TailMyPicks
Market

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MOUZof MOUZ, MIBR
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,914
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,267

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,914 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed MOUZ53c10,000$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,699.9750254.2%272 W · 230 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed MIBR51c7,218$3,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,664.3315947.8%76 W · 83 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed MIBR52c6,100$3,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,187.4241649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked MIBR42c5,828$2,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,435.693,25950.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L+98.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed MOUZ51c4,335$2,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,139.6734146.6%159 W · 182 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked MOUZ52c3,937$2,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,889.6410635.8%38 W · 68 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x078f…796cbacked MOUZ52c3,863$1,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,868.265536.4%20 W · 35 L-7.8wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-34.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked MIBR48c3,576$1,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,716.2516245.1%73 W · 89 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed MIBR51c3,083$1,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,567.544,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed MIBR49c3,009$1,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,472.6920251%103 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked MOUZ60c2,499$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.5436753.7%197 W · 170 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed MIBR49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49019543.6%85 W · 110 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed MOUZ50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50036450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63d4…a2f1backed MOUZ47c999.99$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.9918754.5%102 W · 85 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked MIBR50c941.01$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.511,16748.2%562 W · 605 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf38…848bbacked MOUZ47c888$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.6412950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa272…797abacked MOUZ58c840.95$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.24841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed MIBR52c808.12$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.148751.7%45 W · 42 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee4b…43dcbacked MOUZ48c626.88$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.0438051.3%195 W · 185 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked MOUZ48c626.29$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.9449245.9%226 W · 266 L-1.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13c9…5e53backed MIBR51c582$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.025550.9%28 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa949…7f5bbacked MIBR31c580.65$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18022243.7%97 W · 125 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed MIBR49c511.76$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.7649935.1%175 W · 324 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked MOUZ49c510.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.235341.6%147 W · 206 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed MIBR50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5f1…c7ffbacked MIBR53c488$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.6430%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed MIBR50c430.72$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.0838848.5%188 W · 200 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x732c…08dbbacked MOUZ47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.539147.3%43 W · 48 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5b7…1454backed MOUZ49c408.57$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.5714743.5%64 W · 83 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed MIBR51c400.11$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.061,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2067…7350backed MOUZ50c397.76$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.7627657.6%159 W · 117 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed MIBR50c350$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17526743.1%115 W · 152 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed MIBR52c330$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.645544.4%202 W · 253 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked MOUZ49c318.37$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.3765950.4%332 W · 327 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked MIBR51c317.65$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16232542.2%137 W · 188 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked MIBR53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1597736.4%28 W · 49 L-9.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-27.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x677f…1228backed MOUZ46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16214040%56 W · 84 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40b3…9ef3backed MOUZ49c287.63$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.638053.8%43 W · 37 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed MOUZ47c277$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.71,00748.5%488 W · 519 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed MIBR49c232.7$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.0250947%239 W · 270 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked MIBR52c232$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.6448941.9%205 W · 284 L-14.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed MOUZ47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7716650.6%84 W · 82 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed MOUZ49c204.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.5427744.4%123 W · 154 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2b4…2ce6backed MOUZ49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0829757.6%171 W · 126 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7772…0e56backed MIBR51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10210251%52 W · 50 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed MIBR51c199$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.4936749.3%181 W · 186 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9a7…374abacked MIBR52c191.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027848.6%135 W · 143 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9786…7e61backed MIBR53c189.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.25955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fd8…54b3backed MOUZ49c181.69$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.6611850%59 W · 59 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x461c…f74bbacked MIBR51c160.78$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8220145.8%92 W · 109 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed MOUZ48c158.33$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.3344643.5%194 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x021a…d3aebacked MOUZ49c152.08$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.5625342.3%107 W · 146 L+0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x786c…dd20backed MOUZ50c149.45$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.4521942.5%93 W · 126 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed MIBR53c140$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.210054%54 W · 46 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed MIBR51c138.53$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.6510852.8%57 W · 51 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed MIBR49c137.44$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.342,45644.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L-67.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc37e…9e64backed MIBR53c131.91$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9130%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9c8…5312backed MIBR40c126.36$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6912…2aabbacked MIBR53c113.21$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605044%22 W · 28 L-7.0wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-21.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed MIBR44c107$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3559049.7%293 W · 297 L-31.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed MOUZ47c105$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.6568749.6%341 W · 346 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed MOUZ49c102.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8633354.4%181 W · 152 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x312c…0f42backed MOUZ49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0421053.8%113 W · 97 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd790…a24ebacked MOUZ60c101.24$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.242944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d61…eb8ebacked MOUZ50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.1681246.2%375 W · 437 L-35.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed MOUZ51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4934742.9%149 W · 198 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed MIBR51c99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4927954.5%152 W · 127 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked MIBR50c90$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4554348.6%264 W · 279 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed MOUZ50c89.42$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7114148.9%69 W · 72 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked MIBR31c80.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,05157.2%601 W · 450 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x692b…1550backed MIBR50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404961.2%30 W · 19 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8486…c0a9backed MIBR51c80$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.830%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea6a…f194backed MOUZ51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4318643.5%81 W · 105 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed MOUZ55c78.04$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4438950.4%196 W · 193 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a5e…8fd0backed MOUZ53c77.9$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6822444.2%99 W · 125 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed MIBR37c67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7934036.5%124 W · 216 L-1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x510c…3239backed MIBR47c63.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301855.6%10 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe11c…c7f7backed MOUZ49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.222642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ffc…a5b7backed MOUZ58c60.02$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.911154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe45e…b135backed MOUZ48c59.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1913835.5%49 W · 89 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf0b…7cccbacked MOUZ49c56.78$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9645450.2%228 W · 226 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3893…8afbbacked MIBR53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309836.7%36 W · 62 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9803…0242backed MOUZ71c54.82$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9811252.7%59 W · 53 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbeb5…b56dbacked MOUZ50c52$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265160.8%31 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5930…51d2backed MOUZ50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c2f…9765backed MOUZ47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.57061.4%43 W · 27 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae90…9a56backed MOUZ49c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.68740.2%35 W · 52 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b81…88e7backed MIBR45c46.24$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.815556.4%31 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+43.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed MOUZ49c44.49$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5931735.6%113 W · 204 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed MOUZ50c41.96$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9861638.1%235 W · 381 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9bf…8ec8backed MOUZ49c40.72$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7232357.6%186 W · 137 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf88b…0ed2backed MOUZ51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.623454.7%128 W · 106 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94c0…a805backed MIBR47c39.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.611958.8%70 W · 49 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed MIBR29c39.63$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.492,36545.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L-58.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bd6…8c92backed MIBR52c39.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.49837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-38.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a7…e5d4backed MIBR51c33.33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4dbd…fcdabacked MOUZ72c33.26$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.446056.7%34 W · 26 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51b6…1903backed MOUZ47c31.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9116457.9%95 W · 69 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f1d…7ff3backed MOUZ50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1517654.5%96 W · 80 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked MOUZ46c29.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.280741.3%333 W · 474 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.