NHL · resolved market
Blue Jackets vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02c568e627abf7c5b567b07143e721679636c4009e0d618f4c6b5843f959480b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,440
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,618
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,440 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Under | 55c | 4,454$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.95 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 2,191$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.96 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 1,437$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.83 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 45c | 1,436$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.48 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Over | 45c | 972.44$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.84 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 52c | 692.03$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.62 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 55c | 582.25$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.35 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 47c | 234.04$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.04 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…6ab0backed Over | 72c | 223.07$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.59 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 46c | 220$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93e7…cc0cbacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 46c | 158.69$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.69 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b0…533bbacked Under | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Under | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under | 27c | 125.07$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.77 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 55c | 114.86$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.11 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb602…1991backed Under | 35c | 109.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7550…3c94backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…2e9fbacked Under | 33c | 57.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 46c | 53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Under | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2e…7f4ebacked Under | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed Under | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Over | 46c | 44.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 25c | 40.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 46c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc45d…de2fbacked Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…456bbacked Over | 46c | 25.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 73c | 24.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 72c | 20.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 303 | 49.5%150 W · 153 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blue Jackets vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5this page
- Blue Jackets vs. CanadiensBlue Jackets won
- Blue Jackets vs. Canadiens: O/U 4.5Over won
- Blue Jackets vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5Over won
- Blue Jackets vs. Canadiens: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)Blue Jackets won
- Spread: Blue Jackets (-2.5)Blue Jackets won
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)Blue Jackets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.