TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb625…7f8a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 53 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.3
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.56
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+150%+$55.2
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+1,233.4%+$923.91
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.69
Will G2 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.31
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.11
Will The MongolZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.85
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.83
Will MOUZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$9.78
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs MIBR (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs WW Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10.08
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Natus Vincere win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$13.5
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+108.3%+$16.25
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+40.8%+$11.03
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+143.9%+$18.53
Counter-Strike: G2 vs 3DMAX (BO3)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$23.36
IEM Dallas: BC.Game vs. FaZebacked BC.Game · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.89
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-66.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.1
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$161.63
Fogo FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+78.3%+$48.43
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+127.3%+$25.76
Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$23.9
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$134.2
No airdrop in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10.4
Kodiak FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$19.99
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-57.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Mineiro leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$19.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$19.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$46.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.