TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Celtics (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof Celtics, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$349,936
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$388,699

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $349,936 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1333…e463backed Celtics49c97,803$47,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,923.384438.6%17 W · 27 L-6.2wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-30.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked 76ers51c84,588$43,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,448.3120758%120 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Celtics49c50,325$24,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,659.0437627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47a8…52f9backed Celtics49c42,579$20,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,858.143036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed 76ers54c27,847$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,847.0842348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed 76ers51c20,500$10,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,04559347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 76ers51c15,692$7,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,706.594,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Celtics49c12,353$6,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,052.4864948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics49c11,415$5,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,561.886,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked 76ers51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,90038251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed 76ers51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,899.9566250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Celtics46c9,102$4,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,182.821,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked 76ers51c8,300$4,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,06712056.7%68 W · 52 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed 76ers51c7,462$3,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,656.4872648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked 76ers51c7,100$3,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,47917055.3%94 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed 76ers51c4,980$2,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,440.212,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed 76ers51c4,901$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,401.491,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed 76ers54c4,679$2,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,152.4511864.4%76 W · 42 L+15.6wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed 76ers51c4,360$2,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,126.4982442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Celtics49c4,082$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00018349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed 76ers51c3,359$1,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,634.3247542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed 76ers51c3,038$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,488.8465045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed 76ers51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,470.024,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed 76ers51c2,824$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,383.7932653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Celtics49c2,500$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22556843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Celtics49c2,495$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,222.314,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed 76ers51c2,446$1,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,198.5437355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed 76ers51c2,169$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.7969848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2942…59abbacked Celtics49c2,050$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99518044.4%80 W · 100 L+15.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked 76ers51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9802,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Celtics48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9602548%12 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked Celtics48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.9920057%114 W · 86 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x73f3…0d2cbacked Celtics49c1,837$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9007054.3%38 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked 76ers51c1,760$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.462051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed 76ers57c1,703$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.425050%25 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed 76ers51c1,700$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.181,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked 76ers51c1,700$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.8516743.7%73 W · 94 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacb6…e3bbbacked 76ers52c1,400$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6726266.1%41 W · 21 L+9.0wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+28.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xddad…bce1backed 76ers53c1,331$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.2721657.9%125 W · 91 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Celtics49c1,270$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.32,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Celtics27c1,231$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.978,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89ec…ed41backed Celtics48c1,110$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.02825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-47.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Celtics49c1,047$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51315246.7%71 W · 81 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed 76ers51c1,039$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.3145146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x695d…60d5backed 76ers53c1,019$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.874264.3%27 W · 15 L+5.8wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+27%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfb27…b180backed 76ers52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48011153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed 76ers52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48020744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Celtics48c999.99$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked 76ers51c999.97$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.9928056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee82…f011backed Celtics19c999$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a88…3dadbacked 76ers51c970$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.32454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed 76ers52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.5469049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed 76ers51c943.79$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.461,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x476d…0c42backed 76ers51c933.39$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.368848.9%43 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked 76ers51c902.5$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.2266352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0767…36b0backed 76ers52c832.99$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.848154.3%44 W · 37 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Celtics49c820$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.818643.5%81 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e84…768ebacked Celtics49c791.84$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38813644.9%61 W · 75 L-7.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked 76ers51c700$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34316743.7%73 W · 94 L-16.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed Celtics49c700$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34325550.2%128 W · 127 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed 76ers49c600$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30638242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Celtics7c595.48$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6811639.7%46 W · 70 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…b805backed 76ers51c590$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.19958.6%58 W · 41 L+9.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2445…ff62backed 76ers51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.24650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+31.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Celtics49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24514355.9%80 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bfe…9408backed Celtics49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2455637.5%21 W · 35 L-6.8wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-22.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed 76ers51c486.27$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.2768542.6%292 W · 393 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Celtics49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20036248.1%174 W · 188 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed 76ers51c397.13$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.5978652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed 76ers51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1622844.7%102 W · 126 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39d…a5e9backed 76ers52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.628453.6%45 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x13e1…7e55backed 76ers53c380$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+26.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f61…f488backed Celtics49c306.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509642.7%41 W · 55 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked 76ers50c301$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15121653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed 76ers51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14744740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Celtics51c282.55$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.11,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Celtics50c280$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14029046.9%136 W · 154 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc313…e128backed 76ers53c267.92$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.929235.9%33 W · 59 L+0.4wins0.00per pick35cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Celtics48c248.77$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.4150346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x332e…df71backed 76ers52c230.77$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.775048%24 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Celtics48c210$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.835849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Celtics48c210$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.852951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed Celtics48c207.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8451451.9%267 W · 247 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Celtics49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036450.8%185 W · 179 L-1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d95…2342backed Celtics49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007250%36 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd323…c53fbacked Celtics49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x521e…8aa2backed Celtics49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005263.5%33 W · 19 L+6.7wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+24.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked 76ers51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.085549.1%27 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46df…b057backed 76ers52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3121164.5%136 W · 75 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4a3b…2eb3backed 76ers52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.312860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+82.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed 76ers52c192.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.2112857.8%74 W · 54 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d36…f4cbbacked 76ers52c191.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.869346.2%43 W · 50 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8769…04aebacked 76ers59c185.33$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.88785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick69cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Celtics48c180.45$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8710552.4%55 W · 50 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Celtics49c155$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3189850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad7f…d0d4backed 76ers79c150.13$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.533154.8%17 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Celtics48c150$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9157550.3%289 W · 286 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed 76ers52c150$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7229556.6%167 W · 128 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked 76ers52c150$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.7566143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Celtics46c149.15$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.5165630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.