Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs MIBR - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb2b2a8f67e4a62fd0a4fc072c3f254789fdda440f2f544fe427a59e88413dba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MIBRof Evil Geniuses, MIBR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,001
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,001 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed MIBR | 69c | 9,523$6,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,921.16 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Evil Geniuses | 30c | 6,091$1,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,827.18 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b1…2687backed Evil Geniuses | 31c | 5,086$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MIBR | 74c | 1,848$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.82 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0c…6ca7backed Evil Geniuses | 31c | 1,557$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked MIBR | 69c | 1,501$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.31 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MIBR | 73c | 1,400$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.16 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed MIBR | 69c | 1,170$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.16 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac4…1a34backed Evil Geniuses | 34c | 958.78$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb46…ed08backed Evil Geniuses | 3c | 899.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x616b…f926backed Evil Geniuses | 34c | 881.73$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf490…63afbacked Evil Geniuses | 8c | 870.02$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.3 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Evil Geniuses | 26c | 856.28$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Evil Geniuses | 14c | 819.98$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.2 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…b792backed MIBR | 67c | 788.24$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.79 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Evil Geniuses | 31c | 630$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.3 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ba…06b3backed Evil Geniuses | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x560c…9cffbacked Evil Geniuses | 36c | 530$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.71 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Evil Geniuses | 33c | 516.34$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.79 | 214 | 57%122 W · 92 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Evil Geniuses | 8c | 496.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Evil Geniuses | 32c | 443.1$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Evil Geniuses | 10c | 373.11$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…9f80backed MIBR | 69c | 369.01$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.66 | 184 | 60.9%112 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed MIBR | 71c | 351.5$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.88 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Evil Geniuses | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0181…9b5fbacked Evil Geniuses | 19c | 300$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 278 | 50%139 W · 139 L | +21.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Evil Geniuses | 5c | 287.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 396 | 46%182 W · 214 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked MIBR | 79c | 285.5$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.96 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Evil Geniuses | 36c | 278.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Evil Geniuses | 32c | 265.63$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 253 | 36.4%92 W · 161 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Evil Geniuses | 35c | 259.5$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.55 | 351 | 42.5%149 W · 202 L | -14.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Evil Geniuses | 15c | 243.68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.61 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…5b67backed MIBR | 64c | 236.47$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.13 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +520.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed MIBR | 69c | 230.96$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.6 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed MIBR | 69c | 229.7$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.19 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed Evil Geniuses | 33c | 222.71$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.49 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…9339backed Evil Geniuses | 33c | 222$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.16 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed MIBR | 69c | 221$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.54 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked MIBR | 73c | 190$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Evil Geniuses | 9c | 189$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…bdebbacked Evil Geniuses | 13c | 184.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -7.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed MIBR | 71c | 174.99$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…2988backed Evil Geniuses | 31c | 172.51$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.48 | 255 | 54.9%140 W · 115 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Evil Geniuses | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x928d…ca45backed Evil Geniuses | 14c | 147.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Evil Geniuses | 34c | 141$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Evil Geniuses | 9c | 120.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Evil Geniuses | 9c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 225 | 39.1%88 W · 137 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd89d…d6b7backed MIBR | 69c | 113.04$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f18…1ae2backed Evil Geniuses | 31c | 105.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eba…0f3abacked Evil Geniuses | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Evil Geniuses | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 168 | 39.3%66 W · 102 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…b387backed Evil Geniuses | 33c | 97.61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d66…aa07backed Evil Geniuses | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed MIBR | 76c | 85$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Evil Geniuses | 16c | 80.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Evil Geniuses | 27c | 80.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…c9f4backed MIBR | 69c | 75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed MIBR | 66c | 74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Evil Geniuses | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked MIBR | 76c | 69.65$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Evil Geniuses | 17c | 67.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e1…ba1fbacked Evil Geniuses | 29c | 61.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Evil Geniuses | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 281 | 43.4%122 W · 159 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked MIBR | 69c | 51.54$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…617bbacked Evil Geniuses | 26c | 49.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Evil Geniuses | 22c | 48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed MIBR | 75c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Evil Geniuses | 27c | 41.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 264 | 47.3%125 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x366e…cb0cbacked MIBR | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfa…5e79backed Evil Geniuses | 31c | 35.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Evil Geniuses | 35c | 31.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Evil Geniuses | 35c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9de6…f38abacked MIBR | 78c | 26.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc99…e38bbacked MIBR | 69c | 23.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked MIBR | 73c | 17.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 321 | 57.6%185 W · 136 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked MIBR | 65c | 15.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed MIBR | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 169 | 63.3%107 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab1…638bbacked MIBR | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs MIBR - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)MIBR won
- Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group AlphaMIBR won
- Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs MIBR - Map 1 WinnerMIBR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.