Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: D family vs Mentality Monster (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x138e83031497f0cd8242e01d95662eb2bb703f77dca3e85a64b8f4bdb4916a69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mentality Monsterof D family, Mentality Monster
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,239
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $143,086
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,239 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d20…a165backed D family | 46c | 8,795$4,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,016.78 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked D family | 39c | 4,659$1,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801.77 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…ca61backed Mentality Monster | 66c | 3,818$2,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.91 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed D family | 18c | 3,258$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.23 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…8e7dbacked D family | 0c | 3,112$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked D family | 44c | 2,411$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.54 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Mentality Monster | 63c | 2,399$1,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.6 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked D family | 25c | 2,193$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.33 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42d…94d3backed Mentality Monster | 70c | 2,136$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e7…42e3backed Mentality Monster | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Mentality Monster | 71c | 1,745$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.18 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…2cd9backed D family | 36c | 1,560$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed D family | 27c | 1,407$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.43 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a9…e35abacked D family | 39c | 1,353$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed D family | 38c | 1,224$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.88 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Mentality Monster | 62c | 1,120$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.78 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed D family | 41c | 1,085$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed D family | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Mentality Monster | 65c | 1,000$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.96 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked Mentality Monster | 55c | 999.98$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Mentality Monster | 56c | 953$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.07 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed D family | 30c | 951.72$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.52 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Mentality Monster | 66c | 918.45$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.79 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Mentality Monster | 67c | 914.8$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.89 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mentality Monster | 51c | 784.26$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.28 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9417…8440backed Mentality Monster | 55c | 725.01$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.8 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed D family | 34c | 717$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.28 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed D family | 33c | 610.39$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.24 | 500 | 32.2%161 W · 339 L | -47.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed D family | 29c | 608$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.32 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed D family | 49c | 599.75$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.06 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4db1…528cbacked D family | 32c | 598.76$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Mentality Monster | 65c | 555.45$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.05 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Mentality Monster | 68c | 551.19$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.45 | 440 | 49.3%217 W · 223 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked D family | 31c | 534.58$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…2101backed Mentality Monster | 78c | 510.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.66 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5005…bcb1backed D family | 33c | 505.99$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.62 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…4fcfbacked Mentality Monster | 53c | 499.5$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.76 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +34%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf490…63afbacked D family | 36c | 485.29$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.51 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Mentality Monster | 69c | 461.95$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.86 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…706cbacked D family | 29c | 449.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.5 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed D family | 26c | 434.81$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.25 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Mentality Monster | 76c | 432.63$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.57 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Mentality Monster | 57c | 414.62$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.14 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Mentality Monster | 73c | 412.35$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.19 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Mentality Monster | 73c | 411.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.04 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.7wins | -0.37per pick | 67cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…8bbcbacked Mentality Monster | 71c | 383.94$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.94 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Mentality Monster | 60c | 377.75$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.31 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Mentality Monster | 72c | 373.27$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.14 | 192 | 49%94 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4228…b838backed D family | 23c | 366.15$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.07 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Mentality Monster | 55c | 365.71$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.63 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…825ebacked Mentality Monster | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 106 | 37.7%40 W · 66 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed D family | 48c | 349.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed D family | 28c | 347.14$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.99 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe37e…6d97backed Mentality Monster | 65c | 329.32$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.32 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25d5…11fcbacked Mentality Monster | 68c | 328.77$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.82 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked D family | 40c | 325.17$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.25 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…528ebacked D family | 46c | 317.61$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Mentality Monster | 76c | 317.44$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.47 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked D family | 30c | 310.18$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.05 | 130 | 20%26 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc03e…da65backed D family | 49c | 309.11$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Mentality Monster | 69c | 301.68$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.2 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Mentality Monster | 69c | 299.99$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.23 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe800…6bfbbacked D family | 17c | 299.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked D family | 34c | 286.14$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.39 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fa…b50bbacked D family | 35c | 284.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Mentality Monster | 75c | 266.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.57 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Mentality Monster | 67c | 249.99$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked D family | 45c | 240$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.6 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…933abacked Mentality Monster | 65c | 229.47$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.47 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Mentality Monster | 72c | 228.44$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.71 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c44…9756backed Mentality Monster | 67c | 224.21$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Mentality Monster | 69c | 216$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 137 | 64.2%88 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked Mentality Monster | 70c | 211.57$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.47 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f31…a362backed D family | 48c | 208.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked D family | 28c | 208.54$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.36 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed Mentality Monster | 72c | 205.48$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Mentality Monster | 75c | 201.32$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.32 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3dd…7e8dbacked D family | 36c | 201.31$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa01d…bb78backed Mentality Monster | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.55 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked D family | 19c | 200$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.65 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…08bdbacked D family | 44c | 199.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.99 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked D family | 34c | 195$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.18 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Mentality Monster | 64c | 194.77$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.6 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Mentality Monster | 67c | 192.51$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.51 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x398a…868bbacked Mentality Monster | 71c | 184.51$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4377…74c2backed Mentality Monster | 56c | 182.14$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.14 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.28per pick | 49cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Mentality Monster | 55c | 182$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed Mentality Monster | 62c | 180$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 332 | 65.4%217 W · 115 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Mentality Monster | 71c | 177.09$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.36 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dba…6929backed Mentality Monster | 67c | 174.09$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.45 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Mentality Monster | 68c | 170.27$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc78d…e9f0backed D family | 21c | 169.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5480…b38cbacked Mentality Monster | 69c | 165$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.55 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Mentality Monster | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8a…b9f8backed Mentality Monster | 69c | 155.62$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.81 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed D family | 50c | 153.61$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked D family | 38c | 151.55$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.02 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Mentality Monster | 70c | 149.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Mentality Monster | 67c | 147.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.53 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed Mentality Monster | 68c | 144.13$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.13 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: D family vs Mentality Monster (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: D family vs Mentality Monster - Game 1 WinnerMentality Monster won
- Dota 2: D family vs Mentality Monster - Game 2 WinnerD family won
- Game Handicap: Mentality Monster (-1.5) vs D family (+1.5)D family won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.