TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Spiritof Team Spirit, Team Liquid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,841,060
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,930,878

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,841,060 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 706 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd30…f316backed Team Spirit59c313,962$185,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128,412.1912159.5%72 W · 49 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Team Liquid37c99,546$37,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,324.871143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed Team Spirit54c88,750$48,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,750.411,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Liquid35c70,823$24,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,638.7245139.2%177 W · 274 L+0.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Team Spirit70c45,330$31,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,509.092552%13 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x88c3…bea3backed Team Liquid45c45,000$20,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,2505459.3%32 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2929…1dd0backed Team Liquid32c37,687$12,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,055.2516553.3%88 W · 77 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked Team Spirit56c36,438$20,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,896.3224246.7%113 W · 129 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Team Spirit53c34,122$18,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,898.4732549.8%162 W · 163 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid47c32,384$15,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,212.631,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f05…b18ebacked Team Liquid45c31,741$14,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,283.643435.3%12 W · 22 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-33.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe3cb…ac21backed Team Liquid46c29,468$13,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,643.22347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Team Liquid44c28,804$12,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,699.2817948.6%87 W · 92 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6df4…0b7abacked Team Liquid37c24,160$8,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,884.076851.5%35 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked Team Liquid39c22,805$8,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,899.9631936.7%117 W · 202 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Team Liquid48c20,917$9,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,937.92922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-38.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8495…550ebacked Team Liquid33c20,618$6,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,756.589052.2%47 W · 43 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a21…9853backed Team Liquid46c20,311$9,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,4004050%20 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe548…a9febacked Team Liquid47c20,000$9,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,499.987236.1%26 W · 46 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x898b…6c00backed Team Liquid45c18,338$8,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,250.344850%24 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Liquid21c17,581$3,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,609.531,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed Team Liquid24c17,198$4,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,129.3751049%250 W · 260 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb35…b62abacked Team Liquid35c17,043$5,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,90039343.3%170 W · 223 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa103…1c14backed Team Spirit57c17,000$9,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,309.997548%36 W · 39 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd38a…8d26backed Team Spirit58c16,887$9,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,092.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Team Spirit53c15,017$8,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,007.9527153.5%145 W · 126 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x068c…bce7backed Team Liquid45c15,000$6,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,683.456241.9%26 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed Team Liquid23c14,982$3,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,371.2348954.6%267 W · 222 L+23.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Team Liquid45c14,934$6,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,794.9469644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe760…f2f9backed Team Liquid31c13,042$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0006251.6%32 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Team Liquid17c12,694$2,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,168.9989741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Spirit55c12,300$6,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,543.9880256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Team Spirit75c12,000$8,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,018.2446664.2%299 W · 167 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4e7…6a52backed Team Liquid29c12,000$3,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,477.386256.5%35 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Team Liquid38c11,965$4,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,501.1318844.7%84 W · 104 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8c2…f0e5backed Team Liquid33c11,706$3,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,909.194339.5%17 W · 26 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-30%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9352…2227backed Team Spirit72c11,536$8,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,190.1540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-37.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Team Liquid45c11,000$4,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,949.998242.7%35 W · 47 L-8.2wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-22.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x23cb…80d0backed Team Liquid35c10,764$3,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,811.4622853.1%121 W · 107 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Team Liquid12c10,661$1,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,273.3671342.5%303 W · 410 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19fb…bd68backed Team Spirit73c10,053$7,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,688.282181%17 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick67cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2391…554fbacked Team Liquid43c9,302$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00012141.3%50 W · 71 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Team Liquid36c9,096$3,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,264.7535850.6%181 W · 177 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x282f…7c4ebacked Team Liquid45c8,891$3,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,973.911540%6 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Team Spirit58c8,140$4,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,418.8432548.9%159 W · 166 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked Team Liquid1c8,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8037811.1%42 W · 336 L+0.8wins0.00per pick11cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8002…8b6cbacked Team Spirit54c8,000$4,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6803250%16 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb14…49b2backed Team Liquid32c7,856$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,519.516043.3%26 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72c8…a74cbacked Team Liquid25c7,752$1,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,964.6324942.6%106 W · 143 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Team Liquid25c7,305$1,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,845.235758%207 W · 150 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f2d…5b40backed Team Spirit58c7,251$4,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,045.36250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d85…c436backed Team Spirit73c7,245$5,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,977.6150832.9%167 W · 341 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c03…8e6ebacked Team Liquid14c7,217$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.472050%10 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x559b…4959backed Team Spirit70c6,999$4,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,109.848143.2%35 W · 46 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Team Liquid46c6,929$3,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,175.926553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc156…f76cbacked Team Liquid24c6,493$1,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,567.0916547.9%79 W · 86 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e01…b0b5backed Team Liquid23c6,487$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50020642.7%88 W · 118 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x948a…d1a4backed Team Liquid39c6,408$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50024255%133 W · 109 L+14.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1943…1561backed Team Spirit79c6,327$5,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,310.9945352.1%236 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Team Liquid47c6,229$2,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,927.5153451.7%276 W · 258 L+2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Team Spirit64c6,213$3,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,228.4912259.8%73 W · 49 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Team Liquid38c6,050$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,280.2510540%42 W · 63 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe694…0a08backed Team Spirit55c5,800$3,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,603.4418152.5%95 W · 86 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x266e…90f3backed Team Spirit78c5,769$4,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,296.199968.7%68 W · 31 L+12.4wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+9.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7547…1a38backed Team Liquid33c5,698$1,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,897.933336.4%12 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-28.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7e2…826cbacked Team Liquid37c5,423$1,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,995.652733.3%9 W · 18 L-4.8wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-39.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x66a1…6243backed Team Spirit79c5,328$4,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.056478.1%50 W · 14 L+11.1wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+24.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Team Liquid39c5,222$2,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,014.0377941.1%320 W · 459 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08b8…e7dabacked Team Spirit54c5,163$2,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,374.9631055.2%171 W · 139 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked Team Spirit57c5,000$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,149.9941944.2%185 W · 234 L-1.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3bc…5bd2backed Team Spirit54c4,800$2,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,207.8713943.9%61 W · 78 L-11.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8e41…5932backed Team Spirit80c4,778$3,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.21136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-38.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Team Spirit54c4,770$2,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,209.7761456%344 W · 270 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47e8…efdcbacked Team Liquid34c4,742$1,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,603.619456.2%109 W · 85 L+13.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbbd9…de31backed Team Spirit64c4,705$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,704.6114258.5%83 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed Team Liquid16c4,545$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.8220030.5%61 W · 139 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-44.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe046…a6e9backed Team Liquid16c4,500$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71560%0 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b13…0263backed Team Liquid21c4,464$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.835164.7%33 W · 18 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3814…17bcbacked Team Spirit56c4,427$2,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,947.58944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedfc…b7b1backed Team Liquid35c4,390$1,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5558348.2%40 W · 43 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Team Liquid39c4,382$1,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,696.7393546.4%434 W · 501 L-15.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84fb…675ebacked Team Liquid28c4,357$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,219.865834.5%20 W · 38 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked Team Liquid20c4,305$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.022828.6%8 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-48.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a93…8e36backed Team Spirit71c4,232$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,232.044562.2%28 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2931…7b81backed Team Liquid30c4,224$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,250.1418660.8%113 W · 73 L+12.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Liquid14c4,092$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.8841242.2%174 W · 238 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63bc…4179backed Team Liquid21c4,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8408834.1%30 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x994d…a298backed Team Liquid33c4,000$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3304355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe98b…5905backed Team Spirit54c4,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,839.993759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Team Liquid41c4,000$1,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,629.9888539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6909…3539backed Team Spirit80c3,935$3,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.08580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ee8…dbb1backed Team Spirit70c3,928$2,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196.652560%15 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51d5…79ddbacked Team Liquid12c3,784$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.97402.5%1 W · 39 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick13cpaid-79.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Liquid41c3,618$1,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,482.661,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed Team Liquid46c3,614$1,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,671.1830336.6%111 W · 192 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3a4…6c3ebacked Team Spirit63c3,606$2,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,338.425137.3%19 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x203b…46e1backed Team Spirit56c3,555$1,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.22669.2%18 W · 8 L+6.0wins+0.23per pick46cpaid+60.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Liquid42c3,547$1,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,48666947.1%315 W · 354 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a56…10f5backed Team Spirit53c3,455$1,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,623.918950.8%96 W · 93 L+10.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+7.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7cd4…0c98backed Team Spirit56c3,393$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,492.864470.5%31 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.