TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs MIBR (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MOUZof MOUZ, MIBR
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$402,509
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$435,284

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $402,509 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 278 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x101c…543dbacked MIBR0c105,038$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.83666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked MOUZ76c47,000$35,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,279.9522354.7%122 W · 101 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked MOUZ76c21,964$16,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,357.6314050.7%71 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed MIBR20c21,506$4,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,352.2715947.8%76 W · 83 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked MIBR19c16,698$3,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,189.5564852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked MIBR23c16,199$3,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,725.8742440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed MOUZ77c13,500$10,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,10550054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7e3…22cbbacked MIBR25c10,289$2,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,550.643438.2%13 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ76c10,205$7,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,460.025,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x54c2…23adbacked MIBR24c10,090$2,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,421.688748.3%42 W · 45 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed MIBR24c10,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40041649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked MOUZ76c10,000$7,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,40038358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe111…685abacked MIBR25c8,000$2,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,02017540%70 W · 105 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5954…7d41backed MIBR24c7,677$1,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,842.5110352.4%54 W · 49 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed MOUZ74c6,537$4,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,681.772,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed MIBR24c5,948$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,419.688242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd57b…c48fbacked MOUZ77c5,844$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.167062.9%44 W · 26 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked MIBR24c5,504$1,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,318.971,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0562…18a4backed MIBR32c5,023$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.9420448.5%99 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed MIBR25c5,000$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.9737946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked MOUZ79c4,568$3,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.2836453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83b3…b3a2backed MIBR24c4,066$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.9318547%87 W · 98 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed MIBR24c3,500$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8351,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed MIBR23c3,500$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80511434.2%39 W · 75 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c6c…998fbacked MIBR24c3,444$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.4912760.6%77 W · 50 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked MIBR9c3,050$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27669624%167 W · 529 L+2.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aaa…3b90backed MIBR2c3,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick15cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b4a…3b84backed MIBR9c2,885$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.0414042.1%59 W · 81 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed MOUZ73c2,788$2,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.364,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked MIBR9c2,400$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2161,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed MIBR26c2,310$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.648437.6%182 W · 302 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57c2…fad6backed MIBR2c2,196$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.374930.6%15 W · 34 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-37.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked MOUZ78c2,079$1,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.93,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f1…fee6backed MIBR10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016051.3%82 W · 78 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed MIBR23c2,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4605251.9%27 W · 25 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d63…aea3backed MIBR7c2,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick36cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe738…df65backed MIBR25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9914950.3%75 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58d1…7ab6backed MIBR28c2,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5604546.7%21 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed MIBR16c1,905$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.876,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked MOUZ77c1,535$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.1376058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked MOUZ67c1,501$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.331,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed MIBR23c1,500$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34524935.7%89 W · 160 L-14.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77ac…1bf6backed MOUZ75c1,416$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.9427961.3%171 W · 108 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed MIBR25c1,403$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.592,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed MIBR24c1,350$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3242,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed MOUZ76c1,330$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.672,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5c1…7487backed MIBR24c1,250$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016732.9%55 W · 112 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x35f0…971ebacked MOUZ77c1,238$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.8231647.8%151 W · 165 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69e4…9bacbacked MOUZ75c1,190$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.5719845.5%90 W · 108 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed MIBR21c1,104$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.055,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed MIBR22c1,072$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.52,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed MIBR9c1,026$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.3772453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked MIBR24c1,023$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.629839.3%117 W · 181 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed MIBR25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe02…be9dbacked MIBR25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25031253.5%167 W · 145 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked MIBR23c999.99$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23039548.6%192 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed MIBR24c999.95$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.9928738%109 W · 178 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41dc…9c3dbacked MIBR24c943.58$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.465330.2%16 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed MIBR17c935.49$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.224,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5779…54adbacked MIBR24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+23.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked MIBR18c788.01$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.722,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked MIBR24c735.66$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.1640140.6%163 W · 238 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe062…f949backed MOUZ77c714.29$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.294452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a58…1497backed MIBR24c708.33$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9348…6664backed MIBR16c699.97$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1121428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-29.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked MOUZ78c649.99$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1421,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2662…3f84backed MOUZ77c649.35$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.3520958.9%123 W · 86 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed MOUZ77c647.4$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.916761.7%103 W · 64 L-0.5wins0.00per pick62cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked MIBR21c622.88$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.174,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e93…79f3backed MOUZ77c614.13$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.255160.8%31 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe337…1f6fbacked MIBR10c599.98$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5726341.1%108 W · 155 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed MIBR24c599.29$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.8396545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked MOUZ75c594.07$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.5227552%143 W · 132 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed MIBR25c550$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.515740.8%64 W · 93 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked MIBR22c522.73$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1157,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc6f…f0f0backed MOUZ77c519.48$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.486949.3%34 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd07…cb4ebacked MOUZ77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11513252.3%69 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0353…c79cbacked MOUZ76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201060%6 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7a…afb0backed MIBR23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11512134.7%42 W · 79 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12ff…0852backed MIBR24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12020445.6%93 W · 111 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed MIBR24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201,07637.6%405 W · 671 L+34.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked MIBR24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12055843.5%243 W · 315 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cbc…b637backed MIBR25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12562538.6%241 W · 384 L-16.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x779f…c480backed MIBR20c498.01$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed MIBR10c480.1$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0122750.2%114 W · 113 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7da…43d9backed MIBR10c480$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.627156.1%152 W · 119 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad84…1897backed MIBR4c475$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1919443.3%84 W · 110 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed MIBR24c475$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11455236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3237…571ebacked MIBR10c464.6$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.465431.5%17 W · 37 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick24cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked MIBR15c463.08$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7514947.7%71 W · 78 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3a5…534cbacked MOUZ77c454.44$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.5214639%57 W · 89 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e48…f025backed MOUZ77c422.08$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.085072%36 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick74cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e23…e933backed MOUZ72c419.99$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.612660.3%76 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed MIBR24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014044.3%62 W · 78 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e48…6158backed MIBR24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038052.6%200 W · 180 L+0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39bb…8d44backed MIBR24c412.5$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe881…fb3dbacked MOUZ77c401.64$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3835466.1%234 W · 120 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cd4…0c98backed MOUZ77c386.97$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49ac…2f1ebacked MIBR26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027751.6%143 W · 134 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d03…100ebacked MOUZ75c370.76$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.6941069.3%284 W · 126 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.