TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Will M80 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$514,464
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$175,666

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $514,464 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7040…81fabacked Yes0c56,088$123 inLost-$122.738614%12 W · 74 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x409f…543abacked Yes0c51,806$52 inLost-$51.81100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes0c36,521$37 inLost-$36.781244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe111…685abacked Yes0c30,000$35 inLost-$34.9217540%70 W · 105 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb30…97e8backed Yes0c29,785$54 inLost-$54.352512%3 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-73.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c5b…26e2backed Yes0c28,180$56 inLost-$56.363435.3%12 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+42.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4502…9ebdbacked Yes0c26,398$46 inLost-$46.4240%0 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x243c…2240backed Yes0c21,364$43 inLost-$42.732010%2 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick7cpaid-24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x102d…ff61backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost-$206726.9%18 W · 49 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8959…68e2backed Yes0c14,413$30 inLost-$307429.7%22 W · 52 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-36.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes0c11,034$26 inLost-$25.87700%0 W · 70 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c590backed Yes0c10,814$18 inLost-$17.8814332.2%46 W · 97 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-33.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes0c10,367$31 inLost-$31.11315.4%2 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick7cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Yes0c10,000$23 inLost-$22.771,62144.8%726 W · 895 L+3.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9940…b140backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost-$10922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-58.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x621e…2317backed Yes0c8,870$30 inLost-$29.552133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-27.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2362…2ec5backed Yes0c7,136$14 inLost-$14.275414.8%8 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-24.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b35…768ebacked Yes0c5,968$13 inLost-$132334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-38%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fff…8c1fbacked Yes0c5,197$12 inLost-$12.21200%0 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ea9…5e86backed Yes0c5,000$10 inLost-$103135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2000…df78backed Yes0c5,000$14 inLost-$143834.2%13 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-26.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7c1…675ebacked Yes0c4,473$11 inLost-$11.492733.3%9 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6747…a64fbacked Yes0c4,000$12 inLost-$126225.8%16 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf056…ac3dbacked Yes0c2,500$10 inLost-$10714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-72.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.