TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Will BIG win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$562,289
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$220,624

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $562,289 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf49c…9786backed Yes0c181,482$374 inLost-$374.392615.4%4 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-23.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x035f…1015backed Yes0c62,827$188 inLost-$188.48425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-64.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c39…f064backed Yes1c30,531$212 inLost-$211.51520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid+146.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes0c22,285$67 inLost-$66.74700%0 W · 70 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes0c21,264$37 inLost-$37.1614820.3%30 W · 118 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-28.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes0c19,885$20 inLost-$20.0481244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7040…81fabacked Yes0c15,000$60 inLost-$608614%12 W · 74 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb990…1a3abacked Yes0c14,691$45 inLost-$44.588312%10 W · 73 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Yes0c12,588$25 inLost-$25.181,08050.9%550 W · 530 L+38.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4502…9ebdbacked Yes0c10,000$40 inLost-$40240%0 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Yes1c10,000$50 inLost-$501,62144.8%726 W · 895 L+3.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b65…2cf8backed Yes0c9,744$14 inLost-$14.493060%18 W · 12 L+4.7wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c6,902$21 inLost-$20.7120%0 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb30…97e8backed Yes0c6,072$12 inLost-$12.142512%3 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-73.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ea9…5e86backed Yes0c6,027$25 inLost-$24.713135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6747…a64fbacked Yes0c5,489$16 inLost-$16.476225.8%16 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fff…8c1fbacked Yes0c5,470$17 inLost-$17.33200%0 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Yes0c5,000$20 inLost-$205255.8%29 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1728…08f4backed Yes0c4,013$12 inLost-$12.03323.1%1 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick11cpaid-68.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x626f…cdfabacked Yes0c3,606$11 inLost-$10.8731933.5%107 W · 212 L-0.8wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x621e…2317backed Yes1c3,392$23 inLost-$23.022133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-27.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb3f…cd22backed Yes0c3,018$10 inLost-$102218.2%4 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-68.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b35…768ebacked Yes0c2,500$10 inLost-$102334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-38%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes1c2,424$13 inLost-$13.4815743.9%69 W · 88 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.