MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb17a25f289d2fa2cd8320e3776016ccc0eefe5bfa9a00c857d6bec621db4d407
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof Arizona Diamondbacks, Philadelphia Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,061,522
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,227,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,061,522 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 416 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 411,304$194,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194,706.82 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 274,079$146,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127,199.59 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94c5…56a7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 106,789$50,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,190.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2f…aaf8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 36c | 94,551$34,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,517.28 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 58,308$30,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,404.76 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 51,497$32,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,380.62 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 49,232$28,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,008.03 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 32,559$16,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,628.08 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,400 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 21,300$11,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,011 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 19,973$10,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,586.74 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 15,513$10,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,999.24 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 15,000$7,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,049.98 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 12,190$7,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,361.45 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 67c | 12,117$8,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,170.59 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 11,628$7,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,140.42 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 9,765$4,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,296.62 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 9,070$5,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,122.37 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 8,998$4,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,228.92 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec4e…61bdbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 8,378$4,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,723.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 7,299$3,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,529.51 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…9504backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 6,810$3,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,030.34 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2d…8622backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 5,041$2,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,391.13 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c0…25b8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 4,984$2,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,392.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 4,546$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091.52 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 4,320$2,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,529.95 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 3,835$2,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.07 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 3,538$1,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.18 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x086d…01f7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 30c | 3,245$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 3,200$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.41 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 3,107$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.31 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 2,973$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.79 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…83dcbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 21c | 2,730$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 7c | 2,622$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.87 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…7d41backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 2,319$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.64 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 2,273$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.12 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf92…e333backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 2,230$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 10c | 2,229$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.92 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 2,181$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.39 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 2,121$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.28 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 15c | 2,083$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.06 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e13…c506backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 11c | 2,039$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.06 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.77 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…361dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 1,969$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.02 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.04 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 34c | 1,874$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.76 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 1,867$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.13 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 1,835$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.48 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc982…6804backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 1,689$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 31c | 1,671$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.43 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 1,624$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.27 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d9…3271backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 1,611$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.08 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 1,600$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.84 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 1,583$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.34 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 1,569$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.7 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc7…7f02backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 1,546$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.74 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 1,534$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.56 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 16c | 1,444$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.52 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 14c | 1,363$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.66 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 19c | 1,350$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.82 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 7c | 1,259$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.13 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 1,224$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 1,219$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 1,113$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.53 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…3858backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 1,104$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.1 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 68c | 1,090$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.97 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x302a…74e6backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 1,086$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.46 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…4375backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 1,080$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2935…debdbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 1,046$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 1,032$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.99 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 1,014$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.38 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 1,010$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.8 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 995.12$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.71 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 987$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.67 | 341 | 45.2%154 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 972.4$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.3 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 11c | 971.86$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.17 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 960.29$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.73 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 20c | 952$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.4 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 927.63$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.43 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…2a45backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 900.37$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.17 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 875.3$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.52 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 67c | 853.94$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.46 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 7c | 834.72$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.63 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 799.64$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.76 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 716.94$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.97 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 713.26$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.23 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c55…7ef8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 711.36$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 659.99$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.17 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6941…d614backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 655.28$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.66 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 60c | 605.49$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.41 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 604$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.92 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 595.93$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.17 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 580.75$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.08 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 568.93$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.14 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdef1…c0debacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 553.18$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.53 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 540.22$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.5 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Philliesthis page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia PhilliesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.