CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs WW Team - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e1d3a5824c4241d8c9e9659f1f2e9100e16761d1db2a53a4ac31c827c1f23e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- WW Teamof ex-RUBY, WW Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked ex-RUBY | 37c | 2,849$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.96 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed WW Team | 60c | 2,645$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.45 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c6…6d67backed WW Team | 54c | 856.57$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed ex-RUBY | 37c | 421.81$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.31 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41cc…adc7backed ex-RUBY | 16c | 268.37$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked ex-RUBY | 41c | 233.58$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.51 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed ex-RUBY | 52c | 215$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.18 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed ex-RUBY | 18c | 208.49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.74 | 199 | 35.7%71 W · 128 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ex-RUBY | 28c | 196.23$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.83 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf09c…8535backed ex-RUBY | 46c | 185.19$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.69 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…6ad6backed WW Team | 68c | 173.53$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked WW Team | 49c | 163.56$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.94 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a9…b9e9backed ex-RUBY | 29c | 160$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked WW Team | 68c | 154.6$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eca…2872backed ex-RUBY | 55c | 131.09$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked ex-RUBY | 40c | 99.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed ex-RUBY | 40c | 93.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed ex-RUBY | 41c | 82.03$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f14…4418backed ex-RUBY | 29c | 79.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed ex-RUBY | 37c | 72.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked ex-RUBY | 22c | 71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c0…d689backed WW Team | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c9…d487backed ex-RUBY | 33c | 60.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…b0a5backed WW Team | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc11c…8d8abacked ex-RUBY | 57c | 35.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbce0…d031backed ex-RUBY | 42c | 33.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked ex-RUBY | 61c | 31.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 185 | 41.6%77 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ex-RUBY | 43c | 26.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed WW Team | 58c | 25.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2620…524cbacked WW Team | 44c | 25.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed ex-RUBY | 46c | 23.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 198 | 50.5%100 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa288…401cbacked WW Team | 71c | 21.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb625…7f8abacked ex-RUBY | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs WW Team - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs WW Team (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stageex-RUBY won
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs WW Team - Map 1 Winnerex-RUBY won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.