Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda4a88c5383aae7ce084273d50dc74dc1ff3bca88270a245a99477e06ff447a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Team Spirit, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,490,852
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,612,267
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,490,852 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 597 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Team Liquid | 47c | 164,235$77,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77,641.5 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Spirit | 55c | 90,188$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,187.58 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Liquid | 47c | 69,898$32,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,814.28 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Team Liquid | 42c | 50,000$21,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,999.93 | 471 | 46.1%217 W · 254 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Team Spirit | 54c | 48,570$26,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,320.76 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c3…bea3backed Team Spirit | 55c | 41,021$22,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,527.6 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Team Spirit | 58c | 28,087$16,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,757.23 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Liquid | 1c | 24,195$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.09 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedfc…b7b1backed Team Liquid | 19c | 22,586$4,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,373.28 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Team Liquid | 22c | 21,907$4,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,729.48 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a21…9853backed Team Spirit | 56c | 21,384$11,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,468.2 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Spirit | 57c | 18,669$10,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,027.87 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Team Spirit | 55c | 18,000$9,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,037.02 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Team Spirit | 70c | 17,234$12,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,126.38 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…92c5backed Team Liquid | 46c | 16,766$7,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,683.28 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Spirit | 44c | 16,517$7,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,249.34 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Team Liquid | 36c | 14,481$5,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,254.1 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f05…b18ebacked Team Liquid | 41c | 14,017$5,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,747.04 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Team Liquid | 44c | 13,617$5,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,997.98 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…1c14backed Team Liquid | 48c | 13,000$6,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,240 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7045…81b5backed Team Spirit | 70c | 12,473$8,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,708.29 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +9.1wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Team Liquid | 1c | 12,202$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.9 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Liquid | 27c | 11,800$3,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,226.53 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Liquid | 45c | 11,791$5,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,305.98 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Team Liquid | 41c | 11,459$4,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,695.15 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce7d…898ebacked Team Spirit | 70c | 11,307$7,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,391.98 | 55 | 72.7%40 W · 15 L | +8.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed Team Spirit | 79c | 10,459$8,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,244.29 | 185 | 60.5%112 W · 73 L | +12.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc83…08f4backed Team Spirit | 55c | 10,331$5,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,693.1 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Team Liquid | 1c | 10,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 162 | 32.7%53 W · 109 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Spirit | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.98 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Liquid | 32c | 9,998$3,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,192.28 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Spirit | 53c | 9,954$5,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,639.47 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0587…c40bbacked Team Spirit | 54c | 9,765$5,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,531.41 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Liquid | 43c | 9,758$4,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,196 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a9febacked Team Liquid | 43c | 9,732$4,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,184.66 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…6c00backed Team Liquid | 42c | 8,700$3,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,654 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Team Liquid | 1c | 8,672$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.49 | 324 | 3.1%10 W · 314 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Spirit | 47c | 8,153$3,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300.64 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53b2…9f96backed Team Spirit | 74c | 7,930$5,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,032.25 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Liquid | 48c | 7,385$3,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,556.03 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb14…49b2backed Team Liquid | 33c | 7,187$2,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,367.18 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Liquid | 48c | 7,143$3,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,454.41 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e7…6a52backed Team Liquid | 30c | 7,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…bb64backed Team Liquid | 4c | 6,967$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.04 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…9adabacked Team Liquid | 44c | 6,521$2,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,864.82 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…c5ebbacked Team Spirit | 53c | 6,519$3,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,039.2 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Team Spirit | 62c | 6,500$4,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,452.68 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Team Spirit | 55c | 6,489$3,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,944.85 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fb…675ebacked Team Liquid | 3c | 6,480$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.4 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed Team Liquid | 2c | 6,348$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.06 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e2…826cbacked Team Spirit | 76c | 6,332$4,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.99 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6df4…0b7abacked Team Spirit | 71c | 6,158$4,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.79 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Team Liquid | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +19.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Team Spirit | 48c | 5,968$2,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,082.68 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Liquid | 33c | 5,880$1,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942.54 | 410 | 42.4%174 W · 236 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…5e0dbacked Team Spirit | 71c | 5,432$3,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.12 | 65 | 81.5%53 W · 12 L | +10.2wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Team Liquid | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.99 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Liquid | 39c | 4,862$1,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,914.77 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Team Liquid | 5c | 4,843$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.79 | 504 | 49.2%248 W · 256 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc5…c07dbacked Team Spirit | 48c | 4,759$2,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,482.12 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Liquid | 43c | 4,551$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941.75 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Team Liquid | 44c | 4,550$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1944…8088backed Team Spirit | 51c | 4,291$2,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,108.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Team Liquid | 5c | 4,240$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.69 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Liquid | 44c | 3,867$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.48 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked Team Spirit | 63c | 3,785$2,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.9 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…de31backed Team Spirit | 54c | 3,708$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,708.44 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd99b…50bebacked Team Spirit | 50c | 3,700$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe760…f2f9backed Team Liquid | 40c | 3,690$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.62 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Team Spirit | 71c | 3,689$2,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.67 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95d2…1a3ebacked Team Liquid | 6c | 3,676$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.93 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Team Liquid | 4c | 3,497$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Team Liquid | 5c | 3,347$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.36 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Team Liquid | 2c | 3,306$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.01 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Team Spirit | 60c | 3,287$1,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.37 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Team Liquid | 20c | 3,173$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.43 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed Team Spirit | 55c | 3,164$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.02 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cc…c8ddbacked Team Liquid | 1c | 3,050$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 117 | 7.7%9 W · 108 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team Liquid | 25c | 3,016$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.31 | 612 | 56%343 W · 269 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Team Spirit | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.18 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd9…5d16backed Team Liquid | 39c | 2,870$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.69 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Team Liquid | 40c | 2,821$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.8 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Team Liquid | 26c | 2,771$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.98 | 565 | 45%254 W · 311 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Team Liquid | 52c | 2,745$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.5 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85e9…2eeabacked Team Spirit | 73c | 2,673$1,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.78 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…73a5backed Team Spirit | 61c | 2,655$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.07 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…5bd2backed Team Spirit | 58c | 2,650$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.12 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Team Spirit | 61c | 2,647$1,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.16 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb132…6b5ebacked Team Liquid | 46c | 2,643$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.68 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Team Liquid | 43c | 2,612$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.18 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Liquid | 44c | 2,604$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Team Spirit | 53c | 2,542$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.31 | 308 | 54.9%169 W · 139 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Team Liquid | 49c | 2,533$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.21 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Spirit | 62c | 2,514$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.56 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Liquid | 48c | 2,386$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.21 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fe…211ebacked Team Liquid | 13c | 2,371$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd4…0c98backed Team Spirit | 64c | 2,344$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.24 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51d5…79ddbacked Team Liquid | 10c | 2,213$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.66 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 13cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59cb…57d1backed Team Spirit | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b8…0b16backed Team Spirit | 48c | 2,063$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.27 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International PlayoffsTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)Team Spirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.