MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x755d3329ad7e818c4c947dff958b8e4ae32c10d9ecba0f0b2a2f7724c0fee4bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $307,272
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $305,247
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $307,272 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 46c | 107,893$49,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,064.32 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Over | 53c | 69,967$37,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,043.12 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Over | 54c | 49,431$26,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,654.82 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Under | 48c | 42,903$20,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,517.77 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 48c | 17,998$8,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,439.2 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 12,042$6,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,246.38 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 54c | 8,358$4,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,483.36 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 47c | 8,277$3,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,347.25 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 55c | 7,778$4,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,289.25 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2f…aaf8backed Over | 53c | 6,705$3,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,553.6 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 52c | 6,318$3,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,285.57 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 52c | 6,018$3,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,129.56 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 6,015$2,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,198.18 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 50c | 5,335$2,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,670.53 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 4,714$2,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,471.07 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 48c | 3,816$1,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,984.12 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Over | 53c | 2,662$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.97 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.9wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 46c | 2,369$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.25 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…0162backed Under | 45c | 2,274$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.55 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 47c | 2,114$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.48 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 57c | 1,822$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.49 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 57c | 1,410$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.15 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 48c | 1,357$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.54 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Over | 54c | 1,134$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.26 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…61e8backed Under | 47c | 1,065$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.46 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Under | 52c | 1,005$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.24 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 47c | 985.88$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.71 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 47c | 981.46$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.18 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Over | 48c | 973.72$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.26 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Over | 55c | 707.86$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.2 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6c…0b46backed Over | 50c | 587.85$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.92 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Under | 46c | 575$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.78 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Over | 51c | 543.18$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.02 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 48c | 541$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.32 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 49c | 522.85$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.26 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 52c | 466.92$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.8 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Over | 52c | 460.15$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.28 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 48c | 451.12$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.58 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 48c | 450.9$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.47 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 36c | 437.27$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.85 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…12d0backed Over | 51c | 428.2$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.38 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 48c | 417.71$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.18 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Under | 48c | 403.67$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.91 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 38c | 401.26$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.63 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 49c | 394.9$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.72 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Under | 47c | 344.56$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.62 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 54c | 304.38$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.36 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Over | 56c | 292.08$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.56 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2068…edcdbacked Over | 51c | 291.18$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7743…2d12backed Under | 50c | 291$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Over | 57c | 242.43$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.03 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 53c | 226.72$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.87 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa260…3844backed Over | 43c | 224.6$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.58 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 46c | 217.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.22 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 40c | 216.43$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.8 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33fc…dc88backed Under | 35c | 215.02$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.76 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 47c | 206$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 249 | 50.6%126 W · 123 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over | 65c | 194$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.1 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 51c | 188.43$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.73 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 57c | 186.34$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.09 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 80c | 175.58$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.46 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 54c | 170.17$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.89 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 63c | 166.3$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.84 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 53c | 165.61$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.61 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 60c | 163.85$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.58 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7192…7000backed Under | 48c | 162.48$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.49 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 48c | 139.27$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.42 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Over | 34c | 136.43$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.51 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 52c | 134.57$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.64 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb65d…616dbacked Under | 29c | 132$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.14 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 59cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21b8…47f4backed Over | 58c | 130.37$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 46c | 128.41$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.34 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Over | 53c | 127.31$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.47 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 52c | 127.04$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.28 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292a…5d78backed Under | 39c | 123.51$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.34 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 59cpaid | +44%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x59dd…7cffbacked Under | 48c | 121.1$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.97 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 53c | 121.02$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.2 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbf…f359backed Over | 53c | 120.09$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.55 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 59c | 117.61$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.77 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 33c | 114.55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 57c | 112.86$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.98 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…4c76backed Over | 53c | 112.63$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 48c | 112.38$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.44 | 293 | 54.9%161 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 49c | 108.9$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.54 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f04…4e5fbacked Over | 54c | 107.13$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.85 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Under | 50c | 106.7$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.35 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Under | 50c | 106.58$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.29 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 67c | 104.64$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.98 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeda…6595backed Under | 47c | 103$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +6.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 48c | 102.21$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.15 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Over | 52c | 101.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.03 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Over | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Under | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +10.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…a4f1backed Over | 63c | 99.34$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Over | 52c | 91.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.71 | 273 | 45.4%124 W · 149 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 53c | 87.83$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 55c | 87.8$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Over | 58c | 84.82$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.33 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1812…0db6backed Under | 47c | 83.27$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.13 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5this page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia Phillies won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia PhilliesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.