TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$174,567
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$145,578

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,567 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbea1…dad3backed Yes6c29,255$1,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,790.44812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick20cpaid-74.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc930…64d9backed Yes1c12,574$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6530%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc349…82d7backed Yes1c6,549$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.871323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick18cpaid-48.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes4c5,271$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.0379231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes3c4,686$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.118,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes2c4,303$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.022021.5%3 W · 199 L-0.3wins0.00per pick2cpaid-52.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2461…f240backed Yes4c3,803$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.1914445.8%66 W · 78 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf524…8178backed Yes2c2,894$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.111266.3%8 W · 118 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-60.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf288…3c08backed Yes3c2,766$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.684740.4%19 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c5e…8819backed Yes6c2,423$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1353737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6d2…7048backed Yes4c1,969$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.391323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-48.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Yes4c1,960$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.8242336.9%156 W · 267 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes4c1,948$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.846098.4%51 W · 558 L+0.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c8e…8c7ebacked Yes1c1,946$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.49170%0 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe85c…ed6bbacked Yes1c1,728$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0350%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfeb…9498backed Yes6c1,478$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.39520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-58.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes2c1,384$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7570%0 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes2c1,372$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9470%0 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes3c1,333$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455219.2%10 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick13cpaid+30.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1cd…896abacked Yes8c1,305$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004831.3%15 W · 33 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ed5…a7ddbacked Yes6c1,295$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-56.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf89…dc80backed Yes3c1,076$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-64.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31c6…18f2backed Yes1c1,012$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf0c…c7f6backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103732.4%12 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81da…569cbacked Yes2c835.68$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0d4…8db5backed Yes4c833.09$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb69c…2a0dbacked Yes3c816.67$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.95397.7%3 W · 36 L-0.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid-50.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d1b…f055backed Yes67c810.8$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.991612.5%2 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-76%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6560…e164backed Yes6c801.43$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.97333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid-18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ae…217abacked Yes2c785.97$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x790e…0be2backed Yes4c740$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bd6…10d4backed No71c717.83$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.871241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick60cpaid-43.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f23…441fbacked Yes7c687.06$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.03966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+248%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x69cc…2e44backed No50c663.25$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.46333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-33.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaed…bc74backed Yes6c616.16$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.983517.1%6 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1e2…666dbacked Yes4c600.85$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1402.5%1 W · 39 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-57.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes7c580.42$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014528.3%41 W · 104 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd61a…c7f1backed Yes5c531.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9200%0 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…4a7dbacked Yes6c514.1$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.072814.3%4 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-45.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe20e…df4dbacked Yes7c510.19$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecc5…5fdebacked Yes20c510$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.94325.6%11 W · 32 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-30.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ad4…83b8backed Yes6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick29cpaid-28.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66c1…2c72backed Yes4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204226.2%11 W · 31 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes3c499.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-48.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ec8…36f4backed Yes4c441.48$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.432718.5%5 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes2c420.67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3130241.4%125 W · 177 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6740…49efbacked Yes19c389.4$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e92…395abacked Yes4c376.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155520%11 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-30.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed Yes29c343.79$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.710135.6%36 W · 65 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc6a8…0f9cbacked Yes32c336.59$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Yes27c335.91$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.8522139.8%88 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefdd…8370backed No26c326.49$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+195.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e8e…0cc4backed Yes6c324.23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4218911.1%21 W · 168 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe31b…5f28backed Yes6c310.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick17cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes8c306.51$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.737799.6%75 W · 704 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe7c…406cbacked Yes7c301.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201136.4%4 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-32.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x615c…e752backed Yes7c293.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.28per pick44cpaid+40.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8e4…be17backed Yes5c288.85$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.79728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick17cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ee0…1006backed Yes8c288.83$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8821633.8%73 W · 143 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes6c286.97$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.99370%0 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfa1…d072backed Yes5c286.21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.317262.5%45 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb10e…6824backed Yes7c268.34$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.22616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-64.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5dda…c9e0backed Yes78c257.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-28.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes4c254.23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7111611.2%13 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-66.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb521…18f6backed Yes6c254.05$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161050%5 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x348a…268dbacked Yes6c251.03$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdff…1272backed Yes7c235.43$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-67.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fd4…4fa0backed Yes63c233.22$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.841080%8 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+17.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c2b…8606backed Yes7c227.02$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbece…113abacked Yes4c223.71$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf07…c770backed Yes24c200$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47352.9%1 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.12per pick15cpaid-82.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0979…72d5backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick11cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25dc…e33bbacked Yes48c199.99$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b91…ae77backed No37c199.98$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.994717%8 W · 39 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x797a…ffa6backed Yes8c198.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes34c187.86$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9120142.8%86 W · 115 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8b0…431ebacked Yes6c172.41$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-55%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92fa…4461backed Yes61c164.92$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb15f…aaaebacked Yes20c161.49$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.23425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-55.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed No33c159.98$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.3917249.4%85 W · 87 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f21…f438backed Yes73c157.44$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0749…6de9backed Yes12c150$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick12cpaid+306.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1a5…f928backed No75c132.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-33.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c30…4acfbacked No39c129.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.172100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+104.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3b2…36c0backed Yes9c125.52$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cee…ffeabacked Yes46c122$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.36812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick28cpaid-72.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9ef…ed8dbacked No75c120.82$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.442962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdde0…7fffbacked No41c116.97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+141.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xffd4…1227backed Yes16c106.53$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.01250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc7c…4ce2backed No66c104.75$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.932080%16 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+40.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe85e…6bd0backed No42c97.86$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.86520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-52.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63eb…d3a6backed No76c91$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.24520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-73.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb10f…56f4backed Yes16c87.66$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147045.7%32 W · 38 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25c5…2fd9backed Yes43c70$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5896…447cbacked Yes43c70$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa76b…8a50backed No41c64.88$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1211256.3%63 W · 49 L+7.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4607…7811backed Yes25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512253.3%65 W · 57 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82b9…c6cebacked Yes42c59.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510740.2%43 W · 64 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5b6…1fdabacked No39c51.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.321428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-52.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a4e…b38cbacked Yes62c51.3$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.785444.4%24 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.