TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2935…debd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+150%+$612
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$867Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$866.8
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.88
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,280Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$473.46
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$905Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$904.74
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$820Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$334.95
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+67.3%+$1,425.6
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$172.12
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$645Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$448.22
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$518Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$1,101.6
Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,007Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,007.2
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-34.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,156Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$770.4
Canucks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,014Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,014.4
Blue Jackets vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$644Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$644.22
Wild vs. Predatorsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$724Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$723.98
Hurricanes vs. Utahbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,078Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$1,372
Capitals vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.35
All 6 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+45.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,826Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,555.72
San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,414Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,531.4
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)backed Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,484Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,484
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$554Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$491.62
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-63.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+79%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$510
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,392Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$1,288.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$158
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,660Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$645.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.59
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.