Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: D family vs Mentality Monster - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9db197e90ce1f4067cedd5279dce3238930a3a55486bcf05013f70f4b549bbf3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- D familyof D family, Mentality Monster
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,192
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,192 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked D family | 57c | 3,517$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.04 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked D family | 49c | 3,312$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,693.67 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked Mentality Monster | 50c | 1,985$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.31 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x590d…28f3backed D family | 46c | 1,909$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Mentality Monster | 42c | 1,762$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.8 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc41e…e2e9backed Mentality Monster | 4c | 1,521$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 37 | 5.4%2 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9417…8440backed D family | 54c | 1,479$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.36 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Mentality Monster | 53c | 1,136$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 195 | 47.7%93 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Mentality Monster | 43c | 1,090$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.2 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Mentality Monster | 54c | 1,024$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.11 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed Mentality Monster | 54c | 1,000$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Mentality Monster | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Mentality Monster | 46c | 995.08$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.47 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked D family | 51c | 936.17$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.28 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed D family | 49c | 918.36$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.36 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Mentality Monster | 53c | 802.3$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.83 | 147 | 63.3%93 W · 54 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed D family | 46c | 651.45$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.18 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked D family | 48c | 576.57$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.58 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a165backed D family | 40c | 530$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.4 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Mentality Monster | 36c | 511.79$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.2 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed D family | 40c | 508$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.9 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Mentality Monster | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Mentality Monster | 59c | 489.98$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.44 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed Mentality Monster | 51c | 478.45$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Mentality Monster | 54c | 465.41$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.33 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Mentality Monster | 49c | 463.08$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.83 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Mentality Monster | 55c | 437.87$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.06 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed D family | 47c | 425.52$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.52 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed Mentality Monster | 51c | 423$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.73 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Mentality Monster | 54c | 278.09$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.1 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Mentality Monster | 55c | 229.84$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.6 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe37e…6d97backed D family | 47c | 217.55$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.42 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Mentality Monster | 40c | 212.39$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.47 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mentality Monster | 50c | 206.39$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.21 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed D family | 69c | 205.75$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.75 | 137 | 64.2%88 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Mentality Monster | 53c | 203.67$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.36 | 192 | 49%94 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…5230backed D family | 50c | 201.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.13 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed D family | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.1 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…4fcfbacked Mentality Monster | 15c | 199.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +34%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed D family | 51c | 198.88$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.46 | 253 | 59.3%150 W · 103 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Mentality Monster | 49c | 197.54$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.14 | 440 | 49.3%217 W · 223 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Mentality Monster | 52c | 195.45$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.83 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Mentality Monster | 26c | 192.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed Mentality Monster | 58c | 190$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.2 | 332 | 65.4%217 W · 115 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Mentality Monster | 50c | 186.95$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.24 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Mentality Monster | 33c | 185$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.45 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed D family | 46c | 179.35$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.4 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…4fddbacked D family | 51c | 176.42$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.14 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed D family | 51c | 173.54$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.03 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Mentality Monster | 51c | 165.7$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.51 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed D family | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Mentality Monster | 37c | 146.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.53 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc03e…da65backed Mentality Monster | 35c | 142.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked Mentality Monster | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked D family | 56c | 136.92$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.04 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked D family | 69c | 134.41$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.03 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Mentality Monster | 50c | 117.22$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.37 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked D family | 74c | 111.05$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Mentality Monster | 47c | 103.16$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed D family | 51c | 102.54$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.84 | 387 | 59.4%230 W · 157 L | +26.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe489…8804backed D family | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88fa…b50bbacked Mentality Monster | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Mentality Monster | 49c | 99.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Mentality Monster | 47c | 98.59$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 222 | 40.1%89 W · 133 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Mentality Monster | 50c | 91$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Mentality Monster | 61c | 89.33$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.49 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Mentality Monster | 34c | 88.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Mentality Monster | 51c | 85.95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.21 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Mentality Monster | 54c | 85.35$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.03 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccb…6cb3backed Mentality Monster | 21c | 84.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Mentality Monster | 52c | 83.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 308 | 44.8%138 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2756…e8c7backed D family | 52c | 83.09$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.17 | 206 | 61.7%127 W · 79 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed D family | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 282 | 52.1%147 W · 135 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5539…19f8backed Mentality Monster | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Mentality Monster | 52c | 73$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Mentality Monster | 22c | 68.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +11.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b49…9bdcbacked Mentality Monster | 28c | 60.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed D family | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed D family | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a3…5b70backed Mentality Monster | 54c | 55.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -44%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46d5…4bd3backed D family | 77c | 52.71$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 25 | 96%24 W · 1 L | +5.6wins | +0.23per pick | 73cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Mentality Monster | 56c | 51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Mentality Monster | 54c | 49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Mentality Monster | 56c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dba…6929backed Mentality Monster | 55c | 43.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Mentality Monster | 37c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1001…0cf1backed D family | 42c | 37.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a3…09b8backed Mentality Monster | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 64cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Mentality Monster | 49c | 33.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x422d…7e39backed D family | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed D family | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a8…0f9cbacked D family | 49c | 30.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…d388backed D family | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe717…0710backed D family | 52c | 28.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 211 | 58.8%124 W · 87 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Mentality Monster | 39c | 27.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 328 | 6.4%21 W · 307 L | -102.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xb603…c701backed D family | 50c | 27.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Mentality Monster | 49c | 25.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Mentality Monster | 54c | 25.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked D family | 41c | 24.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked D family | 50c | 23.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 300 | 54.7%164 W · 136 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: D family vs Mentality Monster - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: D family vs Mentality Monster (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia PlayoffsMentality Monster won
- Dota 2: D family vs Mentality Monster - Game 1 WinnerMentality Monster won
- Game Handicap: Mentality Monster (-1.5) vs D family (+1.5)D family won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.