TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: REJECT vs QT DIG∞ - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
REJECTof REJECT, QT DIG∞
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,583
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,062

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,583 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd3f1…7535backed QT DIG∞36c1,058$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.089439.4%37 W · 57 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked QT DIG∞43c558.1$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.321,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked QT DIG∞40c522.67$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.8384838.2%324 W · 524 L-50.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc2b…cec3backed REJECT40c432.75$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.75683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.34per pick49cpaid+58.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked QT DIG∞56c430.19$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24328747.4%136 W · 151 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed REJECT51c378.49$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.4915646.2%72 W · 84 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed QT DIG∞77c376.81$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.2418056.1%101 W · 79 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6eac…e409backed REJECT59c316.86$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.339371%66 W · 27 L+15.6wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+27.7%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed QT DIG∞36c275.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014941.6%62 W · 87 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked REJECT50c272.79$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.581,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked QT DIG∞30c267.9$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6742140.4%170 W · 251 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked QT DIG∞57c254.98$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.741,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x788c…b217backed REJECT53c250$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.5966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+25.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba23…cd7ebacked REJECT62c249.99$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked QT DIG∞49c240$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.29441.5%39 W · 55 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed REJECT77c233.26$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6593049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed REJECT34c231.54$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.926732.8%22 W · 45 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked QT DIG∞27c225.71$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3377744%342 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed REJECT46c171.7$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.0318444.6%82 W · 102 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed REJECT53c127$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.699737.1%36 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd565…d785backed REJECT47c124.96$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.967352.1%38 W · 35 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked REJECT48c117.19$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.391,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked REJECT47c105.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.361,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed QT DIG∞13c102.37$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9533838.5%130 W · 208 L-21.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed QT DIG∞62c101$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.8110349.5%51 W · 52 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked QT DIG∞49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4934443.3%149 W · 195 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d65…6a04backed REJECT51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b16…9f80backed QT DIG∞46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4618460.9%112 W · 72 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa461…878abacked QT DIG∞53c93.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.951573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked REJECT51c92.74$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1922539.1%88 W · 137 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed QT DIG∞45c92$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4699846%459 W · 539 L-27.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed REJECT64c90.74$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.671,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6379…04ebbacked REJECT64c86.01$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.012100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+78.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed QT DIG∞62c83.19$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3223745.1%107 W · 130 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4711…ce32backed REJECT50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked QT DIG∞49c67.14$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.942051.9%218 W · 202 L-21.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6334…6fa3backed REJECT63c53.33$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.881258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked QT DIG∞31c50.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3970043.7%306 W · 394 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8932…1cc4backed REJECT42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.622548%12 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed QT DIG∞40c47.45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.974642.8%319 W · 427 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f3c…2bc2backed REJECT67c44.95$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed QT DIG∞43c36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.335032%16 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked QT DIG∞62c36$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3215842.4%67 W · 91 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked QT DIG∞42c31.72$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.361833.3%6 W · 177 L-73.1wins-0.40per pick43cpaid-93.1%equal weight11-0.35 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked REJECT46c30.62$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6190733.1%300 W · 607 L-89.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed QT DIG∞51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.366650.8%338 W · 328 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked QT DIG∞45c29.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5718148.6%88 W · 93 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed REJECT64c28.65$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3351749.5%256 W · 261 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed QT DIG∞69c24.42$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.86453.1%34 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec24…d744backed QT DIG∞60c23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.775841.4%24 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed REJECT56c22.1$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6627947.7%133 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked REJECT55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.941,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.