Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: D family vs Mentality Monster - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca8727d012644050e6a1a0fbad80e34f0b3e9ee31e5f387ec721d49d6e0eed75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mentality Monsterof D family, Mentality Monster
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,729
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,822
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,729 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed D family | 31c | 11,086$3,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,386.15 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Mentality Monster | 48c | 7,555$3,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,902.72 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…89aabacked Mentality Monster | 63c | 7,276$4,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,693.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked D family | 53c | 4,000$2,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,114.46 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed D family | 40c | 1,947$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.56 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked D family | 44c | 1,855$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.4 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked D family | 12c | 1,540$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.9 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked D family | 56c | 1,066$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.23 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed D family | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Mentality Monster | 53c | 984.46$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.05 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Mentality Monster | 63c | 972.44$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.38 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed D family | 54c | 900$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.5 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Mentality Monster | 60c | 776.21$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.56 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Mentality Monster | 59c | 700.51$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.18 | 192 | 49%94 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed D family | 40c | 652.26$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked D family | 4c | 599.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mentality Monster | 53c | 549.55$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.8 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Mentality Monster | 58c | 548.04$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.86 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc41e…e2e9backed D family | 10c | 520.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 5.4%2 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Mentality Monster | 63c | 503.23$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.76 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed D family | 53c | 491.99$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.23 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Mentality Monster | 60c | 414$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.57 | 440 | 49.3%217 W · 223 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Mentality Monster | 58c | 377.3$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.39 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d5…11fcbacked Mentality Monster | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Mentality Monster | 70c | 340.11$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.59 | 207 | 67.1%139 W · 68 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed D family | 53c | 319.92$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.56 | 253 | 59.3%150 W · 103 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…ed1cbacked D family | 55c | 310.33$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe37e…6d97backed D family | 66c | 302.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed D family | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f31…a362backed D family | 57c | 272.38$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Mentality Monster | 56c | 260.56$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.52 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Mentality Monster | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…4fddbacked D family | 54c | 228.94$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.67 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mentality Monster | 57c | 226.42$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.49 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Mentality Monster | 45c | 223.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.44 | 147 | 63.3%93 W · 54 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Mentality Monster | 73c | 212$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.06 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed D family | 35c | 210$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed D family | 43c | 206.54$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.66 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Mentality Monster | 52c | 199.98$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.93 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Mentality Monster | 58c | 182.01$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.76 | 222 | 40.1%89 W · 133 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Mentality Monster | 53c | 170.64$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.94 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe123…b4ffbacked D family | 50c | 167.85$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.93 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed Mentality Monster | 61c | 165.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.16 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked D family | 39c | 164.87$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.98 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Mentality Monster | 51c | 152.9$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.45 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed D family | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9b13…37dbbacked Mentality Monster | 58c | 137.64$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked D family | 56c | 135.2$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.34 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked D family | 44c | 134.48$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46d5…4bd3backed Mentality Monster | 62c | 130$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 25 | 96%24 W · 1 L | +5.6wins | +0.23per pick | 73cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Mentality Monster | 58c | 125$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.9 | 308 | 44.8%138 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed D family | 44c | 122.03$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.26 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Mentality Monster | 56c | 113$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.48 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Mentality Monster | 46c | 111$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.94 | 473 | 58.6%277 W · 196 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Mentality Monster | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Mentality Monster | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8a…b9f8backed Mentality Monster | 61c | 82.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed Mentality Monster | 62c | 82.03$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 387 | 59.4%230 W · 157 L | +26.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Mentality Monster | 53c | 81.78$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.35 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Mentality Monster | 47c | 80.17$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…d388backed D family | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fa…b50bbacked D family | 35c | 79.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0472…c3bfbacked D family | 60c | 73.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Mentality Monster | 60c | 73$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed D family | 25c | 72.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Mentality Monster | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Mentality Monster | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x422d…7e39backed D family | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed Mentality Monster | 55c | 59.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Mentality Monster | 61c | 54.4$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e60…536bbacked Mentality Monster | 44c | 45.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b2…0ab9backed Mentality Monster | 62c | 44.76$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Mentality Monster | 61c | 43.54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Mentality Monster | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 529 | 50.9%269 W · 260 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd47a…67fabacked D family | 59c | 38.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…5230backed D family | 52c | 38.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc5…9fcfbacked D family | 52c | 37.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3147…2b50backed Mentality Monster | 51c | 37.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Mentality Monster | 64c | 34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Mentality Monster | 63c | 33.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked D family | 59c | 32.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 300 | 54.7%164 W · 136 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a48…08c5backed D family | 40c | 30.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked D family | 63c | 30.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Mentality Monster | 49c | 29.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7579…524abacked D family | 51c | 28.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…cf1abacked D family | 52c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 304 | 58.6%178 W · 126 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Mentality Monster | 70c | 23.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd11…67b1backed Mentality Monster | 56c | 23.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Mentality Monster | 62c | 20.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Mentality Monster | 63c | 19.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed Mentality Monster | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: D family vs Mentality Monster - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: D family vs Mentality Monster (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia PlayoffsMentality Monster won
- Dota 2: D family vs Mentality Monster - Game 2 WinnerD family won
- Game Handicap: Mentality Monster (-1.5) vs D family (+1.5)D family won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.