TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,361,364
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,314,726

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,361,364 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 932 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6adc…bebabacked Yes43c521,893$226,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226,549.1313633.1%45 W · 91 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9368…80a3backed Yes47c294,971$137,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137,722.244744.7%21 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes78c283,848$222,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222,201.2115743.9%69 W · 88 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No59c128,482$75,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,178.6325255.6%140 W · 112 L+18.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f58…0ff0backed No1c117,400$1,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115,709.622969%20 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+247.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked No56c85,321$47,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,579.475452.7%397 W · 357 L+27.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked No59c78,489$46,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,465.2225655.1%141 W · 115 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No52c54,798$28,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,044.932100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+58.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No48c53,992$25,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,190.861580%12 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked Yes47c47,666$22,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,596.9425751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb12b…5a89backed Yes45c40,000$18,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,0006168.9%42 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No54c38,183$20,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,382.358100%8 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+51.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Yes23c26,668$6,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,067.1914846.6%69 W · 79 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed No50c26,613$13,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,370.112615.4%4 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-23.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed No58c22,665$13,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,505.6381843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe02…be9dbacked No54c21,500$11,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,909.9931253.5%167 W · 145 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Yes40c19,992$8,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,079.5875350.5%380 W · 373 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38ac…3504backed Yes52c19,535$10,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,194.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes46c18,690$8,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,630.1638037.4%142 W · 238 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8dd…ec86backed No50c18,060$9,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,939.812100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+204.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No53c17,926$9,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,429.11573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Yes44c17,111$7,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,559.6745646.9%214 W · 242 L-1.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No52c15,908$8,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,708.63475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+91.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Yes37c15,729$5,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,819.8441649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1610…ae49backed Yes40c14,780$5,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,847.7213548.9%66 W · 69 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked Yes43c14,554$6,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,243.1321251.4%109 W · 103 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed No50c13,063$6,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,470.4166551.9%345 W · 320 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Yes49c11,943$5,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,842.556147.5%29 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9b5…9db1backed No52c11,675$6,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,643.972100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+148.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x746e…4238backed Yes61c11,492$6,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,968.181233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fcb…f91abacked Yes51c10,876$5,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,594.363948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21d6…86fdbacked No62c10,000$6,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8004257.1%24 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe111…685abacked Yes38c10,000$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,80017540%70 W · 105 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4956…e2c7backed No53c10,000$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,700333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick24cpaid-37.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Yes49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,899.9119055.8%106 W · 84 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked No53c9,892$5,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,690.721,62144.8%726 W · 895 L+3.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd547…f7a8backed Yes41c9,875$4,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,021.252832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1a6…1507backed No52c9,828$5,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,720.431190.9%10 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.24per pick67cpaid+45.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked No51c9,787$4,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,843.3116245.1%73 W · 89 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No53c9,785$5,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,576.368252.4%43 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked No54c9,200$5,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,196.1329127.5%80 W · 211 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bab…1292backed Yes43c8,940$3,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,831.44450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15e4…7ba4backed Yes44c8,851$3,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,854.9211843.2%51 W · 67 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21fb…fd64backed Yes46c8,561$3,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,907.171520%3 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-61.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x31a6…0dcfbacked Yes45c7,996$3,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,609.38138.3%31 W · 50 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9897…c033backed No55c7,330$4,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2727548%36 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes43c7,104$3,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,078.522,30945.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L-62.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed No61c7,000$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,700.0321854.1%118 W · 100 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked Yes38c7,000$2,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,66013065.4%85 W · 45 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked No54c6,591$3,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,031.8436453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bc1…8db4backed Yes44c6,170$2,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,714.99616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-64.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No57c6,068$3,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,630.2688242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x71a5…b594backed Yes49c6,029$2,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,983.6317946.4%83 W · 96 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No62c6,000$3,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2807055.7%39 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Yes44c6,000$2,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,609.9829449.3%145 W · 149 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e23…e933backed Yes59c5,938$3,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,506.112660.3%76 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No54c5,854$3,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,674.0126650.8%135 W · 131 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05ab…8145backed Yes26c5,652$1,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,452.181118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-53.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed No55c5,577$3,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,514.644654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d32…9dfcbacked Yes47c5,545$2,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,605.931816.7%3 W · 15 L-4.0wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-65.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed Yes46c5,516$2,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,537.2637946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cf7…294abacked No54c5,483$2,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,526.618536.5%31 W · 54 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x24d2…92c5backed Yes46c5,443$2,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,491.112638.9%49 W · 77 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce20…0b7bbacked Yes47c5,319$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5005651.8%29 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed Yes45c5,213$2,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,332.6916761.7%103 W · 64 L-0.5wins0.00per pick62cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f63…f247backed No50c5,118$2,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,554.8415052.7%79 W · 71 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No62c5,011$3,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,904.21771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked No61c5,000$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,95075758.3%441 W · 316 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c7f…12d5backed No62c5,000$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9003357.6%19 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd52b…5c72backed Yes40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed No62c5,000$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,899.995459.3%32 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfffe…4e6cbacked Yes41c4,996$2,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,045.8727649.3%136 W · 140 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Yes43c4,989$2,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,139.991,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x31c1…bc19backed Yes41c4,872$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00015862.7%99 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79d9…baecbacked No54c4,800$2,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd49b…bdf9backed No52c4,729$2,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,268.28475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+65.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x079f…28dfbacked Yes43c4,673$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb94…243cbacked Yes47c4,493$2,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,134.071747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Yes47c4,278$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.1625052.8%132 W · 118 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x765d…dca3backed No51c4,234$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,074.83425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-51%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes41c4,225$1,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,730.5210735.5%38 W · 69 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed Yes44c4,000$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,76015251.3%78 W · 74 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e7d…ca41backed No52c3,900$2,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,868.75742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4c2…a16ebacked Yes47c3,618$1,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,688.0548566.2%321 W · 164 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed Yes42c3,603$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50012043.3%52 W · 68 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Yes45c3,500$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,57545455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes8c3,459$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.814142.6%60 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No54c3,351$1,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,539.591573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+53.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c8e…dd59backed No62c3,216$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,215.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No52c3,201$1,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,541.051675%12 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+34.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f20…12c3backed No52c3,192$1,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,538.161090%9 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.30per pick60cpaid+48.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf85d…ab00backed No55c3,177$1,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,445.14242.9%18 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No51c3,140$1,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,527.971782.4%14 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.22per pick60cpaid+51.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb465…0d8dbacked No53c3,087$1,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,445.891060%6 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+31.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b2f…16c4backed No55c3,079$1,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.023636.1%13 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc57f…1746backed No59c3,024$1,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,238.586352.4%33 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+22.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf886…2620backed Yes49c3,010$1,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,474.910359.2%61 W · 42 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04cf…9f77backed No62c3,000$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1405160.8%31 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x16b9…3d59backed No62c2,900$1,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,101.91250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked No45c2,789$1,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,533.8952837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.