TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Celtics (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof Celtics, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$921,726
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$927,291

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $921,726 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 293 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Celtics53c502,927$266,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266,396.8115545.8%71 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed 76ers47c217,948$102,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115,891.8872648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed 76ers47c210,153$98,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111,376.0638434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked 76ers47c155,000$72,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82,149.9916841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff93…1239backed 76ers47c28,590$13,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,152.61850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6734…2e18backed 76ers47c21,277$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,276.67459.5%44 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4852…67c4backed 76ers47c17,772$8,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,419.345655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed 76ers51c16,439$8,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,122.341,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked 76ers46c16,427$7,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,910.676,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed 76ers68c14,856$10,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,803.788,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Celtics54c11,111$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,999.945848.3%28 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2935…debdbacked 76ers47c10,321$4,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,470.13850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Celtics53c10,151$5,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,38020352.7%107 W · 96 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Celtics54c10,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,4003545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed 76ers46c8,696$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,695.6517249.4%85 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed 76ers46c8,027$3,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,334.4765045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked 76ers47c8,000$3,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,279.9779549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked 76ers48c6,599$3,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,431.6711452.6%60 W · 54 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0767…36b0backed Celtics52c4,919$2,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,557.798154.3%44 W · 37 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Celtics52c4,817$2,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,51717551.4%90 W · 85 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed 76ers48c4,327$2,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,250.211,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x416a…fd10backed 76ers47c4,142$1,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,195.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b1e…82c9backed 76ers49c4,082$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.636243.5%27 W · 35 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Celtics53c4,050$2,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,148.214,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed 76ers45c3,757$1,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,069.162,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Celtics54c3,704$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00021957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb92a…f51cbacked 76ers47c3,538$1,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,875.191172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+34%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed 76ers47c2,830$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.91540%6 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked 76ers46c2,805$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,514.7116743.7%73 W · 94 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Celtics54c2,500$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3502564%16 W · 9 L+4.3wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+71.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed 76ers47c2,493$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,316.611,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04c9…f518backed 76ers47c2,400$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2722100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8180…208bbacked Celtics54c2,281$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2329652.1%50 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed 76ers46c2,186$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,190.2169848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb9c…a907backed 76ers47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.66944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Celtics51c2,121$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081.521,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Celtics52c2,091$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.191,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19d0…e11cbacked 76ers48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.334949%24 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0af5…2470backed Celtics53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06040%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Celtics51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.112,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Celtics52c1,959$1,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,01815246.7%71 W · 81 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c61…fce1backed 76ers46c1,918$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+116.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked 76ers46c1,867$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.3766352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Celtics54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012451.6%64 W · 60 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb097…0e61backed 76ers47c1,698$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.4112240.2%49 W · 73 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x476d…0c42backed 76ers46c1,691$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.338848.9%43 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2944…cc4ebacked Celtics52c1,580$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed 76ers44c1,500$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8402,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Celtics54c1,481$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80040451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14fe…e0fdbacked 76ers48c1,458$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.333259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Celtics52c1,452$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.54,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35f9…e09dbacked Celtics52c1,361$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7124434.1%15 W · 29 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-28%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed 76ers46c1,279$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.8625641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x98da…a9ebbacked 76ers47c1,277$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.67041.4%29 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed 76ers45c1,252$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.091,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Celtics53c1,132$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6006647%31 W · 35 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed 76ers46c1,100$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59445146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed 76ers46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.9618349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked 76ers46c1,075$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.645442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed 76ers47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.835954.2%32 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed 76ers47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.8316050%80 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Celtics45c1,059$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.321,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed 76ers46c1,042$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.7152150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed 76ers47c1,040$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.231644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked 76ers46c1,013$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.2617250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed 76ers48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52047542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed 76ers47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5308348.2%40 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Celtics53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53011757.3%67 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x329c…2485backed 76ers47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5303441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Celtics53c999.99$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.9935049.4%173 W · 177 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Celtics53c970$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.156043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ee5…83d6backed Celtics53c952.28$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x106d…ccefbacked 76ers47c948.94$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.942119%4 W · 17 L-6.1wins-0.29per pick48cpaid-54.4%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Celtics54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013547.4%64 W · 71 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Celtics54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50036450.8%185 W · 179 L-1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed 76ers47c921.24$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.2630448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed 76ers47c900$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47725657%146 W · 110 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x81b0…858cbacked Celtics48c828.51$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Celtics53c800$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42410348.5%50 W · 53 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed 76ers75c777.56$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.7976850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Celtics53c754.22$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.6444740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3bef…485bbacked 76ers47c679.11$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.932236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x198c…6a94backed Celtics53c650.31$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.511946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Celtics54c650$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35132450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa663…eceabacked 76ers47c638.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.32142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed 76ers71c622.86$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.635770.2%40 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2635…c47dbacked Celtics54c620.37$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-36.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcc4…a439backed Celtics52c605$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.619547.2%92 W · 103 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked 76ers80c600$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.6845251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Celtics53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31827246.7%127 W · 145 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked 76ers74c566.57$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.111,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Celtics54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30028046.8%131 W · 149 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Celtics27c530$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.122846.1%105 W · 123 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7855…38a0backed 76ers50c501.09$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.09944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a0…c3b9backed Celtics53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26527547.6%131 W · 144 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe11c…24efbacked 76ers73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1355655.4%31 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6919…7b24backed Celtics52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26010045%45 W · 55 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Celtics23c465.79$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.781,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed 76ers47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.5350954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7d6…cab5backed 76ers47c400$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21216750.3%84 W · 83 L-12.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.