CS2 · resolved market

Will MOUZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x665a7f135acb1d2938cf74f94c1747cb3d530b6f99210b3affe5d91d35e6968a

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $819,484
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $369,435

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $819,484 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf49c…9786backed Yes	2c	248,488$4,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,899.97	26	15.4%4 W · 22 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x165e…f5aabacked Yes	2c	63,431$1,169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,168.5	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+4.3wins	+0.19per pick	33cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Yes	3c	27,400$736 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$735.71	756	52.6%398 W · 358 L	+27.2wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfec…fbf2backed Yes	1c	25,942$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.54	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.23per pick	37cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Yes	2c	23,724$522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$521.93	818	43.2%353 W · 465 L	+23.0wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7040…81fabacked Yes	2c	20,957$401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401.03	86	14%12 W · 74 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd761…56e3backed Yes	1c	16,121$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.01	247	46.2%114 W · 133 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2362…2ec5backed Yes	2c	15,339$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.44	54	14.8%8 W · 46 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7669…dc6cbacked Yes	2c	15,321$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328.88	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x243c…2240backed Yes	2c	14,452$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.24	20	10%2 W · 18 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x102d…ff61backed Yes	2c	14,205$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.66	67	26.9%18 W · 49 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	24cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa019…c220backed Yes	2c	13,131$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.55	214	37.9%81 W · 133 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71a5…b594backed Yes	2c	12,151$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.41	179	46.4%83 W · 96 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked Yes	2c	11,936$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.62	587	45.5%267 W · 320 L	-15.9wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Yes	2c	11,714$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246	668	51.8%346 W · 322 L	+8.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Yes	2c	11,218$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.82	882	42.3%373 W · 509 L	-13.0wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	1c	10,595$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.11	70	0%0 W · 70 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Yes	2c	9,100$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.2	858	51.6%443 W · 415 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes	1c	8,859$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.19	148	20.3%30 W · 118 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes	2c	7,930$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.24	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes	1c	7,741$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.18	194	23.7%46 W · 148 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1728…08f4backed Yes	1c	7,226$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.2	32	3.1%1 W · 31 L	-2.5wins	-0.08per pick	11cpaid	-68.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Yes	2c	7,059$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.47	291	27.5%80 W · 211 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31a6…0dcfbacked Yes	2c	6,522$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	81	38.3%31 W · 50 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c590backed Yes	1c	6,285$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.09	143	32.2%46 W · 97 L	+5.0wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4c4…6dfdbacked Yes	3c	6,131$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.39	168	53.6%90 W · 78 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Yes	2c	5,404$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.42	1,310	53.7%703 W · 607 L	+32.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes	2c	5,000$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	+1.1wins	+0.08per pick	7cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Yes	2c	5,000$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	192	52.1%100 W · 92 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fc4…d48cbacked Yes	2c	4,825$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111	135	43.7%59 W · 76 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x462f…cbd6backed Yes	2c	4,569$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	58	53.4%31 W · 27 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa92e…1160backed Yes	2c	4,350$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.35	207	32.4%67 W · 140 L	-11.2wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x079f…28dfbacked Yes	1c	4,218$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b2f…16c4backed Yes	2c	4,200$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Yes	2c	4,000$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	152	41.4%63 W · 89 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29db…19c3backed Yes	2c	3,682$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.25	120	41.7%50 W · 70 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd49…b383backed Yes	2c	3,649$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.58	19	5.3%1 W · 18 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	3,630$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.87	1,500	9.9%148 W · 1,352 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9249…d239backed Yes	1c	3,396$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.56	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	5cpaid	+122.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf07…c770backed Yes	2c	3,091$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.37	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+2.6wins	+0.24per pick	22cpaid	+212.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4105…9d06backed Yes	2c	2,890$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	34	50%17 W · 17 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe111…685abacked Yes	1c	2,826$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.91	175	40%70 W · 105 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaef…7c98backed Yes	2c	2,686$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.52	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6727…2ac7backed Yes	2c	2,657$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.87	42	23.8%10 W · 32 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-43%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Yes	2c	2,600$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.8	559	41%229 W · 330 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7a…fb68backed Yes	2c	2,250$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+1.2wins	+0.15per pick	10cpaid	+68.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a89…a4d6backed Yes	2c	2,173$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.96	238	42.4%101 W · 137 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x291c…f1a9backed Yes	2c	2,100$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.15per pick	57cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0354…2913backed Yes	2c	2,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	135	40.7%55 W · 80 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f5…c45dbacked Yes	2c	2,000$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	77	42.9%33 W · 44 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Yes	2c	1,971$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.47	68	29.4%20 W · 48 L	-4.1wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-35%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4502…9ebdbacked Yes	2c	1,858$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.44	24	0%0 W · 24 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	2c	1,544$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.97	2,326	45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L	-62.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes	2c	1,496$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.14	812	44.3%360 W · 452 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5337…df09backed Yes	3c	1,442$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	65	50.8%33 W · 32 L	+5.3wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	2c	1,389$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.94	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes	2c	1,358$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.8	157	43.9%69 W · 88 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb625…7f8abacked Yes	2c	1,331$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.5	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8798…76cebacked Yes	2c	1,331$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.26	10	10%1 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x966f…175bbacked Yes	2c	1,304$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	+25%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x591b…8410backed Yes	2c	1,190$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	+2.2wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes	1c	1,181$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.34	380	37.4%142 W · 238 L	-14.8wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed4d…a43abacked Yes	2c	1,136$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.28per pick	6cpaid	+316.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x626f…cdfabacked Yes	2c	1,135$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.37	319	33.5%107 W · 212 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes	2c	1,100$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.1	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x10fa…f946backed Yes	2c	1,062$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.52	24	25%6 W · 18 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8168…6857backed Yes	2c	1,030$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.66	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	25cpaid	-69.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	93	45.2%42 W · 51 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x677f…1228backed Yes	2c	999.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	137	40.9%56 W · 81 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddcd…d005backed Yes	2c	952.76$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	8cpaid	+56.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4492…cad8backed Yes	1c	943.43$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d6c…72f5backed Yes	2c	858.47$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	+31.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa476…5e6dbacked Yes	2c	836$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.39	20	70%14 W · 6 L	+4.3wins	+0.21per pick	49cpaid	+64.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb600…4440backed Yes	2c	781.58$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.41	165	46.1%76 W · 89 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7dd…a02abacked Yes	3c	750$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.34	58	50%29 W · 29 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb53…2860backed Yes	2c	699.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	79	25.3%20 W · 59 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb3f…cd22backed Yes	2c	681.82$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	25cpaid	-68.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf40e…93bbbacked Yes	2c	674.06$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe901…d4cfbacked Yes	2c	638$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.04	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	-86.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9906…c0aebacked Yes	2c	600$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will MOUZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026?this page
Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
Will Astralis win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
Will B8 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
Will BIG win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes won
Will FlyQuest win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
Will G2 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
Will Gaimin Gladiators win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
Will GamerLegion win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
Will HEROIC win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
Will Legacy win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
Will Lynn Vision win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
Will M80 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
Will MIBR win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
Will Monte win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
Will NRG win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
Will PARIVISION win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
Will SINNERS win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
Will Sharks win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
Will TYLOO win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
Will Team Liquid win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
Will The MongolZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
Will Thunder downunder win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
Will paiN win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will MOUZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event