CS2 · resolved market
Will GamerLegion win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadf834ab08d5e31ca8dabac7c194632bf4739fe695aa70937ce0dff296990e90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $413,822
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $173,587
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $413,822 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7040…81fabacked Yes | 0c | 46,552$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.25 | 86 | 14%12 W · 74 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0165…2281backed Yes | 1c | 26,066$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.12 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…9786backed Yes | 0c | 21,305$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.22 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Yes | 1c | 20,352$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.05 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…2240backed Yes | 1c | 19,777$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.13 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe111…685abacked Yes | 1c | 19,439$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.55 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745b…329cbacked Yes | 0c | 19,281$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e8…b994backed Yes | 1c | 12,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Yes | 1c | 11,950$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.98 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9ebdbacked Yes | 0c | 10,363$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 319 | 33.5%107 W · 212 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e17…9d3cbacked Yes | 1c | 9,771$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 0c | 9,003$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 148 | 20.3%30 W · 118 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0354…2913backed Yes | 1c | 8,091$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.93 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 7,873$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.53 | 70 | 0%0 W · 70 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…f444backed Yes | 1c | 7,846$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.3 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3504…0131backed Yes | 1c | 6,759$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…8c1fbacked Yes | 1c | 6,672$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1728…08f4backed Yes | 1c | 6,486$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes | 1c | 6,288$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.01 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x102d…ff61backed Yes | 0c | 5,864$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 5,100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed Yes | 0c | 5,003$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x966f…175bbacked Yes | 1c | 4,795$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7252…81f9backed Yes | 1c | 4,509$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4209…aa9abacked Yes | 0c | 4,233$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7419…a3adbacked Yes | 1c | 4,055$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c5b…26e2backed Yes | 1c | 3,920$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x135c…6d2fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,477$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10fa…f946backed Yes | 1c | 3,089$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeffa…e449backed Yes | 1c | 3,075$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddcd…d005backed Yes | 1c | 2,836$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 8cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 2,614$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7dd…a02abacked Yes | 1c | 2,600$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…47fcbacked Yes | 1c | 2,335$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…e44bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,214$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eaa…80dbbacked Yes | 1c | 1,992$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c6…1c37backed Yes | 1c | 1,806$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cd…e77cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,543$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8959…68e2backed Yes | 1c | 1,444$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…d0f1backed Yes | 1c | 1,430$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffc…cfabbacked Yes | 2c | 1,021$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc8…f527backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 488 | 26.2%128 W · 360 L | -44.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will GamerLegion win IEM Cologne Major 2026?this page
- Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Astralis win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will B8 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will BIG win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes won
- Will FlyQuest win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will G2 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Gaimin Gladiators win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will HEROIC win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Legacy win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Lynn Vision win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will M80 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will MIBR win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will MOUZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Monte win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will NRG win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will PARIVISION win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will SINNERS win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Sharks win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will TYLOO win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Team Liquid win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will The MongolZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Thunder downunder win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will paiN win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.