QT DIG∞47c278.32$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13062856.4%354 W · 274 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked REJECT72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7810975.2%82 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked REJECT72c273.07$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.371,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…8ab1backed REJECT75c272.24$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.24771.4%5 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick72cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ad1…8f0ebacked REJECT77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.742070%14 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba23…cd7ebacked REJECT60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe36c…a856backed QT DIG∞44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked QT DIG∞50c223.04$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.5215450%77 W · 77 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91d5…8a03backed QT DIG∞45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006454.7%35 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked QT DIG∞49c220$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.88243.9%36 W · 46 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34e2…4083backed REJECT68c219.7$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca2…0beabacked REJECT71c218.45$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.2875%6 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ee6…07cabacked REJECT79c205$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7515160.3%91 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked QT DIG∞50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002850%14 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dc5…c988backed QT DIG∞43c198.12$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked REJECT63c197.71$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.3955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed REJECT50c176$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884751.1%24 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fc5…9fcfbacked REJECT60c169.49$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.081478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe01f…ab4abacked QT DIG∞42c155.1$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.325444.9%114 W · 140 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d45…b9b3backed REJECT78c153.85$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed REJECT65c150.28$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.614254.9%78 W · 64 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed QT DIG∞18c148.36$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9577929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed REJECT67c143.93$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.337545.6%171 W · 204 L-1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb795…1a30backed QT DIG∞49c142.55$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa8c…999abacked REJECT72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.892100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+113.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked REJECT71c133.4$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9777744%342 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86ca…bc47backed QT DIG∞47c125.53$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-34.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked QT DIG∞48c120$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.99441.5%39 W · 55 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef20…8f64backed QT DIG∞47c113$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.113525.7%9 W · 26 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-27.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe426…f4ffbacked REJECT54c109.98$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.595349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked QT DIG∞47c106.94$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.560154.2%326 W · 275 L+24.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66ea…6791backed QT DIG∞48c102.08$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495158.8%30 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed QT DIG∞48c101.58$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7619546.2%90 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bb3…ed90backed QT DIG∞48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481838.9%7 W · 11 L-4.0wins-0.22per pick61cpaid-38.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked REJECT53c96.19$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2834443.3%149 W · 195 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30a2…deacbacked REJECT72c91.63$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.23966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22bc…b0b2backed QT DIG∞44c87.98$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392556%14 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed REJECT65c87.32$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5617557.1%100 W · 75 L+15.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked QT DIG∞50c87.1$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.513741.6%57 W · 80 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b4e…417cbacked QT DIG∞46c84.23$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.752138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b57…8cc0backed QT DIG∞48c75.22$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad89…e006backed QT DIG∞20c75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1523733.8%80 W · 157 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4f5…9427backed QT DIG∞28c74.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.720%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x787b…86c3backed QT DIG∞50c74$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372524%6 W · 19 L-4.1wins-0.16per pick40cpaid-44%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1e62…79f1backed QT DIG∞50c71.26$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.63366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+55.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed REJECT46c70.04$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8215646.2%72 W · 84 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d72…a791backed REJECT54c68.96$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.724953.1%26 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11ee…e6c6backed QT DIG∞45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5407…5bbdbacked QT DIG∞27c66.3$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.64131.7%13 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-26.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.