TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Blue Jackets vs. Canadiens

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Blue Jacketsof Blue Jackets, Canadiens
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$513,193
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$520,488

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $513,193 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 484 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Blue Jackets46c90,000$41,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,599.9548545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Canadiens58c60,000$34,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,799.8767051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Blue Jackets42c43,472$18,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,213.6851550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f28…266ebacked Canadiens54c30,732$16,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,595.421947.4%9 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick61cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f8c…e275backed Blue Jackets43c23,450$10,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,366.681050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Canadiens55c20,073$11,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,040.364650%23 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Canadiens54c15,269$8,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,245.4948549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Blue Jackets68c13,687$9,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,408.4689636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Canadiens58c12,000$6,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,96026058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Blue Jackets42c11,280$4,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,500.661,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Canadiens37c10,969$4,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,058.4312838.3%49 W · 79 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Blue Jackets46c9,991$4,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,431.9641850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Canadiens54c8,868$4,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,788.7214553.1%77 W · 68 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Blue Jackets42c8,321$3,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,840.821,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Canadiens55c8,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4001861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x844e…4efdbacked Blue Jackets73c8,000$5,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,184.735276.9%40 W · 12 L+11.6wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+42.4%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Canadiens55c7,047$3,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,854.363548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6fd…4c1dbacked Blue Jackets45c7,007$3,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,853.85560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Canadiens54c6,600$3,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,56412047.5%57 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Canadiens55c6,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,30041842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Canadiens57c6,000$3,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,43030552.5%160 W · 145 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Canadiens54c6,000$3,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,239.981,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Canadiens56c5,357$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0006253.2%33 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Blue Jackets41c5,000$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,949.9427548.7%134 W · 141 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Canadiens57c4,607$2,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,647.5133450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa048…dd23backed Blue Jackets42c4,590$1,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,662.084450%22 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Canadiens24c4,515$1,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,075.9330259.6%180 W · 122 L+31.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x0b2b…6813backed Canadiens55c4,507$2,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4791752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ef…468bbacked Canadiens54c4,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,160450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Canadiens57c4,000$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,28060249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e4c…28ddbacked Blue Jackets45c4,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2002045%9 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens55c4,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2001,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Canadiens3c3,819$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.9554418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Blue Jackets44c3,600$1,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,998.1461959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65ea…476cbacked Canadiens59c3,417$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002979.3%23 W · 6 L+5.1wins+0.17per pick62cpaid+27.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Blue Jackets47c3,150$1,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,671.1185250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed Canadiens57c3,000$1,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7254465.9%29 W · 15 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+21.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb9fb…8feebacked Canadiens55c2,833$1,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,563.1319050.5%96 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Blue Jackets42c2,679$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,553.9322747.6%108 W · 119 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Canadiens55c2,666$1,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,466.331550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Canadiens0c2,664$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.462504.8%12 W · 238 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+159.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Canadiens57c2,601$1,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,482.389751.5%50 W · 47 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd5…e908backed Canadiens4c2,500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Canadiens55c2,486$1,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,365.1620756.5%117 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens33c2,400$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78370249%344 W · 358 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Blue Jackets42c2,400$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,39283652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x944e…8c94backed Canadiens55c2,222$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,222.09425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-56.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e71…eba7backed Canadiens37c2,201$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.372045%9 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed Canadiens56c2,077$1,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,163.014955.1%27 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x199a…ef23backed Canadiens13c2,032$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-73.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Canadiens56c2,012$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130.776950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Canadiens55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10026750.2%134 W · 133 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc253…7cf5backed Canadiens58c2,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,160944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec18…89ebbacked Canadiens2c1,995$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.765024%12 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Blue Jackets44c1,922$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.012,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeba1…fac6backed Canadiens55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x931e…e8e8backed Blue Jackets45c1,800$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9901662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+47.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Canadiens57c1,797$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.3327850.4%140 W · 138 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Blue Jackets42c1,788$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.316657.6%38 W · 28 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b13…13edbacked Canadiens6c1,770$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.497126.8%19 W · 52 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb34…a390backed Canadiens24c1,741$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.443732.4%12 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-34.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xce4d…a7fabacked Canadiens57c1,712$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.9625555.3%141 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Blue Jackets46c1,670$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.5760337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Canadiens58c1,666$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.2886649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Canadiens46c1,560$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71017353.8%93 W · 80 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82f4…e161backed Canadiens36c1,383$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+28.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Canadiens22c1,285$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.043,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Blue Jackets45c1,214$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.6942948.7%209 W · 220 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2935…debdbacked Canadiens54c1,193$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.22633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-34.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fcd…cffebacked Canadiens32c1,145$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.92633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Canadiens6c1,125$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4331828.3%90 W · 228 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Canadiens55c1,111$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.0589249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Blue Jackets46c1,100$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59944551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Canadiens54c1,100$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59411153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Canadiens53c1,097$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.236948%177 W · 192 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Canadiens55c1,089$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.017857.7%45 W · 33 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc070…203abacked Blue Jackets46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.9615252%79 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Blue Jackets57c1,082$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.6440351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Canadiens54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54062346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Canadiens5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5029533.6%99 W · 196 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0e8…a236backed Blue Jackets42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5803946.2%18 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d5c…1768backed Canadiens58c999.97$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.987851.3%40 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc92…2e78backed Blue Jackets41c980.74$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.643151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Canadiens19c976.42$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.522429.2%7 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+31.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Canadiens57c953.93$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.0436349%178 W · 185 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1752…d274backed Canadiens56c950.24$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.133135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Canadiens9c949.62$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8116446.3%76 W · 88 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Canadiens42c946.96$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.3718452.7%97 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6941…d614backed Canadiens29c928.74$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2692429.2%7 W · 17 L-4.1wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-46.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Blue Jackets73c926.66$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.111,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Canadiens4c903.41$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4089355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6512…5291backed Canadiens55c900$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4951833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-28.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Blue Jackets43c886.21$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.0761950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Canadiens58c862.07$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005954.2%32 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x738e…dc37backed Blue Jackets42c841.55$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.11553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6796…453fbacked Canadiens28c829.99$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.813652.9%72 W · 64 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+9.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Canadiens55c824.2$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.3138849.5%192 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Blue Jackets68c822.54$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.581,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Blue Jackets76c812.25$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.2314946.3%69 W · 80 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Canadiens57c800$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45645749.2%225 W · 232 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.