TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd89d…d6b7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
260
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst CS2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT10462.5%65 W · 39 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 104 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.17
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.74
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.17
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$36.02
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.27
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.48
LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.95
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.94
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$110.87
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$44.72
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$88.41
LoL: Shifters vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+74%+$55.27
LoL: EDward Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$25.21
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.84
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$257.54
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$200.57
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+44%+$21.19
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
LoL: Team Solid vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked Vivo Keyd Stars Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.15
LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.23
LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$138
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$59.52
First Blood in Game 1?backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$41.28
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
Showing 25 of 104 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT5339.6%21 W · 32 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-29.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.55
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$85.82
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$48.49
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.45
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.36
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.03
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.05
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.19
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.96
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$32.59
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$24.14
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.09
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$45.47
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.64
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.11
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.82
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$41.36
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifierbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.67
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.29
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT3141.9%13 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-34%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Omega vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Omega · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Sinners (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Playoffsbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+63.8%+$112.86
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.2
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$134
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs BakS eSports (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffsbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$26.22
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.53
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.2
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.71
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.26
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.85
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks - Map 1 Winnerbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.76
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$83
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.28
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.1
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.2
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.79
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.55
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs MIBR - Map 1 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$42.83
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$83.31
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT2653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$23.85
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.11
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.85
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$50.37
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.9
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H Moneylinebacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+47.7%+$19.57
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.63
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$18.6
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+129.8%+$37.11
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.8
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$30.4
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.26
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$24.62
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$49.15
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.76
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+148.3%+$126.45
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+162.7%+$214.87
Bulls vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.47
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-52.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Athletics (-4.5)backed Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+73.6%+$36.21
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$37.04
Orioles vs. Red Soxbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$52.26
All 3 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$70.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+63.9%+$23.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+58.7%+$29.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$35.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona State vs. Mississippi Statebacked Mississippi State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+25%+$51.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$34.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Aug 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 achieve a successful splashdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$299.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Mito Holly Hock vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.38
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.