TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs MIBR - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MOUZof MOUZ, MIBR
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$125,260
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$151,666

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,260 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x18bb…e5cdbacked MIBR6c16,192$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.0630726.4%81 W · 226 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked MOUZ72c15,040$10,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,168.5636453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked MIBR32c11,419$3,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,658.6441040%164 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1607…79bebacked MIBR1c4,200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28575.3%3 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-40.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed MOUZ70c4,190$2,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,262.7633359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed MIBR28c3,382$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.292,05741.5%853 W · 1,204 L-50.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked MOUZ68c2,917$1,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.1160953.4%325 W · 284 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked MIBR27c2,855$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.161,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d0c…1249backed MOUZ67c1,989$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.6218338.8%71 W · 112 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed MOUZ76c1,970$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.3123354.9%128 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed MIBR33c1,849$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.124,22049.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L+61.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked MIBR29c1,838$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.0440140.6%163 W · 238 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed MIBR32c1,566$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.1287047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed MIBR21c1,252$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.8451842.3%219 W · 299 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed MIBR33c1,200$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39645455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58d1…7ab6backed MIBR25c1,188$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004546.7%21 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked MOUZ69c1,135$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.9710635.8%38 W · 68 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed MOUZ68c1,029$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.4115155%83 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f8d…24dfbacked MIBR16c1,015$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.692152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked MIBR30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30039548.6%192 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf91c…baa7backed MIBR3c1,000$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3217345.7%79 W · 94 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked MIBR31c1,000$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30555843.5%243 W · 315 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed MIBR26c961.85$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505,81037.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L+78.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked MIBR18c909$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.854,66143.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb57d…07bfbacked MOUZ79c878.55$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.9614037.9%53 W · 87 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed MIBR26c870$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.7880542.2%340 W · 465 L-16.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed MOUZ72c845.07$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.6245854.8%251 W · 207 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed MOUZ74c772$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.7222365%145 W · 78 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked MOUZ70c755.37$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.8464852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77ac…1bf6backed MOUZ68c735.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.2927961.3%171 W · 108 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde19…3a14backed MOUZ78c733.21$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.7812552.8%66 W · 59 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked MIBR11c672.18$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.561,15448.3%557 W · 597 L+4.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a9d…5521backed MOUZ77c646.6$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.63470.6%24 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3a5…534cbacked MOUZ67c611.94$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.9414639%57 W · 89 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd528…a2d2backed MOUZ67c600$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19818056.7%102 W · 78 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed MIBR33c599.99$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1986851.5%35 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7cb…4088backed MOUZ77c586.37$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.435347.2%25 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed MIBR4c579.98$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.456822.5%128 W · 440 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-5.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x255f…cd91backed MOUZ70c567.75$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.338947.2%42 W · 47 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed MIBR9c565$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.135,26231.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L-381.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6c3…55a3backed MIBR19c563.99$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.162218.2%4 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-63%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed MIBR19c504.18$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.296,46642.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L-78.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40db…ca8cbacked MOUZ76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1209863.3%62 W · 36 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed MIBR29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14528738%109 W · 178 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked MIBR33c499.99$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16576748%368 W · 399 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked MOUZ70c428.57$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.5781751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed MIBR24c423$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.281,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed MOUZ74c400$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10460853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdd4…9bcdbacked MOUZ80c389.04$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.8915069.3%104 W · 46 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa176…89a0backed MOUZ73c379.03$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.543148.4%15 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked MIBR16c354.66$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.984,89737.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L-245.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ80c343.82$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.964,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked MIBR22c313.25$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.722,59947.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L-30.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed MIBR33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037232.5%121 W · 251 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed MIBR31c297$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.4798248.3%474 W · 508 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed MIBR25c264$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6644343.3%192 W · 251 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0935…d9efbacked MOUZ71c220$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.87471.6%53 W · 21 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed MOUZ69c215.92$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.9240558.8%238 W · 167 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6281…e326backed MIBR33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669940.4%40 W · 59 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed MIBR28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5649935.1%175 W · 324 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked MOUZ70c197.83$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.3537759.7%225 W · 152 L+1.9wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed MIBR13c196.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.534036.5%124 W · 216 L-1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3237…571ebacked MIBR33c170.48$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.265431.5%17 W · 37 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick24cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6385…2afabacked MIBR12c166.81$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.241516.6%69 W · 346 L-36.5wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-41.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x846c…0366backed MOUZ72c152.78$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7818963.5%120 W · 69 L+0.7wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed MIBR22c107.41$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6359049.7%293 W · 297 L-31.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd63…a39abacked MIBR13c104.42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.612525.6%32 W · 93 L-12.8wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-38%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked MIBR27c99.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2726246.9%123 W · 139 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c82…9728backed MIBR31c99.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3121848.6%106 W · 112 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aae…0da3backed MOUZ68c99.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3214255.6%79 W · 63 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed MIBR31c93$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8367350.1%337 W · 336 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed MIBR21c92.12$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.022,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd89d…d6b7backed MIBR22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203141.9%13 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-34%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed MOUZ71c86.92$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3866072.4%478 W · 182 L+117.6wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xcce1…49c7backed MOUZ68c85.29$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2935147.9%168 W · 183 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cd8…7b1dbacked MIBR33c81.82$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275927.1%16 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+59.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45a7…bc63backed MIBR35c71.66$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258847.7%42 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x978f…e14dbacked MIBR28c68.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5610136.6%37 W · 64 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-0.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4c2…a16ebacked MOUZ75c66.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4948566.2%321 W · 164 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6347…3047backed MIBR32c59.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.218145.9%83 W · 98 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed MIBR30c59.07$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7224544.5%109 W · 136 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed MIBR18c56.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.132,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed MIBR27c55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8533949%166 W · 173 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64f0…de5bbacked MOUZ77c54.55$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.552948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb78a…61c4backed MOUZ73c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.56061.7%37 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c36…e462backed MOUZ73c47.95$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9523656.4%133 W · 103 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked MIBR24c45.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.263,41529.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L-275.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6936…8f48backed MOUZ68c43.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.963161.3%19 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9318…22b8backed MOUZ71c41.68$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0916451.2%84 W · 80 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc45a…1565backed MOUZ72c35.56$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.964156.1%23 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bee…e55cbacked MOUZ79c35.44$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4420457.8%118 W · 86 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed MOUZ75c33.11$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2833553.4%179 W · 156 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90a7…5ac0backed MOUZ79c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.322546.7%105 W · 120 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc2…8b9bbacked MOUZ69c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.315854.4%86 W · 72 L-9.3wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0010…9ee3backed MOUZ67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.858668.6%59 W · 27 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed MOUZ67c29.1$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.638456.3%216 W · 168 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked MOUZ68c29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.282,77037.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L-139.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b81…88e7backed MOUZ69c28.84$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.895556.4%31 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+43.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ab6…4880backed MOUZ71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1759354.8%325 W · 268 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked MOUZ74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0327947.3%132 W · 147 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.