Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe836fd1165e29747f7291c3a7b67da75a971548776a8bc671d3c43e3daaea5c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MIBRof MIBR, Evil Geniuses
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,076
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,213
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,076 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed MIBR | 53c | 36,666$19,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,075.13 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…2988backed Evil Geniuses | 47c | 21,522$10,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,115.38 | 255 | 54.9%140 W · 115 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Evil Geniuses | 46c | 19,620$9,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,025.42 | 289 | 55.7%161 W · 128 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked MIBR | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.04 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0993…525fbacked Evil Geniuses | 47c | 2,337$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.45 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +6.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed MIBR | 52c | 1,750$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.95 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Evil Geniuses | 47c | 1,746$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.44 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e9…67ffbacked MIBR | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.98 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed MIBR | 53c | 1,329$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.75 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked Evil Geniuses | 50c | 1,091$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Evil Geniuses | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…1222backed MIBR | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +7.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc581…0f24backed MIBR | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…fa0ebacked MIBR | 53c | 999.97$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.99 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Evil Geniuses | 48c | 973.36$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.6 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked MIBR | 51c | 699.99$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Evil Geniuses | 47c | 690.57$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.57 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Evil Geniuses | 49c | 679.12$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.08 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Evil Geniuses | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Evil Geniuses | 51c | 619.49$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.82 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed MIBR | 53c | 591.43$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.19 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Evil Geniuses | 47c | 509.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.7 | 214 | 57%122 W · 92 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Evil Geniuses | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed MIBR | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.99 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed MIBR | 51c | 497.38$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.47 | 271 | 45%122 W · 149 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed MIBR | 52c | 484$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.32 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09a6…73c7backed MIBR | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253e…84e4backed MIBR | 53c | 460$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.2 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1e…64d0backed MIBR | 54c | 455.56$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.56 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -43%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Evil Geniuses | 47c | 436.13$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.98 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Evil Geniuses | 50c | 408.8$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.4 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…6d74backed MIBR | 53c | 380$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.6 | 255 | 55.7%142 W · 113 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…c16cbacked MIBR | 54c | 379.63$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed MIBR | 54c | 374.07$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.07 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebdc…778abacked MIBR | 54c | 371$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.66 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…e6a7backed MIBR | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Evil Geniuses | 50c | 366.96$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.48 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked MIBR | 53c | 360$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.2 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…e38bbacked MIBR | 53c | 322$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.34 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…1fadbacked Evil Geniuses | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed MIBR | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb68…9dc5backed MIBR | 54c | 296.39$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.39 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed MIBR | 54c | 287.04$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.04 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…7cc5backed MIBR | 53c | 277.36$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.36 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MIBR | 5c | 276.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.25 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Evil Geniuses | 48c | 262.21$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.56 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42cd…2359backed MIBR | 54c | 231.48$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.48 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x009c…049bbacked MIBR | 54c | 231.48$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.48 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed MIBR | 53c | 217$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Evil Geniuses | 78c | 209.1$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.56 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Evil Geniuses | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8feb…63fcbacked MIBR | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57e6…9622backed Evil Geniuses | 48c | 192$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.82 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…91febacked MIBR | 54c | 182.7$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.04 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Evil Geniuses | 47c | 162.15$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.71 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Evil Geniuses | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Evil Geniuses | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…5b67backed MIBR | 15c | 143.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.26 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +520.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Evil Geniuses | 75c | 131.97$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.98 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed Evil Geniuses | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…e7d8backed MIBR | 53c | 115$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.05 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…4332backed MIBR | 53c | 113.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed MIBR | 42c | 109.84$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.39 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Evil Geniuses | 72c | 107.32$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.07 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Evil Geniuses | 47c | 106$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed MIBR | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8037…04fabacked MIBR | 53c | 92.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Evil Geniuses | 37c | 84.46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Evil Geniuses | 48c | 83.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Evil Geniuses | 47c | 79.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…9a00backed MIBR | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cef…dbcbbacked MIBR | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 203 | 47.3%96 W · 107 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed MIBR | 53c | 73.58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 186 | 47.8%89 W · 97 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed MIBR | 51c | 71.42$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked MIBR | 54c | 69.23$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.07 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1273…8eddbacked Evil Geniuses | 49c | 66.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2175…4b33backed Evil Geniuses | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed MIBR | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf4…e669backed MIBR | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…581bbacked MIBR | 53c | 52.83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Evil Geniuses | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked MIBR | 24c | 47.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.73 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca6…9da8backed Evil Geniuses | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +7.4wins | +0.27per pick | 47cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed MIBR | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3b…05aabacked Evil Geniuses | 48c | 40.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…d968backed Evil Geniuses | 47c | 39.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed Evil Geniuses | 50c | 39.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Evil Geniuses | 54c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed MIBR | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e78…fb29backed MIBR | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d6…7192backed MIBR | 53c | 36.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce34…cceebacked MIBR | 53c | 35.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Evil Geniuses | 76c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0789…f7adbacked Evil Geniuses | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b66…582fbacked Evil Geniuses | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc951…6791backed Evil Geniuses | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…673ebacked Evil Geniuses | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a2…362bbacked Evil Geniuses | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eac…de53backed Evil Geniuses | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7488…9cfbbacked Evil Geniuses | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5Under won
- Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group AlphaMIBR won
- Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs MIBR - Map 1 WinnerMIBR won
- Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs MIBR - Map 2 WinnerMIBR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.