TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc6a8…0f9c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Dota2, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 58 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+37.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$63.16
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+146.2%+$35.08
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+217.6%+$43.53
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$26.59
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)backed Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$20.56
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+160.8%+$48.25
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: D family vs Mentality Monster - Game 2 Winnerbacked D family · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+104.8%+$15.71
Dota 2: D family vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Playoffsbacked D family · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$50.43
Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Ivory - Game 2 Winnerbacked InterActive Philippines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+188.6%+$60.37
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$21.13
All 19 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$56.92
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+119.7%+$291.7
LoL: BIG vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+62.3%+$43.9
LoL: Shifters vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.44
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$593Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$291.94
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs Deep Cross Gaming (+2.5)backed Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffsbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 4 Winnerbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$13.53
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy - Game 3 Winnerbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$80
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Game Handicap: TES (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$58.33
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 18 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+38%+$55.22
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$205
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$48.36
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs TheMongolz (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.34
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$107
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.34
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.58
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.