TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Wild vs. Predators

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Predatorsof Wild, Predators
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,101,321
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,096,101

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,101,321 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 536 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a72…33eebacked Predators50c301,629$150,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150,930.921,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Wild52c80,045$41,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,569.9151550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Predators49c65,084$32,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,070.5967051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Wild51c51,579$26,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,152.0661950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked Wild50c42,805$21,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,608.495639.3%22 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Wild50c38,460$19,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,207.0382043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8d3…0e0fbacked Wild50c30,900$15,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,450837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Wild51c21,066$10,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,702.272,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Predators50c20,023$10,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,014.0140356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Wild50c16,893$8,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,446.74957.1%28 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a24…4a1fbacked Wild50c15,222$7,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,610.842025%5 W · 15 L-5.2wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-48.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Predators50c15,070$7,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,534.9210941.3%45 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Predators49c13,497$6,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,852.3924349.8%121 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Wild53c13,208$6,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,989.444151.2%21 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Wild51c12,508$6,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,403.82,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Wild50c11,743$5,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,871.473056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x267a…79ebbacked Wild50c10,774$5,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,38730%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Predators51c10,607$5,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,190.1918452.7%97 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc87e…271cbacked Wild50c10,300$5,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,150520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-55.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Predators45c9,567$4,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,268.111,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Predators49c8,551$4,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,346.161,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Wild50c8,034$4,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0176456.3%36 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfc92…2e78backed Wild52c8,000$4,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1603151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Wild51c7,035$3,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,587.8518641.9%78 W · 108 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Predators52c7,030$3,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,394.719759.4%117 W · 80 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Predators50c7,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,50026058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Wild50c6,666$3,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3333647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Wild39c6,639$2,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,569.9327448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wild43c6,465$2,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,793.171,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Wild52c6,274$3,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,244.351,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Wild51c6,210$3,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,167.110146.5%47 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb859…e244backed Predators50c6,191$3,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,095.7211052.7%58 W · 52 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Wild50c6,153$3,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,076.6410066%66 W · 34 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Wild51c6,000$3,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,06029146.7%136 W · 155 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Predators45c5,145$2,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,829.5110938.5%42 W · 67 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-20.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c45…0ac6backed Wild19c5,059$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9471428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Wild43c4,602$1,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,993.5738551.4%198 W · 187 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Wild55c4,500$2,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4751758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4650…f3f0backed Wild50c4,414$2,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20713856.5%78 W · 60 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+32.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaa98…90bbbacked Wild50c4,384$2,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,191.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Predators46c4,306$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,306.218946.1%41 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Predators50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Predators45c4,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20030552.5%160 W · 145 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Wild32c3,853$1,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,216.6336349%178 W · 185 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Wild50c3,847$1,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,904.2320450%102 W · 102 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Wild42c3,701$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.5833234.3%114 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Predators72c3,621$2,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.6813850.7%70 W · 68 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Wild50c3,524$1,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,761.9318853.2%100 W · 88 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf90b…0001backed Wild51c3,441$1,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,754.9120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Predators46c3,215$1,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,736.2285250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e74…17adbacked Wild51c3,196$1,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,629.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+40.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Wild51c3,169$1,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,61632151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Wild56c3,018$1,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.2389249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa048…dd23backed Wild55c2,750$1,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,512.54450%22 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Wild49c2,703$1,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,321.823852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x205d…5b8bbacked Predators50c2,592$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,296333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Wild50c2,500$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25031848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Predators50c2,500$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2507557.3%43 W · 32 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Wild51c2,464$1,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,262.562,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc29a…7816backed Predators49c2,417$1,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,233.98240.2%33 W · 49 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Wild51c2,373$1,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,214.161,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Wild49c2,306$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.9922747.6%108 W · 119 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38d1…9854backed Predators50c2,236$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1183100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+124.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Wild30c2,202$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.843,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Wild55c2,200$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,209.9911153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Wild51c2,186$1,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11524952.2%130 W · 119 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bca…0d11backed Wild50c2,114$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.151553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8188…b171backed Wild53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0601643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc253…7cf5backed Predators45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.99944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Predators45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.989751.5%50 W · 47 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe704…b250backed Wild50c1,993$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.657238.9%28 W · 44 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8401…0fa1backed Wild51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-28.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Wild39c1,893$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.8114946.3%69 W · 80 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Predators50c1,850$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.0640351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe564…7d65backed Predators50c1,810$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+44.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Wild51c1,749$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.722,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Predators43c1,726$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.8783652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Wild51c1,713$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.2945751.6%236 W · 221 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Wild50c1,677$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.3517042.4%72 W · 98 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Wild45c1,669$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75036948%177 W · 192 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Wild50c1,601$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.542842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Predators50c1,600$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80061959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Wild55c1,567$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.021,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Predators45c1,566$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.527850.4%140 W · 138 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Wild51c1,526$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.2657157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Wild50c1,526$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.1219150.8%97 W · 94 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Wild50c1,509$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.645444.4%24 W · 30 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaccd…7402backed Predators67c1,491$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.831181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.25per pick57cpaid+38.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1e71…eba7backed Wild34c1,422$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.52045%9 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2935…debdbacked Wild53c1,366$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.98633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-34.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Wild50c1,359$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.5615051.3%77 W · 73 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Wild22c1,319$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.3927037.4%101 W · 169 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Wild34c1,304$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.982,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Wild52c1,254$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.976950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Predators50c1,154$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.167448.6%36 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Wild18c1,117$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.065870.7%41 W · 17 L+8.6wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+17.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Predators50c1,111$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.511047.3%52 W · 58 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Predators50c1,100$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55020552.2%107 W · 98 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Wild51c1,100$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5619659.4%57 W · 39 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2849…3d49backed Wild10c1,046$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.7419963.8%127 W · 72 L+27.6wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+18.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.