Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Ivory - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b6ca8b63a1004f3dda7ab19387df8411ba963914cd149a31e0cfaf87fcdfb91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ivoryof InterActive Philippines, Ivory
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,347
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,347 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked InterActive Philippines | 43c | 1,318$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.61 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Ivory | 55c | 813.39$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.09 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…bd29backed Ivory | 72c | 416.79$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.79 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed InterActive Philippines | 49c | 400$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.85 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed InterActive Philippines | 33c | 242.5$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.8 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Ivory | 60c | 185.11$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.51 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Ivory | 56c | 159.97$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.59 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Ivory | 63c | 158.8$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.3 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked Ivory | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed InterActive Philippines | 37c | 120$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Ivory | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Ivory | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a8…0f9cbacked InterActive Philippines | 46c | 98.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcb…9f08backed InterActive Philippines | 20c | 76.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Ivory | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8192…e1b9backed Ivory | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f31…a362backed InterActive Philippines | 38c | 34.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked Ivory | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 407 | 45.5%185 W · 222 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Ivory - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Ivory (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group StageIvory won
- Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Ivory - Game 1 WinnerIvory won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.