Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Ivory (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91b6fce321eb385cc46e0b1a74ee9bf623bbb80dd4459b8be49009c5f40e01bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ivoryof InterActive Philippines, Ivory
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,317
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,567
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,317 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked InterActive Philippines | 20c | 811.17$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…bd29backed Ivory | 75c | 427.97$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed InterActive Philippines | 20c | 293.45$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.18 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b3…934ebacked Ivory | 67c | 231.93$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked InterActive Philippines | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…bd67backed Ivory | 69c | 188.23$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed InterActive Philippines | 7c | 177.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2661…6c28backed InterActive Philippines | 10c | 137.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked InterActive Philippines | 19c | 129.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcc…ee29backed InterActive Philippines | 36c | 116.89$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.78 | 174 | 51.7%90 W · 84 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked InterActive Philippines | 30c | 114.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bf…db0abacked InterActive Philippines | 33c | 92.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…23acbacked InterActive Philippines | 16c | 66.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…441bbacked Ivory | 79c | 62.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e99…2229backed InterActive Philippines | 31c | 49.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Ivory | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 283 | 36.4%103 W · 180 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Ivory | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Ivory | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 253 | 51.4%130 W · 123 L | +23.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Ivory | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked Ivory | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +12.5wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Ivory | 66c | 39.42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bb…cad6backed Ivory | 68c | 16.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Ivory (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Ivory - Game 1 WinnerIvory won
- Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Ivory - Game 2 WinnerIvory won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.