TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Blue Jacketsof Blue Jackets, Canadiens
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$859
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$683

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $859 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf58c…0b79backed Canadiens64c168.93$108 inLost-$107.62857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a8…95b7backed Canadiens64c152.95$98 inLost-$97.842356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Blue Jackets36c122.75$44 inWon+$78.5626154%141 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Blue Jackets37c103.61$38 inWon+$65.111,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Blue Jackets36c58.42$21 inWon+$37.3944848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31c8…9487backed Blue Jackets47c45.18$21 inWon+$24.047852.6%41 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8001…c76fbacked Blue Jackets40c25.47$10 inWon+$15.281553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc741…73f6backed Canadiens60c20$12 inLost-$121637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff6e…21cdbacked Blue Jackets73c19.68$14 inWon+$5.31475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+31.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.